Tag: gold price

What’s Behind the Recent Surge in Volatility?

What’s Behind the Recent Surge in Volatility?

BY HARD ASSETS ALLIANCE It’s no secret that people don’t like uncertainty. By nature, humans are generally creatures of habit—preferring stability and safe outcomes. This is especially true when it comes to financial matters. However, financial markets are almost always facing some type of uncertainty, be it corporate earnings, interest rates, or geopolitical events. The issues are often benign and the outcomes are non-events, but as we know, there are always surprises causing markets to react. The volatility index, commonly referred to as the VIX, is a measure of investor uncertainty and fear of the unknown. The VIX can go months at a time meandering along without much direction and […]

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Gold Is a Safe Bet No Matter What the Fed Will Do

| November 10, 2016 | Category: Economy
Gold Is a Safe Bet No Matter What the Fed Will Do

By Olivier Garret Gold prices have dropped from $1,340 an ounce in September to as low as $1,250 late last week. This is largely due to forecasts of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve. But the sharp drop in gold began to reverse on Monday. The price rose by more than $25 in just three trading days. Most gold analysts say the main reason for the bounce is reaction to comments made by Yellen last Friday. Judging from what Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last week, gold is likely to move up no matter what the US economy does. Fed Chair Yellen highlights plans for “high-pressure economy” In […]

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Climbing Gold and Silver’s Wall of Worry

Climbing Gold and Silver’s Wall of Worry

By Clint Siegner, Originally Published on Money Metals Exchange Confidence is slippery, even when you are a metals investor sitting atop the best performing assets of 2016. It doesn’t help when 4 years of a miserable bear market remains fresh in our memories. Any weakness in prices and it can feel like markets are getting ready to plunge right back to $13 silver and $1,000 gold. That feeling is called the “Wall of Worry”, and bulls are going to have to climb it by staying in the market even if their emotions are telling them to bail. Let’s review the last 6 weeks because they are quite instructional. June 1st: […]

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Future Gold Prices

Future Gold Prices

The internet is filled with predictions for the price of gold, from $500 to $50,000 per ounce. It depends on your world view. If you are a central banker or a powerful financial player which often supplies loyal employees to serve as Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, the low gold numbers look good. Or, if you understand the incredible $200+ Trillion of debt the world has accumulated and realize it can’t be repaid, then gold at $10,000 probably looks inevitable. Crashes occur and sovereign debt markets look like paper bubbles with disastrous potential to send gold much higher. A better approach to estimating future gold prices, in my opinion, is […]

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Gold And Silver Prices: Value Of Knowing The Trend

| November 22, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Prices: Value Of Knowing The Trend

All fiats fail, and the only difference this time around is the grossly exaggerated extent to which fiat has managed to survive. It also indicates that once the fiat “dollar” fails, and there are more and more cracks showing up in its ability to maintain its world reserve currency status, the move for physical gold and silver will also be favorably exaggerated to the upside.

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Gold Leaps and Looks Higher

| November 20, 2015 | Category: Technicals
Gold Leaps and Looks Higher

Yesterday’s rally was the most promising we’ve seen on the hourly chart in weeks. It surpassed no fewer than four prior peaks without taking a breather; moreover, the pullback has been shallow so far. We’ve been short this vehicle with an 1176 basis, but the current stop-loss at 1093.70 should be closely minded, since even moderate strength on Friday could trigger it. If so, it would give us a theoretical gain of $9300 on the position upon exit. If the rally is for real, bulls should be able to move the futures easily past1086.50 Thursday night.

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Huge Support Nearing For Price Of Gold

| November 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Huge Support Nearing For Price Of Gold

Our conclusion is that we have reached huge support areas in 3 leading assets. Do not forget this rule of thumb: Investors make their biggest gains when buying at secular support levels. Given the stiff correction in gold and commodities, we do not anticipate a raging bull market as of the moment support is reached. Our view? As precious metals were the first asset to correct, we anticipate they will be the first to recover.

