Tag: stock market

Silver, Gold and S&P: A Trend Change Is Due

Silver, Gold and S&P: A Trend Change Is Due

Expect a trend change in 2014 and much higher gold and silver prices as they rally above their 200 day moving averages. The ratio of silver prices to the S&P is back to 2008 levels and substantially below the linear trend since 2006. Expect the ratio to regress (rise) to its mean while silver prices rally substantially from here. Both long and short term time cycles indicate that an important bottom occurred in June of 2013. It appears that a double-bottom occurred in December of 2013. If this double-bottom holds, time cycles suggest that silver will rally strongly in 2014.

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Jim Rogers Sees Higher Gold And Energy Prices, Declining Stock Markets

Jim Rogers Sees Higher Gold And Energy Prices, Declining Stock Markets

Strange things happen during a war. There are always unintended consequences. However, throughout history, during war time, food prices have gone up a lot, energy prices have gone up a lot, copper and other metals all go up in price.

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GLD Exodus Is Reversing

| August 16, 2013 | Category: Investing
GLD Exodus Is Reversing

Both last Friday and this Wednesday, GLD experienced enough differential buying pressure to necessitate builds of 0.2% each day. These are modest, but they are still noteworthy. It is actually the first time in all of 2013 that GLD has enjoyed two builds in less than a single week. The GLD exodus reversal looks to be starting!

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Marc Faber: Gold And Miners Most Attractive Relative To Other Assets

Marc Faber: Gold And Miners Most Attractive Relative To Other Assets

Given the negative sentiment, Marc Faber likes investing in gold. Why? Because it is a buy RELATIVE TO other assets. Investors should not look at it necessarily in absolute terms, but in comparison to paintings, colletibles, the Dow Jones, S&P 500, the Russell 2000, ea. He adds to it that the S&P 500 was trading at 1554 in March 2000 which is only 10% higher today. Gold has been an ecellent investment because it is 5 times higher right now. The investment has worked on a long term basis, not for investors who joined the hype in 2011.

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Gold & Silver Price Under Pressure, US Dollar Perceived Safe Haven

Gold & Silver Price Under Pressure, US Dollar Perceived Safe Haven

As there is no significant yield elsewhere, equities and US dollar could have a long way to go before they correct. Hence, gold and silver could see a long way down, before they reverse. Gold and silver investors should think about the reasons why they are holding the metal. If it is for monetary protection, then they should be able to ignore short to mid-term price action, even if the price will go lower. There are too many contradictory signals out there right now. Participants in the ongoing uptrend should be careful.

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Investors Taking To Equities Again Leading To The Gold Fall

Investors Taking To Equities Again Leading To The Gold Fall

The speculation that’s doing the rounds is obviously more about how the rates of interest have connection to gold. Actually reports point to the fact that the lower interest rates are usually known to favor gold. However, if one goes by what the analysts have to say, then it’d be obvious that they believe more in cyclical assets and that includes equities as well. Analysts believe that it’s these equities that look more attractive at the moment.

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Beware The Dow Jones Nominal Record High

Beware The Dow Jones Nominal Record High

Euphoria in the stock market. The reason is obviously this gigantic move in the US stock indexes, mainly the Dow Jones Industrials Index, breaking into historically record high territory. Enough reasons to think that the risks of an economic crisis are gone? Let’s look at what is happening from several points of view.

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A Dow/Gold Ratio for Independence Day

| July 4, 2012 | Articles: Insights
A Dow/Gold Ratio for Independence Day

A lot of people pay close attention to the Dow/Gold Ratio, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. You might want to take a look this Fourth of July, too. This blunt measure of stocks versus stuff gets nearly 5 million results on Google, posting some 650 unique stories on the Dow/Gold Ratio. Search volumes for the term “Dow Gold” don’t quite match “Kim Kardashian” say, over the last 5 years (nor even “Reggie Bush”). But spiking in late 2008 and mid-2011, they very nearly matched search volumes for “Treasury bonds” – a market priced at twice the value of all the gold in the world. So why the interest? The Dow/Gold Ratio maps, over time, how the Dow index […]

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Richard Russell: Is Anything Safe In Our New World?

With continued uncertainty surrounding global markets, the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, asked an important and intriguing question, “Is anything completely safe in our new world of central bank fiat paper?” Russell also discussed gold at length, but first, this is what Russell had to say about  the action in stocks:  “I wanted a mechanical way to follow the secular (primary) bear market.  This required a moving average that was insensitive to secondary reactions and also insensitive to cyclical (short-term) bull and bear markets.  In other words, I needed a long-term moving average that would portray the primary trend while screening out most minor and secondary movements.” Richard Russell continues: “After much […]

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Jim Rickards: This is how the US Fed blueprint looks like, gold prices to triple in the coming years

Author Jim Rickards, who wrote the best-selling book “Currency Wars – The making of the next global crisis” that was published earlier this year, shares his expectations about the gold price. He also gives valuable insights in the blueprint of the US Federal Reserve and gives an idea of their roadmap. This article is a short summary of Mr Rickards’ interview, as described on ETF Daily News. The central thesis of the US Fed’s blueprint is essentially “to incentivize investor cash to leave low-yielding interest-bearing accounts and to enter the stock market in the hopes of reigniting economic activity and speculation.” The Fed wants investors to buy risk assets, like equities and mortgages, […]

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Is the Market at a Historic Turning Point? Top Watchers Say. . .

Legendary Dow Theory Letters Writer Richard Russell issued a big bear warning May 27. In a special early alert for his subscribers, he announced that his analysis of the April to May activity on the Dow Jones Industrials showed the continuation of a primary bear market that started on October 9, 2007. “We are now dealing with the latter part of the primary bear market. . .subscribers should now follow a course of utmost caution,” he said. “As for gold, I think it will be under pressure for a while, but before this bear market is over, gold will embark on a major bull move. The current correction in gold will test […]

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The Influence of the General Stock Market and Crude Oil on Gold

The Influence of the General Stock Market and Crude Oil on Gold

We’re getting whiplash from all the political changes in Europe, neo-Nazis in an unstable government in Greece and a changing of the guard in France– “adieu” to Nicolas Sarkozy. We see plenty of reasons for holding on to our long-term gold positions despite the clobbering the yellow metal got on Wednesday down to a four-month low. The euro tumbled this week against the dollar in the worst run since 2008. There is an intense resurgence of political risk in Europe and a couple of months of weak jobs numbers in the U.S. All that has put stimulus back on the table. Another item on the table is the risk of […]

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