Tag: sentiment analysis

Felix Zulauf: Global Financial Markets Are More Distorted Than Ever Before

Felix Zulauf: Global Financial Markets Are More Distorted Than Ever Before

Investors started off 2015 with a slow global economy, low oil prices, a strong Dollar, and a deflationary Europe with great uncertainties on the progress of the US economy and the recent launch of Europe’s quantitative easing. The question is, what opportunities lie ahead? This article highlights the main topics covered in an interview between Mr. Frank Suess with the globally renowned Swiss fund manager, Mr. Felix Zulauf.

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Insights From 10 Year Gold to Silver Ratio And Sentiment

| October 1, 2014 | Category: Price
Insights From 10 Year Gold to Silver Ratio And Sentiment

The GSR is approximately 70. That is an extremely high ratio and probably marks a major bottom in gold and silver prices. However, can the price of silver drop another buck? Of course! Do High-Frequency-Traders want to generate profits? Of course, and if they can smash silver down another buck, they will. But watch out for the snap-back rally. It will be impressive. Prices will reflect true value – eventually. In the meantime, buy when blood is running in the streets, when sentiment is low, when prices have been smashed, and when nobody else wants to buy.

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Is Gold Correcting Or In A Downtrend?

| September 24, 2014 | Category: Price
Is Gold Correcting Or In A Downtrend?

All this makes me believe we are not in a corrective triangle within a bear market but rather in a bottoming formation. Gold sentiment is not just negative, it is extremely negative, while all the bears in US stocks and the dollar have capitulated. However the breakout from this triangle formation has to be watched very closely. Any move below US$1,200 and, more specifically, $1,180, to which I give a low probability, would require a new look.

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What Is Next For The Price Of Silver: Collapse or Rally?

| September 17, 2014 | Category: Price
What Is Next For The Price Of Silver: Collapse or Rally?

Monthly Prices: Silver is “over-sold” based on the charts, the TDI oscillator, and many other oscillators. Expect silver prices to rise. The gold to silver ratio is high which indicates relatively inexpensive silver prices and higher silver prices ahead. Weekly Prices: Same as monthly prices – “over-sold” and ready to rally. Daily Prices: They are also “over-sold” but pretty much controlled by the High Frequency Trading algorithms and the temporary needs of the “powers-that-be.”

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Cycle Analysis Supports Both Bearish and Bullish Views On Gold and Silver

| September 16, 2014 | Category: Technicals
Cycle Analysis Supports Both Bearish and Bullish Views On Gold and Silver

As bearish as this sounds, there is a “rest of the story” in support of my view that we’re still at a major decision point for Gold. If June 2013 was the final capitulation low that ended the bear market, and I still believe that it was, it was followed by a retest in Dec 2013. Each cycle since has attracted fewer Short speculators and far less hedging…and that’s not bear market behavior. Such apathy and disinterest is often observed at – or after – bear market lows.

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The Silver Sentiment Cycle Suggest Higher Silver Prices In The Years Ahead

| September 11, 2014 | Category: Investing
The Silver Sentiment Cycle Suggest Higher Silver Prices In The Years Ahead

What is Different This Time? Probably not much! The patterns are similar, but the potential rally from present prices in 2014 looks like it could be even larger than the 1977 – 1980 rally. Why? See below. In the early 1970s silver went from “ho-hum” to “enthusiasm” to “wow, who would believe it could go to $6.40?” After the 2008 crash silver went from “going back to 5 bucks” to “enthusiasm” to “wow, who would believe it could go above $45?”

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Why The Gold Price Is Trendless

| August 25, 2014 | Category: Price
Why The Gold Price Is Trendless

The answer lies is in opposing forces at work in the markets and economy. There are two very important drivers which we discuss in this article: real interest rates and the inflation/deflation tug of war.

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Silver Chart And Sentiment Show Potentially Very Sharp Rally

Silver Chart And Sentiment Show Potentially Very Sharp Rally

There is an extremely interesting development brewing in the silver market. Chances are high this will turn out bullish, although one should not exclude a bearish outcome. On the near term, two important indicators are flashing a potential key reversal, at least for the short and mid term. First, sentiment is at an important pivot point. Second, the long term chart seems to be accomplishing a multi year chart pattern. Let’s review both in this article.

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Gold Sentiment Reaching Key Level

Gold Sentiment Reaching Key Level

So if gold is indeed in a new bull market, then the current display of “bull market pessimism” should not get much worse, and we should see buying pressure start to take hold. If not, and gold not only breaks its early April lows but sentiment also gets worse, then the nascent bull market is in trouble.

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Watch Gold Sentiment For A Confirmation Of Its New Bull Market

Watch Gold Sentiment For A Confirmation Of Its New Bull Market

The latest figures, released this weekend, show that gold’s sentiment is 75% and silver 50%. As always, when a market shrugs off its typical reaction during a market cycle, then the probability increases that that market cycle has changed…meaning that if gold can hold steady in the coming weeks in spite of high sentiment levels, then the case for a new bull market will be bolstered even further.

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Gold and Silver Sentiment Improving Significantly

| February 24, 2014 | Category: Investing
Gold and Silver Sentiment Improving Significantly

This article is based on the latest premium edition of the Sentimentrader report. Market sentiment towards gold and silver are analyzed and put into perspective. From the latest sentiment report, released over the weekend, it appears that sentiment towards both gold and silver has improved significantly.

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5 Signs Of An Imminent Gold & Silver Price Rally

5 Signs Of An Imminent Gold & Silver Price Rally

While the markets have been very volatile lately, hence difficult to predict, it is reasonable to expect a bounce in the price of gold and silver. We hasten to say that nobody can predict the future, so our expectation could turn out to be wrong. To be more precise, the probability of higher prices is higher than the probability of lower prices, at least in the short run. Here is why.

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Sharpest Drop in Gold Price Since Start Of Bull Market

Sharpest Drop in Gold Price Since Start Of Bull Market

The gold price has been hit hard. With a gold price drop of 7.7% following Friday’s decline of 5.5%, it makes up for the sharpest drop since the start of the current bull market in the metals in 2001.

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Silver Sentiment Reaches Extreme Levels

Silver Sentiment Reaches Extreme Levels

Silver this week also finally shows that sentiment has also finally fallen to bull market lows. We know that when sentiment reaches these levels of extremes (see Green lines on below chart), that it has always marked a significant low. As Silver has retraced back to its 2 year support area (low $26 area), sentiment has dropped even further this time compared to past lows.

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