Tag: President Trump

Trump’s Backdoor Power Play to Rein In the Fed

| September 19, 2018 | Category: Economy
Trump’s Backdoor Power Play to Rein In the Fed

“Just run the presses – print money.” That’s what President Donald Trump supposedly instructed his former chief economic adviser Gary Cohn to do in response to the budget deficit. The quote appears in Bob Woodward’s controversial book Fear: Trump in the White House. Trump disputes many of the anecdotes Woodward assembled. But regardless of whether the President used those exact words, they do reflect an “easy money” philosophy that he has expressed many times before. Trump Likes Low Rates, Loose Money President Trump has described himself as a “low interest rate person.” This past summer, Trump launched a very public attack on the Federal Reserve’s rate hiking campaign. He wants it […]

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Growing job market in the U.S.

Before we dive in let’s first understand the basics. Now, what is the job market? Well in simple terms, the job market is the market in which employers search for employees and employees search for jobs. The job market is also directly related to unemployment. The higher the unemployment rate, the greater the supply of labor in the overall job market. When employers have a larger pool of applicants to choose from, they can be pickier or force down wages. As the unemployment rate drops employers are forced to compete more heavily for available workers, which has the effect of increasing wages. During the past months, we have seen a […]

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What Happens to the Price of Gold if Trump is Impeached?

The impeachment of Trump has been a revolving issue for quit a long time. What does impeachment mean? Impeachment is the process of getting rid of a president outside of election time. It is a long and difficult process at that – first, the House of Representatives has to vote by a majority to impeach a president and; second, it goes to the senate where two-thirds vote is required to actually remove the president. So, what happens to markets if the US President gets impeached? In the history or America, two presidents have notably gotten themselves into trouble, Clinton and Nixon. These lead to the resignation of Nixon and the […]

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5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

| February 22, 2018 | Category: Economy
5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

Investors got lulled into a state of inflation complacency. Persistently low official inflation rates in recent years depressed bond yields along with risk premiums on all financial assets. That’s changing in 2018. Five drivers of higher inflation rates are now starting to kick in. Inflation Driver #1: Rising CPI The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a notoriously flawed measure of inflation. It tends to understate real-world price increases. Nevertheless, CPI is the most widely followed measure of inflation. When it moves up, so do inflation expectations by investors. On February 13th, the Labor Department released stronger than expected CPI numbers. Prices rose a robust 0.5% in January, with headline CPI […]

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Raising the Debt Ceiling Means Jacking Up Future Inflation

| August 2, 2017 | Category: Economy
Raising the Debt Ceiling Means Jacking Up Future Inflation

The dramatic failure of the U.S. Senate’s last-ditch Obamacare repeal effort leaves Republicans so far without a major legislative win since Donald Trump took office. No healthcare reform. No tax reform. No monetary reform. No budgetary reform. The more things change in Washington… the more they stay the same. Despite an unconventional outsider in the White House, it’s business as usual for entrenched incumbents of both parties. The next major order of business for the bipartisan establishment is to raise the debt ceiling above $20 trillion. Since March, the Treasury Department has been relying on “extraordinary measures” to pay the government’s bills without breaching the statutory debt limit. By October, […]

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GOP Leadership Betrays Trump Voters on Obamacare & Debt

GOP Leadership Betrays Trump Voters on Obamacare & Debt

The single-digit approval rating of Congress means precious few people still expect much from the politicians running Washington DC. Expectations should now ratchet even lower as representatives once again demonstrate just how far their words are from their deeds. We’ll start with healthcare. The U.S. Senate failed in yet another effort to repeal and replace Obamacare. The prospects for reform any time soon are approaching zero. Voters opposed to the skyrocketing premiums, the ballooning federal expenditures and the huge expansion in government control associated with the Affordable Care Act are bewildered. The program is an obvious train wreck. Republicans in Congress spent years telling everyone willing to listen that repeal […]

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How Would Markets React If Trump Is Actually Forced Out of Office?

How Would Markets React If Trump Is Actually Forced Out of Office?

