Latest Gold & Silver Price News
I am not an investment advisor, and I do not have an “approved by Wall Street” certificate so my views are my own. Do your own research, but in my opinion, now is NOT the time to be dumping savings into the NASDAQ when it is hitting a 15 year high. Instead, silver is at a 4 year low and has returned to 2006 levels. The risk/reward analysis strongly favors silver.
Where have all the trillions of newly created “money” gone? Into the failed and bankrupt banking scam conducted by the elites. All world-wide monetary policy undertaken by the central banks has been for the sole purpose of protecting the failed banking financial structure, propping up the fiat currencies.
In his weekly market review, Frank Holmes of the USFunds.com summarizes this week’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats in the gold market for gold investors. Gold closed the week at $1,179.44 won $24.83 per ounce (-2.06%). Gold stocks, as measured by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, lost 1.57%. The U.S. Trade-Weighted Dollar Index lost 0.64% for the week.
The upper median line of the mod-Schiff fork is defining the resistance level for Gold on the upside. The “jumble-zone” is defining support on the downside. I have written more than once about the mess of support and resistance levels in the $1180 to $1190 region and Gold is back in that area again. There is a lot of energy in this region because of the failed triple bottom around $1183.
The Dubai Precious Metals Conference last weekend was attended by precious metals investors from around the world. Interestingly, quite some speakers dedicated their presentation to China and its gold market. One of those speakers, Albert Cheng, Managing Director at the Far East unit of the World Gold Council, explained how China will be rolling out their “one belt, one road” reforms, with a global reach. Those initiatives will be gradually integrated with the gold market.
Based on the 30 year ratios to the S&P 500 index, gold, and crude oil, silver is currently inexpensive. The High-Frequency-Traders can push prices lower or higher quite easily so this analysis says little about what silver prices will do next week or next month, but it clearly says that in the long-term silver prices are low and likely to rise significantly in the next few years.
Depending on the magnitude of additional “money printing” that the world’s central banks will unleash upon the global financial community, we could see hyperinflation in several countries within a few years. Why? Central banks will try everything to avoid or reverse a deflationary collapse in paper asset markets because a deflationary collapse is “game over” for their credibility, governments, and politicians. They will print and print more and continue to fuel the inflationary boom, and … the bigger the boom, the larger the distortions, and the deeper the collapse.
As we go to press, gold is testing the bottom of its triangle pattern near 1186, but if that level is conclusively broken, a quick move down to 1180 is in play later this week. From a longer-term perspective, a breakdown from the triangle would suggest a measured move objective all the way down to the year-to-date low at 1140. Of course, gold may still manage to bounce from the bottom of its triangle today, but unless we see a bullish breakout above resistance at 1200, the odds favor an awakening for the bears that have been hibernating throughout the first three weeks of April.
A reset in the financial system seems inevitable. We survived other resets, such as the depression of the 1930s, WWII, 1971 separation of the dollar from gold, 1970s inflation, year 2000 stock crashes, and the 2008 financial crash. The world will survive the next reset. Excess debt, fiat currencies, and “printing currency” are the center of global economic problems. Those problems will not be resolved with more debt and “printing currency.” If central banks and politicians choose hyperinflation, all bets are off regarding how high gold and silver will climb, and how crazy our Twilight Zone world will become.
The chart provides some answers to that question. In particular, it shows the trendlines in a simple and clear manner, for gold, silver and miners. Based on those trendlines, it seems that none of these assets were able to break out so far. In case we would see a break through the trendlines, ideally in all of those assets together, then we can be quite confident that we finally have a trend change. The chart provides almost exact targets to watch for a structural breakout.
Gold, now well into year four of a bear market, continued its familiar pattern on Monday: one step up, two steps back. My long-term correction target remains $810, although I’ll always keep an open mind about trading from the long side, or even initiating a long-term bet, whenever gold is merely creating bullish impulse legs on the hourly chart. For perspective, however, it would take a run-up to 1347, nearly 13% above these levels, to turn the weekly chart unambiguously bullish.
I expect that prices will rally far higher and substantially exceed $30 and probably $50 by 2016 or 2017. Of course I have no proof, but as the world falls deeper into Twilight Zone craziness, war escalates, debt inevitably increases, and political stability deteriorates, the investment demand for silver will rise as confidence in fiat currencies declines. Much higher silver prices are all but guaranteed within several years.
The financial crisis in 2008 knocked the wind out of precious metals stocks and HUI returned to the 150 level once again. After testing this long-term support level, price zoomed higher, this time increasing 400% in less than three years. Today we find the HUI back at the 150 level after more than three years of painful declines. There are some really bullish aspects to this chart.
For the week commencing April 20th, there are a limited number of economic data of importance to the metals. There is no central bank announcement scheduled, as seen in the table below. Wednesday or Thursday could shake markets with the home sales data in the US, although we do not expect this to be of great impact to the metals. Germany is planning to release its economic sentiment (Tuesday) and business climate index (Friday) but that should not be of any significance to the metals. The most likely scenario is to see a continuation of the consolidation pattern in gold and silver.