Tag: silver price

Smashed Silver Snaps Back into Ferocious Bull Market

Smashed Silver Snaps Back into Ferocious Bull Market

By Stefan Gleason, Originally Published on Money Metals Exchange The silver bull is back. After five long, frustrating years of price smashes followed by one failed rally attempt after another, silver prices have decisively broken out to the upside. The question facing precious metals investors now is: How sustainable is the uptrend? A major breakout doesn’t necessarily portend any particular duration or price objective to follow. The silver market is notorious for producing price swings that befuddle forecasters. Nevertheless, the birth of a new cyclical bull market suggests the potential for a multi-year up move to come. Before it’s over, we are likely to see new all-time highs. The good […]

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Climbing Gold and Silver’s Wall of Worry

Climbing Gold and Silver’s Wall of Worry

By Clint Siegner, Originally Published on Money Metals Exchange Confidence is slippery, even when you are a metals investor sitting atop the best performing assets of 2016. It doesn’t help when 4 years of a miserable bear market remains fresh in our memories. Any weakness in prices and it can feel like markets are getting ready to plunge right back to $13 silver and $1,000 gold. That feeling is called the “Wall of Worry”, and bulls are going to have to climb it by staying in the market even if their emotions are telling them to bail. Let’s review the last 6 weeks because they are quite instructional. June 1st: […]

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Silver Prices in Five Years?

Silver Prices in Five Years?

What will the price of silver be in 2021? You can find articles suggesting the price of silver will be over $1,000 and under $10. Perhaps this is the wrong question. A better approach: The global financial system is increasingly unstable and fragile, more so than in 2008. The important question is: How will governments, central banks and financial systems respond to the ongoing crisis? Future prices for silver are dependent upon the answer to that question. I suggest three possible scenarios. Scenario One – status quo: The next five years could look much like the last 20 years. Politicians spend too much money, debt expands exponentially, central banks monetize […]

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Gold And Silver Prices: Value Of Knowing The Trend

| November 22, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Prices: Value Of Knowing The Trend

All fiats fail, and the only difference this time around is the grossly exaggerated extent to which fiat has managed to survive. It also indicates that once the fiat “dollar” fails, and there are more and more cracks showing up in its ability to maintain its world reserve currency status, the move for physical gold and silver will also be favorably exaggerated to the upside.

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Gold And Silver Market: Sellers Remain In Control

| November 15, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Market: Sellers Remain In Control

Will this potential double bottom hold? After the wide range bar decline, 6 bars ago, the last 5 bars have been overlapping, and the closes are almost clustering, both signs for a possible change in price direction. A rally can be expected, but surrounding circumstances dictate it may not last, as explained next.

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Gold, Silver, Copper Testing Six-Year Lows

| November 12, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold, Silver, Copper Testing Six-Year Lows

With the dollar having recently risen to a new seven-month high, commodity prices are in retreat. The brown line in Chart 1 shows the CRB Index (of nineteen commodity markets) falling to the lowest level since August (through yesterday). That commodity selling started in mid-October just as the U.S. Dollar Index started rising. A rising dollar almost always results in lower commodity prices (and stocks tied to them). The commodity selloff has been quite broad and includes industrial and previous metals, energy prices, and agriculturals. Several of those markets are testing six-year lows.

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Gold And Silver At Make Or Break Level, As Dollar Breaks Out Big Time!

| November 9, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver At Make Or Break Level, As Dollar Breaks Out Big Time!

The metals sold off last week. Gold is testing righ now its August lows. This is a critical price level, gold bulls would like to see this price level hold, otherwise a washout (capitulation-alike) decline could be in the cards. As for silver, it is holding up slightly better. According to the Andrews Pitchfork methodology from PitchforkPlayground.com, gold has been whacked hard as the US Dollar rallies. Support is occurring at the lower median line extension of the modified-Schiff pitchfork and the July/August lows. The outlook of the precious metals is clearly not supported by the secular breakout of the U.S. dollar. As the multi-decade chart shows, the dollar has broken out of its declining secular trendline, earlier this year, and is about to confirm its breakout by moving higher from these price levels.

