RSSCategory: Articles: Gold Silver Prices

Could Silver “Do a Palladium”?

Could Silver “Do a Palladium”?

Palladium was manipulated for years. It had the largest short position relative to its size, while physical demand rose inversely to decreasing supply. In 2018, demand became so large that it overwhelmed the shorts. Physical palladium could not meet the market’s needs and prices exploded. Shorts eventually decreased their positions until they got to a more sustainable level. For many years, the platinum/palladium ratio, shown on proprietary charts, averaged 2.4 to 1 in favor of platinum, stretched as high as 5:1 in 2009, but then collapsed for a decade into 2020, to where 1 ounce of palladium would buy 5 ounces of platinum! Today, much like what was the case with […]

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How Precious Metals Generate Positive Real Returns

How Precious Metals Generate Positive Real Returns

One of the most bullish backdrops for precious metals is an environment of negative real interest rates – that is, when bonds and cash yield less than the inflation rate. With inflationary pressures picking up and the Federal Reserve showing no signs of lifting its benchmark rate anytime soon, real short-term rates could fall even further into negative territory in the months ahead. Long-term yields, however, have been moving slightly higher in nominal terms. Higher bond yields have helped lift the U.S. Dollar Index and restrain gold and silver prices so far in 2021. The 30-year yield rose to nearly 2% on Friday. While still quite low historically, a breakout […]

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Be Patient, Silver Investors… It’s Only a Matter of Time

Be Patient, Silver Investors… It’s Only a Matter of Time

A wild week of trading across asset markets has left investors wondering what represents real value – and whether it even matters anymore. Stratospheric GameStop shares came crashing back to earth after their gravity-defying run up.  The stock had clearly been pumped to ridiculously overvalued levels based on all conventional metrics. But that didn’t deter buyers who believed they could push it to $1,000 per share before cashing out. After dropping over 85% its nominal price peak, perhaps the GameStop craze has ended just as abruptly as it began. Meanwhile, some online speculators have jumped aboard other bizarre market frenzies. For example, the crypto token Dogecoin – which launched a […]

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How to Survive a Silver-Gold Sucker Punch

How to Survive a Silver-Gold Sucker Punch

Anyone who owns precious metals, mining shares or metals’ ETFs knows the drill. First, gold and silver begin to establish an uptrend on the charts. Analysts (like us) start writing about how prices are getting ready to make an upside run. Then “out of nowhere” thousands of highly margined futures contracts hit the market on the short side, “re-painting” the charts, sending terror into the hearts of stackers and those who believe in “honest money.” The reality is that honest money is being manipulated for personal gain by dishonest traders, enabled by “regulators” who, to put it charitably, look the other way. It can be disheartening. It can make you […]

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Silver Launches Toward Major Technical Breakout

Silver Launches Toward Major Technical Breakout

Precious metals markets are on the move this week. They got a boost following Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy statement. Fed officials kept their benchmark interest rate near zero and vowed to continue injecting $120 billion per month into the bond market. The central bank seemed unconcerned about bubble-like conditions in equity markets. Nothing seems likely to deter it from pursuing more stimulus for the foreseeable future. The ultra-dovish Fed helped nudge the U.S. Dollar Index down. It broke below 90 on Thursday to record a new low for the year. Dollar weakness energized gold and silver markets. In fact, silver appears to be launching toward a major technical breakout. The […]

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Don’t Let the Silver (and Gold) Bull Shake You Off!

Don’t Let the Silver (and Gold) Bull Shake You Off!

Gold and silver exchange-traded funds (ETFs), a measure of large investor interest, are experiencing outflows as opposed to an almost interrupted inflow over the last few months. Mining stocks which either look for or produce these metals have been moving sideways, testing the “mettle” of even perma-bulls. Many investors see these as negative signs. But I view it as a Mr. Market’s last big effort to “shake the tree,” causing as many people as possible to fall off the galloping bull and head for cover. As David Morgan has so aptly – and during times like this, often said, “A precious metals’ bull run (especially that of silver) will either wear you out […]

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Globalists Poised for a “Great Reset” – Any Role for Gold?

Globalists Poised for a “Great Reset” – Any Role for Gold?

