The end of QE is bullish for the Dollar. Note that the Fed has ended QE and the European Central Bank is threatening QE. This is Dollar bullish and Euro bearish. The US Dollar ETF held its support zone and surged to affirm support at 22.60. Gold gave us a little preview of the Fed policy statement by breaking down last week. This break held as GLD consolidated in the 118 area. GLD continued lower after the Fed announced the long awaited end to quantitative easing, which is Dollar bullish and bullion bearish. I will not move key resistance to 119.
Wars will continue but may not be decisively won or lost. Debt and currency in circulation will rise exponentially. Consumer prices will continue increasing.
Gold, silver, crude oil, gasoline and food will become much more expensive. Voters will continue voting for politicians and wars even though both cause prices to rise. The number of Americans on food stamps (SNAP) will continue rising. Unemployment statistics will fall in election years but the actual number of Americans working full-time jobs will decline.
Although today’s Fed announcement didn’t really change anything, the financial markets continued to anticipate higher U.S. rates. The first chart shows the 5-Year Treasury Note Yield climbing close to its yearly high. The 10-Year T-Note yield also bounced. The widening spread between U.S. and foreign yields continues to support the dollar. The second chart shows the Dollar Index hitting a new recovery high. That pushed most commodity prices lower. The orange bars in the second chart shows the Gold Trust falling to a new low.
Expect more spending, debt, wars, and price inflation. Expect higher food and energy costs, a devalued dollar, and less confidence in governments and paper currencies. Expect more stock market crashes, corrections, booms, and blow-offs. Expect more “happy-talk” from politicians and financial TV while most of the US, Europe and Japan suffers through what appears to be an on-going depression. Expect long-term economic safety with gold and silver, perhaps ONLY with gold and silver.
As I started writing in these pages in 2014, inflation is becoming a real problem in America. Years ago, I started writing about how all this money the Federal Reserve is creating out of thin air would become inflationary. That’s exactly what is starting to happen now. I have said it many times before: inflation in the U.S. economy is going to be a major problem. Gold is the best hedge against inflation. That’s why it’s an important part of any investment portfolio.
Inflation to any degree is not an act of God. Neither are currency nor stock market crashes. Central bankers create these calamities and then ride off into the sunset, earning six-figure speaking fees and multimillion-dollar book deals. The positive reinforcement they receive ensures they’ll repeat the same mistakes over and over again. Warnings must be issued constantly. Bad things are going to happen to the finances of individuals who aren’t prepared.
Expect more debt and higher prices for stocks, energy, gold and silver. Expect more volatility as prices adjust for the latest shock, insolvency, war, and announcement from the Federal Reserve or supposedly important politician. The powers-that-be know the game is “Inflate or Die” and while they might not be all-powerful, a century of increasing prices indicates they will probably get what they want.
The conclusion is inescapable: One must buy gold and silver now, before the masses rush in. The upcoming inflationary storm will encompass most of the globe, so the amount of demand could push prices far higher than many think. Your neighbors will soon be buying. We suggest beating them to the punch. Gold speaks every language, is highly liquid anywhere in the world, and is a proven store of wealth over thousands of years.
The Incrementum Inflation Signal started showing rising inflationary momentum after a period of 19 month of disinflation. Is Inflation making a comeback just as the consensus worries about deflation risk? That was the subject of Incrementum’s first Advisory Board in which much respected names have a seat.
Regarding the US dollar, global confidence for it as reserve currency has definitely started to wane. Without a return to sound financial and monetary policy the US dollar sooner or later will be questioned sooner or later. I am absolutely certain, that the renaissance of gold in classical finance will continue.
It’s no news that inflation is one of the biggest retirement risks. There is a school of though that allocating a portion your self-directed IRA to precious metals – like gold or its stocks – could help hedge against inflation. In fact, with buzzes going around that inflation is around the corner, gold IRA rollover is becoming increasingly popular. But, in reality, gold isn’t the ultimate inflation-hedging tool it’s being made to be. Here is why.
Fire and Ice have little impact upon gold and silver. Gold and silver were money long before the unholy union of fractional reserve banking and government unleashed Fire and Ice upon our world through inflating paper currencies and deflating debt. It is time to protect our financial future with gold and silver – Fire and Ice resistant assets.
How is gold impacted in this inflation vs deflation war? The key conclusion of the research is that, due to the fractional reserve banking system and the dynamics of the ‘monetary tectonics’, inflationary and deflationary phases will alternate in the foreseeable future. Gold, being a monetary asset in the view of Austrian economics, tends to rise in inflationary periods and decline during times of disinflation. The key take-away for investors is to position themselves accordingly and consider price declines as buying opportunities for the coming inflationary period.