Tag: stock market

The Rise Of The Paper Machines

The Rise Of The Paper Machines

The powers-that-be have done a great job levitating Group One markets and suppressing Group Two markets. They have considerable resources, massive quantities of fiat currency, considerable influence over the media and government statistics, and the power of the banking cartel and “printing press” behind them. They possess the motive, means and opportunity, so there should be no surprise at their success levitating Group One markets.

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Gold, Silver, Yen & S&P Correlation

| April 9, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold, Silver, Yen & S&P Correlation

Over the last 8 years of gold prices rallying and crashing, the statistical correlation has been about 0.74. Since the all-time high in gold prices in August 2011, the yen-gold correlation has been an astonishing 0.96. Similarly, yen and the S&P 500 show an inverse correlation. It is the same story with silver. The correlation between smoothed silver and smoothed yen over 8 years has been about 0.80 and about 0.97 since August 2011. It has almost been a “one-way” trade since then. It is amazing that the yen, gold, silver, and the inverse S&P have been so tightly correlated (over 0.95) for almost four years …

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Market Cycles: Trouble Ahead In The Stock Market

Market Cycles: Trouble Ahead In The Stock Market

Given that the S&P has rallied since early 2009, experienced only a minor correction in 2011, is currently at a cyclic peak, clearly over-bought on a monthly and weekly basis, and has been artificially sustained by central bank easy money, is it likely that the next MAJOR move is up or down? My bet is down.

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Extremes In The Markets: Expect Consequences (Part I)

Extremes In The Markets:  Expect Consequences (Part I)

We have many economic and political extremes in our current world. Perhaps this time will be different, but I doubt it. Debt will increase until a “reset” occurs. Politicians will “extend and pretend” and make MANY promises. The S&P has enjoyed a large rally in the last 6 years. It will correct. Bonds are in a massive bubble, partially created by the low and negative interest rates forced upon the system by central banks. All bubbles eventually burst. Gold and silver and their stocks have been beaten down for nearly four years. They will rally to new highs.

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The Titanic Sinks At Dawn

The Titanic Sinks At Dawn

Lives were lost, paper stock certificates were gone, bonds did not survive, dollar bills were destroyed, but gold and silver endured the sinking of the Titanic over a century ago.

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Long-Term Correlations Between The Dollar And Oil, Stocks, Bonds, Gold

| March 13, 2015 | Category: Price
Long-Term Correlations Between The Dollar And Oil, Stocks, Bonds, Gold

The correlations between Dollar-Oil and Dollar-Gold are much stronger, and negative. The 12-month Correlation Coefficients fluctuate above and below the zero line, but the 60-month moving average is mostly negative. Oil and the dollar were positively correlated from 2000 to 2004, but this did not last long as the negative correlation returned. The relationship between gold and the Dollar is by far the strongest, and a strong Dollar is clearly hurting gold.

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16 Investment Insights – Money, Markets, And Metals In 2015

16 Investment Insights – Money, Markets, And Metals In 2015

This is a summary of the key investment insights from 6 top fund or money managers, as well as top traders, including Jim Rickards and Ronald Stoeferle (well known in the precious metals community worldwide), during the quarterly Incrementum Advisory Board.

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Coming Boom, Bust And Bottom In Stocks, Crude Oil, Silver

| February 2, 2015 | Category: Economy
Coming Boom, Bust And Bottom In Stocks, Crude Oil, Silver

Exponentially increasing systems cannot last forever. Our problem is that the global financial system is based on exponentially increasing debt, energy usage, population, and exploitation of natural resources. This appears to work nicely, especially for the financial and political elite, in the early years of the exponential increases. However, we are approaching the inevitable end of the exponential increases – perhaps not in a few months – but our systems probably will not last another decade. In the meantime, the plan seems to be “Party On!”

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Gold Gets Safe Haven Bids But COMEX Has Stopping Power

| February 1, 2015 | Category: Investing
Gold Gets Safe Haven Bids But COMEX Has Stopping Power

An important driver of the recent gold rally has been the flight to safety, away from stocks, into “risk off” assets like the US Dollar, US Bonds and gold. Clearly, gold in non-US Dollars has a much more constructive outlook because of the monstrous US Dollar rally of late. In the short run, the gold chart setup suggests a pause. Longer term, towards the second half of this year, depending on how risk on / risk off will play out, gold could be in the position to break through its long term resistance. Even with all the conclusions confirming each other, there is one major divergence, and it deserves a yellow flag in our opinion: COMEX futures positions. It has the potential to cap the rally, and even reverse it, at least in the short run. Going forward, it is key to monitor how futures positions in the COMEX evolve as the price of gold changes. Also, the key trendlines, chart patterns, and technical indicators should be monitored as prices evolve.

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6 Great Investment Questions To Marc Faber

| December 22, 2014 | Category: Investing
6 Great Investment Questions To Marc Faber

In the latest episode of Ask the Expert, by Sprott Money, Dr. Marc Faber was the invitee. Below are the answers from Marc Faber on 6 excellent questions from Sprott Money readers.

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Crude Oil Crash, Silver Price, and Exploding National Debt

| December 22, 2014 | Category: Investing
Crude Oil Crash, Silver Price, and Exploding National Debt

Crude oil and silver prices have crashed before, and they will again. But the one constant in our financial universe that seems inevitable, for the foreseeable future, is increasing debt. Crude oil and silver prices will follow increasing debt.

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Spot The Bubble: Gold Price vs Citi Stock

Spot The Bubble: Gold Price vs Citi Stock

Citi analyst Buiter claims gold is a 6000-year-old bubble, perhaps Mr. Buiter has not seen this chart?

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Silver and Powerful Forces

Silver and Powerful Forces

For several years it seems that powerful forces have been aligned against gold and silver. What will happen to prices when some or all of those powerful forces reverse and align in favor of precious metals, for their own protection and profit?

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Gold And Silver Price Crash Of 2014 Coming?

| October 31, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Price Crash Of 2014 Coming?

Are we about to experience another crash of the price of gold and silver, as well as miners, comparable to what we have seen in April and June of 2013? We do not exclude it, given the strong trends explained above: rising U.S. Dollar on the back of a sharply declining Yen and rising equities. On the other hand, were equities about to reverse their course because the end of QE would bring uncertainty and volatility, it could well be that the metals (mainly gold) could benefit from new money inflows.

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