Tag: silver outlook

Silver – Technical Indicators Point To A Bottom

| August 14, 2013 | Category: Price
Silver – Technical Indicators Point To A Bottom

Six of eight significant silver market lows in the past 23 years occurred when the GSR (gold to silver ratio) was > 64 and the RSI of the GSR was < 35. Silver, in late June and early July 2013, met the above criteria, along with a near record low RSI of the GSR, and a record low in the TDI Trade Signal Line. These are strongly bullish conditions.

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Silver Short Squeeze

| August 10, 2013 | Category: Trading
Silver Short Squeeze

The only way for speculators to unwind futures short positions is by buying other contracts to offset their earlier sales. To go short they sell futures contracts, then to close these trades they buy them back. And this buying drives up silver’s futures price exactly like new long-side buying. So the massive shorts in silver futures guarantee proportional massive buying in the coming months to cover and close these bets.

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Watch Copper Prices For Silver’s Short Term Outlook

| August 4, 2013 | Category: Trading
Watch Copper Prices For Silver’s Short Term Outlook

The market is in a trendless phase – the downtrend has been interrupted but rather than an uptrend starting, the market is consolidating (moving sideways) with a negative or bearish bias. Without a rising copper, palladium, aluminum, tin, zinc, price it will be up to gold to bring buying into silver with those who do so focusing more on its role as a monetary metal. While talk that inflation pressures remains subdued dominates current thinking, the grey metal will underperform gold. I still like to watch copper prices to get a better sense of what silver might do.

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Silver – A Change In Behavior. Enough For A Bottom?

| July 29, 2013 | Category: Price
Silver – A Change In Behavior. Enough For A Bottom?

With this editorial, we turn to the charts, ignoring the fundamentals, all the news. All we need to know has already been “priced in.” Everything else is an expectation based on news and fundamentals, and they do not always go hand-in-hand with market reality. The best example we can cite is where price expectations are/have been within the precious metals community, $50, $150, $300, and where the reality of price is, by sharp contrast, just under $20.

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Crude Oil & Silver Price – Interesting Parallels

| July 24, 2013 | Category: Price
Crude Oil & Silver Price – Interesting Parallels

Both crude and silver took about 9.5 years to rally from a significant low to an important high. The high to low ratios were similar – over 13 and over 12. Both collapsed after their blow-off highs and fell 76% and 62% from their highs. Crude rallied during the next four years and is now over triple its crash low. Silver, a much smaller and more volatile market, seems likely to do something even more dramatic.

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Silver – The Great Game

Silver – The Great Game

You buy insurance to protect against unlikely but possible destruction of your assets. Have you purchased silver or gold insurance against the all but inevitable destruction of your paper assets? Do you feel safer and more protected knowing that your silver and gold is physical, not paper, and stored in a secure, off-site, out of the banking system, depository?

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Silver Fundamentals Are Strongest Ever

Silver Fundamentals Are Strongest Ever

Peter Schiff just released his new research report entitled “The Powerful Case for Silver” (pdf format). In it, he explains why the upside potential of silver is greater than the one of gold. Peter Schiff believes that the fundamentals for silver are the strongest they have ever been and that silver is massively undervalued at today’s prices.

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Silver – Light at the End of the Tunnel?

| July 10, 2013 | Category: Investing
Silver – Light at the End of the Tunnel?

The most common interpretation of the recent shift is that the large bank (presumably, but not directly confirmed as JP Morgan) has closed out its silver short positions (at a nice profit, no doubt), and is now positioning itself for a bullish silver reversal. This is certainly what the bank appears to be doing in the futures market, although its participation through “paper” products based on silver’s spot price, rather than on the underlying metal itself, makes it difficult to know for sure

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Another Silver Buy Signal

Another Silver Buy Signal

The stage is set for the large bullion banks to profit from a rally. Expect a rally. The silver and gold markets are deeply oversold and sentiment in both markets is very low. Now is a time to buy gold and silver, not sell them. Silver and gold sentiment and indicators are at multi-year, multi-decade, or all-time lows.

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State Of The Gold & Silver Market by Rick Rule

State Of The Gold & Silver Market by Rick Rule

In this excellent interview with FutureMoneyTrends Rick Rule looks at the current trend in gold and silver bullion and miners. In particular he answers three important questions (1) is there any relevance in the fact that gold and silver prices are falling through their cost of production (2) is the current bear market (un)usual (3) which fallacies to avoid in order to get significant returns out of mining companies in the years ahead.

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Time Cycle Model for Silver Price

| June 10, 2013 | Category: Price
Time Cycle Model for Silver Price

This simple model, which uses only four cycles and an exponential increase, indicates that a low in the silver price was expected approximately February – July 2013, and that the next high is expected approximately March – October 2014 in the $50 – $60 range. Further, the model suggests that a silver price of $90 – $110 is possible in the September 2015 – March 2016 time period. Do not depend solely on a model such as this; it is one of many tools.

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5 Signs Of An Imminent Gold & Silver Price Rally

5 Signs Of An Imminent Gold & Silver Price Rally

While the markets have been very volatile lately, hence difficult to predict, it is reasonable to expect a bounce in the price of gold and silver. We hasten to say that nobody can predict the future, so our expectation could turn out to be wrong. To be more precise, the probability of higher prices is higher than the probability of lower prices, at least in the short run. Here is why.

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Gold & Silver Price – The True Story Is All About Time. Be Prepared.

Gold & Silver Price – The True Story Is All About Time. Be Prepared.

If you choose to stay in the banking system, expect to take losses on anything held in a bank. Read that sentence as many times as it takes to have it sink in. What have the bankers been hell-bent on destroying and discrediting? Gold and silver.

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Silver Low – Probably

Silver Low – Probably

Unfortunately, there is not, that I can see, a simple pattern that predicts the next low in the price of silver. Markets seldom make it that easy. However, there are patterns that provide valuable information to help illuminate the “big picture” perspective of where the current price of silver lies in the up-down-up-down cycle of prices.

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