Tag: market analysis

25 Monetary And Economic Insights From Incrementum’s Advisory Board

25 Monetary And Economic Insights From Incrementum’s Advisory Board

The Incrementum Advisory Board gathers once per quarter to discuss the economic and financial outlook. Respected people like Jim Rickards and Heinz Blasnik are part of the panel. We encourage serious market students to thoroughly read the document as it contains wealth of insights. We picked out 25 insights related to the state of the monetary system, economy and markets.

Continue Reading

The Case For Junior Precious Metals Miners

The Case For Junior Precious Metals Miners

Junior gold and silver miners spent more than the seniors on exploration during this timeframe ($14.6 billion compared to $12.5 billion), and their discoveries collectively had a much higher valuation ($12.1 billion compared to $7.9 billion). Accordingly, they were roughly 30% more effective than seniors at generating wealth for investors.

Continue Reading

Weekly Review For Gold Investors – April 17th

Weekly Review For Gold Investors – April 17th

In his weekly market review, Frank Holmes of the USFunds.com summarizes this week’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats in the gold market for gold investors. Gold closed the week at $1,204.27 up $9.55 per ounce (0.80%). Gold stocks, as measured by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, gained 4.28%. The U.S. Trade-Weighted Dollar Index lost 1.72% for the week.

Continue Reading

BPR April: Precious Metals Suppression In COMEX Market Continues

| April 13, 2015 | Category: Investing
BPR April: Precious Metals Suppression In COMEX Market Continues

As I said last month at this time—along with a couple of Wall Street investment houses, these are “da boyz’—the sellers of last resort—and you can call them what you like. Until they decide, or are instructed to stand back, the prices of all four precious metals are going nowhere—supply and demand fundamentals be damned! As Jim Rickards so correctly put it, the price management scheme is now so obvious, they should be embarrassed about it. But they obviously aren’t.

Continue Reading

Asia Will Have More Impact on Financial Markets Than U.S. Fed Rhetoric

| March 31, 2015 | Category: Economy
Asia Will Have More Impact on Financial Markets Than U.S. Fed Rhetoric

Right now, global financial markets are reacting to what the Federal Reserve may or may not do. At the last FOMC meeting, Yellen decided to drop the word “patience” from its forward guidance. As far as I am concerned, the word patience is irrelevant and it makes no sense whatsoever, why this one word from the Fed should have such an impact on global financial markets. But, this is the madness of today that has pervaded these markets. Basing critical investment decisions on garbage rhetoric, lies and deception rather than real, truthful and important fundamental information have become the norm. To me, it is unbelievable that people have attempted to predict the action of the most powerful bank in the world by deciphering the meaning of one word when the fundamentals are so very clear?

Continue Reading

Extremes In The Markets: Expect Consequences (Part I)

Extremes In The Markets:  Expect Consequences (Part I)

We have many economic and political extremes in our current world. Perhaps this time will be different, but I doubt it. Debt will increase until a “reset” occurs. Politicians will “extend and pretend” and make MANY promises. The S&P has enjoyed a large rally in the last 6 years. It will correct. Bonds are in a massive bubble, partially created by the low and negative interest rates forced upon the system by central banks. All bubbles eventually burst. Gold and silver and their stocks have been beaten down for nearly four years. They will rally to new highs.

Continue Reading

Gold Gets Safe Haven Bids But COMEX Has Stopping Power

| February 1, 2015 | Category: Investing
Gold Gets Safe Haven Bids But COMEX Has Stopping Power

An important driver of the recent gold rally has been the flight to safety, away from stocks, into “risk off” assets like the US Dollar, US Bonds and gold. Clearly, gold in non-US Dollars has a much more constructive outlook because of the monstrous US Dollar rally of late. In the short run, the gold chart setup suggests a pause. Longer term, towards the second half of this year, depending on how risk on / risk off will play out, gold could be in the position to break through its long term resistance. Even with all the conclusions confirming each other, there is one major divergence, and it deserves a yellow flag in our opinion: COMEX futures positions. It has the potential to cap the rally, and even reverse it, at least in the short run. Going forward, it is key to monitor how futures positions in the COMEX evolve as the price of gold changes. Also, the key trendlines, chart patterns, and technical indicators should be monitored as prices evolve.