Although the apparent results of the 2020 election are still being contested, members of the global ruling elite are already looking forward to a post-Trump era in American politics – and a post-vaccine world economy. They have encapsulated their policy agenda for 2021 and beyond into two words: “Great Reset.” The notion of a Great Reset comes directly from the World Economic Forum. The globalist organization has been actively pushing it for months via a series of policy articles on its web site. The Great Reset agenda entails “harnessing the fourth industrial revolution” and “redrawing the geo-political map of the world” in pursuit of an “energy transition” that makes “economies more […]

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Silver’s Coming Double Trigger Shotgun Price Explosion

Silver’s Coming Double Trigger Shotgun Price Explosion

Even in the competitive hunting/shooting community, few enthusiasts know about an arcane rifle known as a “double trigger shotgun.” Essentially, it’s a double-barrel shotgun having a trigger for each barrel. This was an early day’s design with the triggers located inside the trigger guard, back to front. It was possible to press both triggers at once, causing a double discharge, though for the most part this was not a good idea – since it caused twice the recoil, and was hard on both the shotgun and the shooter – especially if not anticipated. Though this essay is not about shotguns, but rather silver, the above concept provides a perfect analogy […]

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US Mint Is Not Raising Prices on Most Silver Eagles (But Market Forces May)

US Mint Is Not Raising Prices on Most Silver Eagles (But Market Forces May)

Money Metals Exchange has seen a large surge in demand for silver American Eagle coins in recent days. The word on the street was that a hefty $13 price increase was coming, and many wanted to get their coins before prices rose. The news of a price increase isn’t wrong. It’s just that it won’t directly impact anyone except those people buying high-priced coins in specialty packaging directly from the U.S. Mint. The Mint is not currently raising prices on the bullion strike version sold to wholesalers. The uncirculated silver Eagles that bullion investors buy by the millions are not included among the coins subject to the current round of […]

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Why Did Precious Metals Get Clobbered This Week?

Why Did Precious Metals Get Clobbered This Week?

Precious metals markets got clobbered early this week as gold and silver broke down from their high-level consolidations. Strength in the U.S. Dollar Index seemed to be the catalyst that got the selling going.  Once key technical levels got breached, the selling intensified. Gold prices fell below the $1,900 level on Wednesday. Meanwhile, silver plummeted below $24 an ounce and traded as low as $22 on Thursday before recouping some of those losses by the end of the trading day. Some of the volatility seen in metals and equity markets in recent days is attributable to the failure of Congress and the White House to agree on a new stimulus […]

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Gold and Silver Are Still Locked and Loaded… Don’t be Out of Ammo

Gold and Silver Are Still Locked and Loaded… Don’t be Out of Ammo

In military terms, the phrase “locked and loaded” refers to “locking” a magazine or cartridge into a firearm and loading a round into the gun’s chamber. A variant is to “lock the safety” and then load a magazine into the weapon. The analogy in his essay is that from a technical (chart) standpoint, the price of gold and silver are building energy to the point that they are getting closer and closer to breaking out of a consolidation pattern and beginning the next impulse in the bullish sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The pullback this week does not negate the outlook for higher prices in the coming weeks […]

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China Unloads Dollars as Gold Tests Support

China Unloads Dollars as Gold Tests Support

Since posting new record highs in early August, the gold market has consolidated above $1,900/oz support. A close below the $1,900 level would carry bearish implications for the near term. Alternatively, a move back above $2,000/oz would likely be followed through to the upside with a rally to fresh highs. Silver, in turn, could be expected to run to new multi-year highs above $30/oz. These breakouts will happen eventually. The relentless mega trend of dollar depreciation (i.e., inflation) ensures hard money will gain value versus fiat Federal Reserve notes. The question is whether a deeper correction occurs first… or the major trend accelerates. Inflation rates may be set to accelerate […]

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Gold & Silver Shine as Fed Targets Bondholders for Capital Losses

Gold & Silver Shine as Fed Targets Bondholders for Capital Losses

As the tech-heavy stock market indexes sold off on Thursday, many investors were forced to re-think their positions. For the past few months, mega cap technology companies like Apple, Amazon, and Tesla have led the market higher. Yesterday they led the market lower. Now the question is: Where can investors look for leadership going forward? As would be expected during big down days for equities, gold held up relatively better. For the week, though, gold, silver, and platinum prices are all down. Palladium has certainly shown leadership within the metals space in recent years. But despite this week’s gains, palladium prices still sit below their highs from February. And despite […]

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Could Buffett Buy 130 Million Ounces of Silver Again?

Could Buffett Buy 130 Million Ounces of Silver Again?

Earlier this week, precious metals markets got a surprising Buffett bounce. Legendary investor Warren Buffett isn’t often associated with gold – at least not in a positive way. In the past Buffett has made derisive comments about the monetary metal. He once quipped that gold “has no utility.” A perpetual optimist on the U.S. economy, Buffett by nature doesn’t like the message that is sent by higher gold prices. He has likened investing in gold to “going long on fear.” Well, the Oracle of Omaha, as he is known, seems to be reluctantly bracing for a return of fear in the markets.  His Berkshire Hathaway holding company recently dumped shares […]

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