Donald Trump’s policy agenda – and his very presidency – are in jeopardy… …at least if you believe the chatter on cable television. Yes, for weeks now, the big media outlets have been stirring up talk of impeachment. One narrative after another – Russia, Comey, Kushner, etc. – yet no conclusive evidence of any “high crimes and misdemeanors.” Still, Democrats in Congress smell blood in the water… and they have readied articles of impeachment for introduction as soon as an opportunity presents. But investors don’t seem particularly concerned about the implications of political turmoil intensifying in Washington. The stock market keeps edging higher with minimal volatility. The only hint of […]

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Trump Turmoil Grows, Prompting Flight to Safety

Trump Turmoil Grows, Prompting Flight to Safety

Donald Trump has been dogged by efforts to undermine his presidency since winning the election in November. Deep State operators and political partisans have been working around the clock to hang a scandal around the president’s neck large enough to ruin him. If markets are any indication, they got some help last week from former FBI director James Comey. Comey’s leaked memo asserting the president tried to interfere with the investigation of Michael Flynn, the former National Security Advisor, prompted a selloff in stocks and a boost in precious metals. Democratic Congressman Al Green became the first in Congress to actually call for impeaching the president on the House floor. […]

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Gold “Trumps” Dollar amid geopolitical concerns

Gold is always considered as a safe haven by investors when compared to other investments like stocks, bonds, and currencies. Extending its recent upward trend, Gold prices have gained 6.5% year-to-date with Spot gold price reaching its five-month closing high of $1,288.50 an ounce. Due to the recent geopolitical concerns and uncertainty prevailing in the US economic policy under Trump administration, precious metals are seeing a revival in demand amidst investors. Spot Gold price was expected to reach up to $1300 as it surged intra-day to $1297. Also, the dollar index consolidated losses and fell below its key 101 level to reach 99.499 as of 18th April 2017. Fed Chair […]

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Another Potential Government Shutdown… Oh My!

Another Potential Government Shutdown… Oh My!

The U.S. Congress runs up against their self-imposed borrowing limit once again this week. During the last tussle over the borrowing cap in October 2015, Congress agreed to schedule this week’s political theater to occur well after last Fall’s elections. They didn’t even bother to guess how much additional headroom would be needed. They just suspended the debt limit altogether. Neither Democratic nor Republican leadership wanted voters focused on borrowing and spending when they went to the polls. Government employees can count on eventually getting paid for any time they are furloughed. When the show is over, most in Congress will agree to saddle taxpayers (and their kids) with a […]

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Investor Optimism toward Washington’s Problem-Solving Abilities Is Misplaced

Investor Optimism toward Washington’s Problem-Solving Abilities Is Misplaced

The bullion markets offer their own commentary about conservatives’ state of mind since Donald Trump’s election. They are optimistic for the first time in years. Just look at the sales statistics from the U.S. Mint. Bullion. Coin sales have fallen sharply as investors see less reason to seek safe haven in the form of physical metal. During Obama’s presidency, and during the campaign when it looked as if Hillary might succeed him, conservatives and libertarians aggressively bought American Eagle coins and other bullion products. The mint set new sales records nearly every year. The mindset that drove the retail buying changed in November. Consider the February sales figures. Sales of […]

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Capital Controls May Be Coming to the US

Those who hoped President Trump would tone down his protectionist rhetoric will be unnerved six weeks into his tenure. From his meeting with business CEOs, Trump has put trade “front and center.” So far, all is going well for the president. Markets are inching higher, and inflationary forces have picked up. However, bringing back jobs and reducing the trade deficit will be a tougher task. (although jobs have set historic gains already) A Victim of His Own Success  Trump’s election unleashed the “animal spirits” that have been absent post-financial crisis. On the surface, this is good for the economy. The US is currently the only major country raising interest rates and enjoying […]

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Michael Pento Exclusive: Markets Have Priced in Trump Getting EVERYTHING He Wants… What If He Doesn’t?

Michael Pento Exclusive: Markets Have Priced in Trump Getting EVERYTHING He Wants… What If He Doesn’t?

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Michael Pento president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a money manager and who ascribes to the Austrian School of Economics and has been a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business News, and also the Money Metals podcast. Michael, it’s great to have you on with us again, and thanks so much for joining us today. Welcome back. Michael Pento: Thanks for having me back on […]

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Jim Rickards: China Disaster to Trigger Gold Run, Trump to Appoint 5 of 7 Fed Governors

Jim Rickards: China Disaster to Trigger Gold Run, Trump to Appoint 5 of 7 Fed Governors

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason (Money Metals Exchange): It is my great privilege to be joined now by James Rickards. Mr. Rickards is editor of Strategic Intelligence, a monthly newsletter, and Director of the James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics and global capital. He’s also the author of several bestselling books including The Death of Money, Currency Wars, The New Case for Gold, and now his latest book The Road To Ruin. Jim is a portfolio manager, lawyer, and renowned economist having been interviewed by CNBC, the BBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, and CNN, just to name a […]

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