On the question where gold will trade for the rest of this year, Rickards is convinced that gold will go sideways this year and that it will go up next year. He also believes inflation is coming with a lag. On the question what deflation means for gold, Rickards answers that gold traditionally performs well amid deflation, as well as inflation.
What will the monetary system look like once a collapse occurs, which Rickards expects in the coming 3 to 5 year time frame. In his view, which he describes in great detail in his book Currency Wars, there are four possibilities: multiple reserve currencies, SDR’s, a gold standard, chaos.
Gold is 25% up in the last 3 months, but it’s up in Yen, not dollars. This is where currency wars and gold dynamics come together. Gold is always rallying somewhere; right now it is rallying in Yen. Meantime you can always make money in gold, as it is always 5 o’clock somewhere.
The red line through all of this? The price trend of gold does not reflect the real financial and monetary risks. But what to make out of this disconnect? Honestly, it is difficult to say. We are not alone apparently. Some of the sources we really trust consistently report the same disconnect between “reality” and price evolutions.
Bloomberg claimed that Russia has been a bigger buyer of gold over the past decade than China – by a full 25%. Based on data about gold imports through Hong Kong and the fact that Chinese production doesn’t leave the country, it seemed to me that this could not be right. The Chinese central bank holds an official 1,054 tonnes of gold in its reserves. Bloomberg states that China has added somewhere around 425 tonnes over the past decade.
At a certain point in 2011, the Chinese let their currency go up. Amazingly, right after they did it, their inflation, trade surplus and economy “cooled off”. So the exchange rate was pegged at a new level. That’s when the Fed announced QE3, and the same process started all over.
Currency devaluations travel around the world, in cycles, and they are reflected in the gold price in the affected currency. The dollar remains fairly strong because every time there is a panic it goes with a flight to quality. The dollar maintains its value, so will keep on printing, until very suddenly and unexpectedly, there will be a loss of trust in the dollar.
The world currency system is riding down the road to catastrophe. Those were the words from James Rickards during a recent interview on Wall Street Journal. The world already has entered a currency war that began in 2010 on the heels of the Federal Reserve’s massive easing program. Since then, plenty of nations have joined in, including Brazil, Switzerland and Japan.
So how o you preserve wealth in this crazy economic environment? asks Greg Canavan for the Daily Reckoning Australia. A few weeks ago we quoted from Richard Duncan’s latest book, The New Depression: ‘The hard truth is that it is not easy to preserve wealth. If it were, the families who were wealthy 200 years ago would still be wealthy today – and generally, they are not. In the very harsh economic environment that is likely to prevail over the next ten years, it is likely that a great deal of wealth is going to be destroyed.’ We suggested Buying Gold could be a way of preserving wealth. In response, we received this thoughtful [...]
Author Jim Rickards, who wrote the best-selling book “Currency Wars – The making of the next global crisis” that was published earlier this year, shares his expectations about the gold price. He also gives valuable insights in the blueprint of the US Federal Reserve and gives an idea of their roadmap. This article is a short summary of Mr Rickards’ interview, as described on ETF Daily News. The central thesis of the US Fed’s blueprint is essentially “to incentivize investor cash to leave low-yielding interest-bearing accounts and to enter the stock market in the hopes of reigniting economic activity and speculation.” The Fed wants investors to buy risk assets, like equities and mortgages, [...]
“Currencies are in effect the ocean” that all the fish, including the great white shark, fear, says investment manager and author of Currency Wars, James Rickards. Sometimes the ocean is calm, but in times like ours it becomes a much more hostile and dangerous environment. Find out how currencies interact globally and why governments manipulate them so much, in this video. Listen to James’ entire presentation at the latest Casey Research Summit – and those of 30 other well-known economists, authors, and investment pros – on CD or MP3. Learn more.
Gold Settles Higher On May 23d – Finds Support From Drop In Dollar
With the present economic conditions in the US, there are various ways in which the fluctuations in the price of dollar will make the gold price rise and fall according to the rates. If you’re an investor, you should take into account the bigger picture so that you can take an informed and measured decision in the long run.
Gold & Silver Price Overreact to Fed Speech
The metals have been subject to the same type of trading behaviour. It became blatant once again today. In fact, it is the third time this week that we witness extreme speculation in the metals. Silver, for instance, saw its peak today at $23.20 and its lows at $22.15, a difference of almost 5% intraday. Note that the peak on the charts was during the speech of Mr. Bernanke. A bit later, prices came down triggered by one specific sentence in the speech.
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