Continue Reading

Gold Price Pulls Back And Tests 200 Day MA

| January 29, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Price Pulls Back And Tests 200 Day MA

Today Gold is testing a major horizontal support / resistance line. I am a believer in the 200 DMA acting as support or resistance. The whole April to September 2014 was a battle along the 200 DMA . We’ll find out in the next few days if Gold can get a bounce here. If the $USD was to stop rising that could give GLD the tailwind it might need to break this trend of lower highs.

Continue Reading

Gold Price Model Says Gold Is Still Undervalued

| January 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Price Model Says Gold Is Still Undervalued

The price of gold closed on Friday, January 16 at approximately $1,276. My model indicates that price is still too low by about 16% and therefore the probability is that the price of gold will rally substantially in the next several years.

Continue Reading

Evidence of Alarming Government Manipulation In The Gold Market

Evidence of Alarming Government Manipulation In The Gold Market

We’ve seen unprecedented US government and Federal Reserve intervention in virtually all asset markets in the past decade, and all of them are pretty much out in the open…whether it be buying bonds, buying stocks, bailing out industries, and so forth. The US government even buys oil in the open market to fill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, something we could see happening again soon given the dramatic fall in oil prices recently and the negative impact on domestic producers. But while these other interventions are freely disclosed to the public, no one in government seems willing to admit to interventions in the gold and silver markets. Why the secrecy, and why don’t the “powers that be” want to see a free gold market?

Continue Reading

10 Remarkable Gold And Silver Trends Going Into 2015

| January 4, 2015 | Category: Investing
10 Remarkable Gold And Silver Trends Going Into 2015

The chart setup for gold and silver does not really look like prices are ready to move much higher, at least not in the short run. Excellent chart analysis of gold and silver was provided by Michael Noonan in Gold And Silver Charts Going Into 2015: Expect More Of The Same, courtesy of ChartAnalyst.expert. Although we should not expect fireworks in terms of price, there are some favorable trends “under the hood”. They do not reflect the generally accepted pessimism towards the metals among investors. Our belief is that it will take some time until the price will move back in line with these fundamental trends. Until then, gold or silver owners can rest assured that the gold and silver market is not as bad as some would like to make you believe.

Continue Reading

Ronald Stoeferle: Gold Outlook For 2015

| December 23, 2014 | Category: Investing
Ronald Stoeferle: Gold Outlook For 2015

[Sticky post] What gold will do in 2015 is a question that is top of mind of gold investors, particularly during this period of the year. We reached out to gold analyst Ronald-Peter Stoeferle to get his taken on the outlook for gold in 2015. Stoeferle feels that gold is in a long term bottom range. Although the price of the yellow metal could go lower in the short run, it seems unlikely that another price crash similar to the one in the first half of 2013 is about to repeat.

Continue Reading

Dramatic Increase in Gold Flows into China

Dramatic Increase in Gold Flows into China

The larger rationale for holding precious metals is even better – when times are good and people have more disposable income, as literally hundreds of millions of “Chindians” are in the process of achieving right now – the buy-and-hold demand for precious metals looks destined to rise in a big way and continue doing so in the foreseeable future.

Continue Reading

Silver’s Bullish Fundamentals Driven By Solar Energy

Silver’s Bullish Fundamentals Driven By Solar Energy

With photovoltaic installations on the rise, silver demand is ready for a major surge. About 80 metric tons of the metal are needed to generate one gigawatt, or 1 million kilowatts, of electricity, enough to power a little over 90 typical American homes annually. In 2016, close to a million and a half metric tons of silver are expected to be needed to meet solar demand in the United States alone.

Continue Reading