Tag: stock market

Will Gold Prices Finally Pull Back or Continue Marching Ahead?

Will Gold Prices Finally Pull Back or Continue Marching Ahead?

Gold prices are up more than 11% since bottoming last December. Their gains last week took the gold market right up to its 50-week moving average. In 2015, attempted rallies reversed at the 50-week moving average. Could this level once again serve as a barrier to further price advances? Either way, long-term gold bulls shouldn’t sweat this particular technical level. Major bull markets need to pull back and reconsolidate periodically. Whether that starts happening this week, or later on at higher price levels, a downturn of some magnitude is inevitable. One indicator that may be pointing toward a pullback sooner rather than later is the negative divergence in gold mining […]

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Stock Market Highs Make Strong Case for Precious Metal Buys

| February 1, 2017 | Category: Economy
Stock Market Highs Make Strong Case for Precious Metal Buys

Dow 20,000 was ushered in with great fanfare. Traders on the New York Stock Exchange sported “Dow 20,000” hats. Even President Donald Trump joined the celebration. Trump told ABC News he was “very honored” that the stock market gave his presidency a symbolic vote of confidence. “Now we have to go up, up, up. We don’t want it to stay there,” he said. Everyone loves a bull market. Expecting stocks to go up forever, however, is a dangerous mindset to have as an investor. Recent history suggests that major milestones for the Dow should be viewed less as cause for celebration and more as warning signs. What 1999 Can Teach […]

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The Price Of Gold Will Rise If Stocks Collapse

| September 7, 2015 | Category: Price
The Price Of Gold Will Rise If Stocks Collapse

So with all due respect to those of you who see gold as just another imminent general commodity liquidation away from $850 or lower, I think that is not exactly the way it is going to play out. We may see more sell-off coming as current conditions develop; yes, I may still be a little early; but gold still represents the ultimate store of value for liquid capital.

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Buy Gold, Sell the S&P

| September 4, 2015 | Category: Investing
Buy Gold, Sell the S&P

My estimation is that various forces will nudge the S&P higher and occasionally levitate it, but deflationary forces will overwhelm both markets and central banks, and global stock markets will continue their downward path. Eventually people and investors will realize that “money” is now debt owed by a government, central bank or corporation that may not be solvent. When confidence in the viability of debt based fiat currencies and confidence in the ability to repay debt diminishes, people will flock to gold investments.

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The Next Financial Crisis May Already be Unfolding

| September 3, 2015 | Category: Investing
The Next Financial Crisis May Already be Unfolding

If you have stocks or other financial assets that you are worried could be vulnerable, then hedge your risk. Gold is one of the very best counter-weights to financial assets you can own, because it exhibits low correlation (and often negative correlation) to stocks and bonds. When they tank, gold can surge.

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Warnings From Exponential Markets vs Gold

Warnings From Exponential Markets vs Gold

Markets go up and down. Debt however, based on over 100 years of central bank and politician foolishness, only goes up – until a great deflationary crash that may not happen. Expect debt to increase, politicians and central banks to spend and “print” and markets to boom and bust and follow exponential trends higher. When markets get overextended in either direction, they reverse, or regress to the mean. The 64 Trillion Dollar questions are which markets and when? Look at the graphs again and ask yourself if you truly expect higher S&P prices along with lower gold prices, OR THE REVERSE.

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Media Stocks Collapse, Gold Holds Its Own

Media Stocks Collapse, Gold Holds Its Own

A recent Bloomberg article points out that the gold rout has cost China and Russia $5.4 billion, an amount that would sound colossal were it not for the fact that U.S. media companies such as Disney and Viacom collectively lost over $60 billion for shareholders in as little as two days this week. Below are the weekly losses for just a handful of those companies. Compared to many other asset classes, gold has held up well, even after factoring in its price decline.

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Desolation Row: the Silver Market

Desolation Row:  the Silver Market

There are numerous reasons to expect that the US stock markets might follow the Chinese markets downward, particularly by the end of the year. A FEW possibilities are: 7 – 8 year cycles, extended valuations, excessive confidence, new wars, Chinese market crash, bond market reversal, interest rate increases, weak internals, Armstrong’s economic confidence cycles, and Shemitah cycles. Silver has been crushed and the S&P has been levitated. Both seem likely to turn soon.

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Gold Stocks: Take the Low Risk Road

Gold Stocks: Take the Low Risk Road

The S&P 500 Index hit an all-time high in May 2015. The XAU index of gold stocks hit a 13 year low this week – July 8. The XAU to S&P ratio shows that gold stocks have been weak for several years and appear ready to reverse higher. Take the low risk road. At this time the S&P looks like a high risk path while the XAU looks like a low risk road.

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Gold Up And S&P Down?

Gold Up And S&P Down?

Expect “more of the same” or much higher inflation, perhaps hyperinflation, in our debt based, unbacked, fiat, easily printed, “inflate or die,” Quantitative Easing, digital and paper, divorced from reality, currency world. Expect much higher gold prices.

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Silver Lows and Bubble Bonds

Silver Lows and Bubble Bonds

T bonds and the S&P look dangerous, while silver has been crushed during the past four years. Which of those three asset classes is likely to perform better between now and Election Day 2016? Which of those assets has no counter-party risk? Two of those assets currently trade at or near all-time highs, while one is, relatively speaking, quite inexpensive! Invest accordingly.

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Gold Has Bottomed – More Evidence

Gold Has Bottomed – More Evidence

Markets become over-bought and over-sold, or extended to extremes, in both directions. At some point they reverse, as indicated by the Stress Index. Intense moves in the S&P and Bond market indicate extremes in sentiment that also affect the gold and silver markets. Many gold bottoms and tops have been identified over the past 15 years by this Stress Index. The “gold-bashers” may be correct (I doubt it), and the High-Frequency-Traders and central banks may crush gold and silver prices again, but I doubt it. The Stress Index indicated a bottom in the gold and silver markets in March of 2015.

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Gold Prices In 2020?

Gold Prices In 2020?

History and current actions justify the expectation that governments and central banks will increase debt, devalue fiat currencies, and thereby force gold and silver prices much higher. Convert digital dollars, yen, pounds, and euros into gold and silver while you can. Current “on sale” prices will not last much longer.

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Silver and NASDAQ: Long, Medium and Short Trends

Silver and NASDAQ: Long, Medium and Short Trends

I am not an investment advisor, and I do not have an “approved by Wall Street” certificate so my views are my own. Do your own research, but in my opinion, now is NOT the time to be dumping savings into the NASDAQ when it is hitting a 15 year high. Instead, silver is at a 4 year low and has returned to 2006 levels. The risk/reward analysis strongly favors silver.

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