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Deception Rules Gold And Silver Markets, Not Fundamentals

| November 7, 2015 | Category: Price
Deception Rules Gold And Silver Markets, Not Fundamentals

As we have noted all year, the currency correction has been relatively weak, and weak corrections auger for higher prices. There is no way to know how much higher the deception of the fiat “dollar” will go. There will inevitably be signs of some form of ending action that declares the down trend to be finished. We have not yet seen any such sign. The sooner price can make a new recent lower low, the greater the probability that the down trend will end. In that regard, everyone who wants to be bullish should cheer on lower prices, for now.

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Could Silver Test Its Lows?

| November 4, 2015 | Category: Price
Could Silver Test Its Lows?

This does not bode well for the short and medium term. We anticipate at least a test of the recent lows; even a lower low is in the cards. However, the good news is that it could become the final (washout) bottom, setting up for a huge buying opportunity!

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COMEX Gold Again Capped A Rally. Gold’s 2 Downside Targets.

COMEX Gold Again Capped A Rally. Gold’s 2 Downside Targets.

Gold was looking good until last week Wednesday, October 28th. It must be a coincidence that the COMEX futures gold price always drops significantly on the day of an FOMC meeting / announcement. Right now, gold sits on its 50 day moving average (DMA). If support fails, our downside target becomes $1125 at the lower median line of the blue modified-Schiff fork. The lower median line of the red modified-Schiff fork is around $1050.

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Month-End Technical Review For Gold And Silver

| October 31, 2015 | Category: Price
Month-End Technical Review For Gold And Silver

Twelve times a year, we get to present the monthly charts in order to keep a higher time frame perspective. Higher time frames are much harder to turn and change trend, so it pays to always be aware of what a monthly chart is indicating. A fact that all can agree on is that price is at recent lows when compared to the 2011 highs. That indicates the trend is down. It would be impossible to argue otherwise, whether one is an experienced chart reader or has no experience.

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Silver’s Bearish Signal

| October 30, 2015 | Category: Price
Silver’s Bearish Signal

While the next Commitment of Traders positioning report will be released tomorrow, the current data we have available shows that hedge funds and other speculators are extremely optimistic on precious metals, and in particular Silver. We are at record high managed money net longs (hedge funds), which must be very surprising to gold bugs. The fact that the price has not made a higher high nor cleared the 200 day moving average – and yet every Tom, Dick and Henry piled into this trade – tells us there is still room further downside. Obviously we are wrong with a tight stop above the 200 day moving average, however looking at the dumb money positioning and various bloggers opinions, we believe there is a lot of potential disappointment coming.

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Silver Hedgers Hold Largest Short Positions Since 2010

| October 28, 2015 | Category: Trading
Silver Hedgers Hold Largest Short Positions Since 2010

The latest Commitments of Traders report showed an eagerness to sell the metals, in particular gold and silver. Both are at levels that coincided with peaks in the metals over the past three years. In silver, hedges now have their largest short position since 2010. As noted last week, this is a huge test for metals and silver in particular. If it can continue to rally in the face of heavy pressure from hedgers, it will be an excellent sign that the bear market is likely over.

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Technicals: Gold Working Its Way Higher

Technicals: Gold Working Its Way Higher

Gold is working its way higher with a nice pullback to what should be support along the median line of this modified-Schiff pitchfork. This chart is meant to emphasize the failed triple-bottom zone where, IMO, a significant amount of resistance can be expected. After a multi-year downtrend many people were expecting the $1180’ish level to be the bottom. When it failed in late-2014 sentiment became very dark which of course set the stage for a quick rally up to $1300. Breaking above this triple-bottom zone and establishing it as support again will be a major milestone.

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