Is the gold bull market still intact, or did we enter a bear market? Investors should rely on the following checklist offered by Rick Rule. His answers on those questions suggest that the situation in precious metals has remained unchanged. The most acceptable conclusion is that we are not at the end of the bull market; we are rather in a cyclical decline in a secular bull market.
There is an excess of monetary heroin, Quantitative Easing, in Europe, the UK, Japan, the USA and elsewhere. (When will they ever learn?) The S&P 500 is hitting new highs and gold and silver are sitting roughly at two year lows. Strange and stranger every day…….
The metals have been subject to the same type of trading behaviour. It became blatant once again today. In fact, it is the third time this week that we witness extreme speculation in the metals. Silver, for instance, saw its peak today at $23.20 and its lows at $22.15, a difference of almost 5% intraday. Note that the peak on the charts was during the speech of Mr. Bernanke. A bit later, prices came down triggered by one specific sentence in the speech.
Ted Butler: I believe that the big buyer of the 10 million ounces of gold liquidated in the GLD was JPMorgan, either alone or with other collusive commercial banks. The same methodology I’ve previously attributed to a potential Mr. Big in SLV (also probably JPMorgan) is at work in GLD.
31.8 million troy ounces. That is the number of physical gold that the Russian central bank is holding at the end of April 2013. The Russian central bank just published their latest figures. Russis has added some 200,000 troy ounces of gold to their reserves. In less than 7 years, the Russian gold holdings have risen almost threefold. New holdings have been added in an accelerated way in 2009 and 2010, after which the growth has been steady.
Now the gold and silver futures markets are not being used for their original purpose, but are being used to manipulate prices by some entity that does not want to see prices of precious metals move higher. It is widely known that central banks and other major financial institutions have been manipulating Libor, bonds, equities as well as the foreign exchange market. So, it is absolutely plausible that they are manipulating precious metals, in particular gold and silver. What does this mean for investors?
If this does end up being the start of a new Investor Cycle, then we won’t know for sure until the next Daily Cycle. The next dollar Daily Cycle should top very early and form Left Translated. If however it goes on to make new IC highs then it will almost certainly be the 2nd Daily Cycle of a young Investor Cycle. If this occurs, then gold will also form Left Translated and drop again, likely making yet another deeper low in June.
Short covering, triggered by rumours of a potential US downgrade from Moody’s, are sending gold and silver prices vertical. The move higher comes after a very suspicious spike this night in which the silver price was pushed 10% lower within the first hour of Asian trading (with a bank holiday in Europe). The charts show the price action in today’s trading sessions. In our own words: folly of the highest degree, or the metals being subject to greediness of traders.
The silver price has recovered most of its losses of Asian trading. For now, we believe that the downward pressure on the metals prices has reached a point where a bounce (at least a temporary one) is imminent. Too many technical traders are in the bearish camp. Meantime, the commercials have positioned themselves increasingly long. It seems that they are ready to extend their profits on a rally, after their gigantic profits during the crash mid-April. The ferocity of a potential short covering should be the main theme at the desk of the commercials right now.
Gold and silver are in long term bull markets. One of the objects of a bull market is to arrive at the peak with very few long term participants. The “bull” wants to buck you off periodically. It usually happens. Basic human nature – fear and greed – makes it difficult to ride the bull most of the way up and exit at the proper time. Fortunately for gold and silver bulls, there are many more years of deficit spending and increasing debt that will push metals prices much higher.
At the time of writing, it is midnight GMT (London) / 7 PM EST (New York) / 8 AM in Tokyo. The Asian market opened less than an hour ago. Large parts of Europe have a bank holiday today. So that means very thin trading. What happens? Really seconds after opening of Asian trading silver falls down from $22.3 to $20.8 in a matter of minutes.
As there is no significant yield elsewhere, equities and US dollar could have a long way to go before they correct. Hence, gold and silver could see a long way down, before they reverse. Gold and silver investors should think about the reasons why they are holding the metal. If it is for monetary protection, then they should be able to ignore short to mid-term price action, even if the price will go lower. There are too many contradictory signals out there right now. Participants in the ongoing uptrend should be careful.
It is clear that much is brewing below the surface of the gold market. There are too many significant evolutions related to PHYSICAL gold. The most credible assumptions we can come to are threefold (1) Strong hands are positioning themselves for the fundamental risks that are inherent in the present monetary system. (2) There is tightness in some specific vaults specifically the ones from US market participants. (3) When it comes to central bank gold, a final clearing out of the vaults of central banks in countries that are part of the «golden billion» zone is currently underway.
If you choose to stay in the banking system, expect to take losses on anything held in a bank. Read that sentence as many times as it takes to have it sink in. What have the bankers been hell-bent on destroying and discrediting? Gold and silver.
Gold Settles Higher On May 23d – Finds Support From Drop In Dollar
With the present economic conditions in the US, there are various ways in which the fluctuations in the price of dollar will make the gold price rise and fall according to the rates. If you’re an investor, you should take into account the bigger picture so that you can take an informed and measured decision in the long run.
Gold & Silver Price Overreact to Fed Speech
The metals have been subject to the same type of trading behaviour. It became blatant once again today. In fact, it is the third time this week that we witness extreme speculation in the metals. Silver, for instance, saw its peak today at $23.20 and its lows at $22.15, a difference of almost 5% intraday. Note that the peak on the charts was during the speech of Mr. Bernanke. A bit later, prices came down triggered by one specific sentence in the speech.
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Gold Settles Higher On May 23d – Finds Support From Drop In Dollar
With the present economic conditions in the US, there are various ways in which the fluctuations in the price of dollar will make the gold price rise and fall according to the rates. If you’re an investor, you should take into account the bigger picture so that you can take an informed and measured decision in the long run.
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