Tag: silver price

Ted Butler’s Silver Price Outlook – Why This Time Could Be Different

| October 14, 2014 | Category: Price
Ted Butler’s Silver Price Outlook – Why This Time Could Be Different

What do we make out of the current futures positions in gold and silver? One thing is clear, as both Butler and Steer have reiterated, the rate of accumulation in short positions of commercial traders (read: JP Morgan) during the next rally will determine to which extent the rally will run. So far, after the silver price peak in 2011, all rallies have been capped by aggressive shorting by commercials. Is there a reason to believe this time will be different? Although hesitant, COT analyst Ted Butler believes there are reasons to believe that it could be different with the next precious metals rally.

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Silver Price At Historical Extremes Compared To Oil And Stocks

Silver Price At Historical Extremes Compared To Oil And Stocks

Silver is currently inexpensive compared to the S&P 500 Index, crude oil, the size and rate of increase of the national debt, and especially the future price for silver after markets have reset, paper assets have devalued, and hard assets have jumped much higher in price.

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Silver Offers More Value Than Gold In This Market

Silver Offers More Value Than Gold In This Market

Pessimism towards the “poor man’s gold” has gone too far. In fact, I’m expecting silver to provide investors with a better return than gold bullion over the next 24 months. If gold bullion prices were to return to their high of $1,900 an ounce, the gain from today’s gold bullion prices would be 60%. If silver were to return to its high of $50.00 an ounce (achieved in 2011)—the gains from silver’s current trading level would be 194%.

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Silver’s Disconnect: Silver Price Falls Amid A Strengthening Physical Market

| October 6, 2014 | Category: Price
Silver’s Disconnect: Silver Price Falls Amid A Strengthening Physical Market

While all precious metals have dropped, the silver price has suffered the most. As a monetary metal, it seems to defy logic that silver has plummeted while debt levels have soared, money printing is at historic levels, and fiscal deficits remain stubbornly high in spite of record federal tax revenue. But the disconnect is bigger than just the price vs. silver’s monetary role.

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Silver Breaks to the Downside in a Big Way – Technical Picture

Silver Breaks to the Downside in a Big Way – Technical Picture

The SILVER tracking ETF has penetrated major support and may well be leading the way lower for other precious metals. At the moment both the short-and intermediate KSTs are bearish and this is likely to put more downside pressure on the metal, notwithstanding any reflex rallies that might develop. The long-term series is flat but still above its moving average. However, the recent drop below support by the price itself is likely to place downward pressure on it.

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Events Impacting The Gold And Silver Price In The Week Of September 29th

| September 29, 2014 | Category: Price
Events Impacting The Gold And Silver Price In The Week Of September 29th

For the week commencing September 29th, there are some key economic data and the European Central Bank announcement that could impact markets and precious metals. A key event this week is undoubtedly the ECB rate decision on Thursday October 2nd.

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Gold And Silver: Current Price Is The Story

| September 20, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver: Current Price Is The Story

Forget all the news, all the fundamentals, all the [mostly errant] price projections. There is a reason why a picture is worth more than 1,000 words, and this is one of those times where it is best to focus on pictures of the market, over various time frames, to get a better handle on what to expect moving forward. Put to rest every so-called PMs pundit or blogger that has persistently been calling for higher prices or saying the low is in. We keep saying that the best and most reliable indicators come from the market. Time to stop listening about what others have been saying about the market and pay closer attention to what the market is saying about others.

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Gold And Silver Price Drop To Critical Fibonacci Levels

| September 19, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Price Drop To Critical Fibonacci Levels

The sell-off has forced the metals to break below some key technical support levels. As a result, fresh sell orders have been triggered which have thus exacerbated the sell-off. For silver, the next potential support is around $17.75/80, a level which corresponds with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension of the last major upswing. For gold, a move down to $1210/12, where a couple of Fibonacci extension levels converge, could be the next stop – potentially ahead of $1180/5 after that.

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What Is Next For The Price Of Silver: Collapse or Rally?

| September 17, 2014 | Category: Price
What Is Next For The Price Of Silver: Collapse or Rally?

Monthly Prices: Silver is “over-sold” based on the charts, the TDI oscillator, and many other oscillators. Expect silver prices to rise. The gold to silver ratio is high which indicates relatively inexpensive silver prices and higher silver prices ahead. Weekly Prices: Same as monthly prices – “over-sold” and ready to rally. Daily Prices: They are also “over-sold” but pretty much controlled by the High Frequency Trading algorithms and the temporary needs of the “powers-that-be.”

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Is The Fed About To Write the Next Chapter For Silver?

| September 16, 2014 | Category: Technicals
Is The Fed About To Write the Next Chapter For Silver?

Another $10B taper of the QE program is all-but-inevitable, so the key variable will be whether the central bank tweaks its statement to suggest that it may raise interest rates sooner. We’ll have a full Fed preview out later today, but if the Fed statement suggests earlier rate hikes are possible, the dollar may rally and silver could fall back into 18.25-50 support. On the other hand, a status-quo statement and press conference would disappoint dollar bulls, likely leading silver to break out of its bearish channel and target $19 in the short-term and potentially the $20 level in time.

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Current Gold and Silver Bear Markets Into A Longer Term Perspective

| September 15, 2014 | Category: Investing
Current Gold and Silver Bear Markets Into A Longer Term Perspective

While the weekly and monthly charts are negative, Gold and Silver can be viewed from an ever larger historical perspective. Keep in mind, many a trader has gone broke with the correct longest-term historical perspectives. Historical perspectives are good for understanding, but not for timing investing and trading. I actually believe in the long-term prospects for Gold. I think prudent people should be accumulating physical Gold during this bear market and sticking it in their safety-deposit boxes. As for Silver … no interest.

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The Silver Sentiment Cycle Suggest Higher Silver Prices In The Years Ahead

| September 11, 2014 | Category: Investing
The Silver Sentiment Cycle Suggest Higher Silver Prices In The Years Ahead

What is Different This Time? Probably not much! The patterns are similar, but the potential rally from present prices in 2014 looks like it could be even larger than the 1977 – 1980 rally. Why? See below. In the early 1970s silver went from “ho-hum” to “enthusiasm” to “wow, who would believe it could go to $6.40?” After the 2008 crash silver went from “going back to 5 bucks” to “enthusiasm” to “wow, who would believe it could go above $45?”

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Rising Dollar Weighing On Gold And Silver Price, But Short Term Reversal Possible

Rising Dollar Weighing On Gold And Silver Price, But Short Term Reversal Possible

A strong Dollar is also weighing on gold because the Gold SPDR is down around 6% from its early July high. Gold may be short-term oversold and the Dollar may be short-term overbought, but the trends are clear. The chart shows GLD within a falling channel the last two months. The lower trend line extends to the 120 area later this month. The upper trend line and a small buffer mark key resistance in the 125-125.5 area.

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Gold And Silver Directionless, Palladium And Aluminium Bullish

| September 1, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Directionless, Palladium And Aluminium Bullish

This is the monthy technical analysis by Louise Yamada, exclusively for premium subscribers. In her August 2014 report, she shows the technical levels to watch for all four precious metals, including copper and aluminium. In gold, here remains a series of lower highs all the way from the peak in price and continues within the past year’s trading. Silver is struggling with support. Palladium, however, remains very strong from a technical point of view, and hence bullish. Alluminum is rallying from a a multi-year bottom.

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