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Gold And Silver Market: Sellers Remain In Control

| November 15, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Market: Sellers Remain In Control

Will this potential double bottom hold? After the wide range bar decline, 6 bars ago, the last 5 bars have been overlapping, and the closes are almost clustering, both signs for a possible change in price direction. A rally can be expected, but surrounding circumstances dictate it may not last, as explained next.

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Gold, Silver, Copper Testing Six-Year Lows

| November 12, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold, Silver, Copper Testing Six-Year Lows

With the dollar having recently risen to a new seven-month high, commodity prices are in retreat. The brown line in Chart 1 shows the CRB Index (of nineteen commodity markets) falling to the lowest level since August (through yesterday). That commodity selling started in mid-October just as the U.S. Dollar Index started rising. A rising dollar almost always results in lower commodity prices (and stocks tied to them). The commodity selloff has been quite broad and includes industrial and previous metals, energy prices, and agriculturals. Several of those markets are testing six-year lows.

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Is Gold On Its Way To $817.50 /oz ?

| November 12, 2015 | Category: Price
Is Gold On Its Way To $817.50 /oz ?

For if the futures cannot bounce at least $30 after piercing 1073.70, I’d infer they are on their way down to 1044.50 at least; and thence to an obligatory test of $1000, where they haven’t been for six years. Below this watershed sit two more targets, either of which could mark the end of the bear market begun in August 2011: 971.35 (see inset) or, my worst case, 817.50.

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The Reverse Goldfinger Effect

The Reverse Goldfinger Effect

In 1964 Sean Connery starred in the movie “Goldfinger” in which the villain, a wealthy Brit named Goldfinger, attempted to revalue his personal gold hoard higher by a factor of 10. His plan was to detonate an atomic bomb inside Fort Knox making the US gold radioactive for hundreds of years. With the Fort Knox gold hoard, the largest in the world at that time, effectively unavailable the global price of gold would increase at least ten times from the 1964 price of approximately $35.00 per ounce. Bond, James Bond, thwarted the dastardly plot and saved the US gold, the US dollar, and the US government. The current 2015 gold […]

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What Is The Gold vs Debt Correlation Suggesting?

What Is The Gold vs Debt Correlation Suggesting?

Gold’s rate of change has been more dramatic than U.S. debt, as suggested by the second chart. As the price of gold is in the process to make a lower low currently, it’s rate of change is close to coincide with the one of U.S. debt. The chart suggests that the gold price correction after 2011 was to be expected, given that the yellow metal had risen too much, too fast. Our opinion is that the correction in precious metals is not over, but that the downside is limited.

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Gold And Silver At Make Or Break Level, As Dollar Breaks Out Big Time!

| November 9, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver At Make Or Break Level, As Dollar Breaks Out Big Time!

The metals sold off last week. Gold is testing righ now its August lows. This is a critical price level, gold bulls would like to see this price level hold, otherwise a washout (capitulation-alike) decline could be in the cards. As for silver, it is holding up slightly better. According to the Andrews Pitchfork methodology from PitchforkPlayground.com, gold has been whacked hard as the US Dollar rallies. Support is occurring at the lower median line extension of the modified-Schiff pitchfork and the July/August lows. The outlook of the precious metals is clearly not supported by the secular breakout of the U.S. dollar. As the multi-decade chart shows, the dollar has broken out of its declining secular trendline, earlier this year, and is about to confirm its breakout by moving higher from these price levels.

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Deception Rules Gold And Silver Markets, Not Fundamentals

| November 7, 2015 | Category: Price
Deception Rules Gold And Silver Markets, Not Fundamentals

As we have noted all year, the currency correction has been relatively weak, and weak corrections auger for higher prices. There is no way to know how much higher the deception of the fiat “dollar” will go. There will inevitably be signs of some form of ending action that declares the down trend to be finished. We have not yet seen any such sign. The sooner price can make a new recent lower low, the greater the probability that the down trend will end. In that regard, everyone who wants to be bullish should cheer on lower prices, for now.

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