Tag: inflation

Effects of Inflation on Gold and Precious Metals

Inflation is characterized as a general increase in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money. But the question we want to answer is “How does this affect gold and precious metals?” We’ll get there in a moment. When the price levels rise, each unit of currency will buy you less goods and services, therefore, Inflation reduces the purchasing power per unit of money. This can affect the economy in various ways, like increase the opportunity cost of holding money, reduce the burden of private and public debt, change in the prices and demand for Gold and precious metals and so many more. Inflation and interest rates also have […]

Continue Reading

Michael Pento: Inflation to Skyrocket When Fed Reverts to New QE & Interest Rate Cuts

Michael Pento: Inflation to Skyrocket When Fed Reverts to New QE & Interest Rate Cuts

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book, The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a well-known money manager and a fantastic market commentator, and over the past few years, has been a wonderful guest and one of our favorites here on the Money Metals Podcast. We always love getting his highly-studied Austrian economist viewpoint. Michael, welcome back, and thanks for joining us again. Michael Pento: Thanks for having me back on, Mike. […]

Continue Reading

The Relationship of Oil and Precious Metals

The Relationship of Oil and Precious Metals

Precious Metals and Oil have a History Precious metals, especially gold, have long been known for their incredible value and powerful purchasing power all over the globe. They are considered the standard of value for any currency that is used anywhere in the world. They are often referred to as crisis commodity as people flock into them especially in times of economic and geopolitical turmoil as they serve as inflationary and deflationary protection. Over the years, studies between the correlation of precious metals and other commodities such as oil have been a hot topic, which has been further ignited with recent global developments. Currently, the financial markets have become extremely […]

Continue Reading

Inflation and its Effects on Cash Holdings and Investments

Inflation is a sustained rise in overall prices. A moderate rise in inflation means economic growth while high inflation results in an overheated economy. There are certain factors that affect inflation and a couple of theories that are tied to it. So before we proceed it’s very important to know some of the standing factors that influence inflation and how it affects cash holdings and investment. Inflation can be caused by a number of factors, rising commodities, high-interest rates… etc. Here are some principles and theories you need to know before we continue.  Fraction- Reserve Banking The world currently uses this type of banking system. When someone deposits $1000 in […]

Continue Reading

The Impact of the U.S. Economy on the Prices of Precious Metals

The price of precious metals, especially gold, reveals the true economic state of U.S. If today’s gold price is soaring high, it means that the economy is not healthy. It is because investors see gold as a safe haven on the verge of economic crisis. On the other hand, when the price of gold drops down, it signifies that the economy is healthy. Everything appears to be interdependent in modern complex economies, but it cannot be concluded that everything effects everything, including the value of gold. According to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, in his first speech on the economic outlook since assuming the helm at the U.S. central bank on […]

Continue Reading

Gerald Celente Exclusive: “If rates go up too high, the economy goes down, end of story”

| March 12, 2018 | Category: Economy
Gerald Celente Exclusive: “If rates go up too high, the economy goes down, end of story”

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world and it’s always great to have him on with us. Mr. Celente, thanks again for the time today and welcome back. Gerald Celente: Oh, it’s always great being on. Thank you. Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, it’s never a dull moment in Washington, D.C., these days. President Trump always keeps it lively. We have the never-ending Russia controversy, of course, the war of words with North Korea, and the intervention […]

Continue Reading

5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

| February 22, 2018 | Category: Economy
5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

Investors got lulled into a state of inflation complacency. Persistently low official inflation rates in recent years depressed bond yields along with risk premiums on all financial assets. That’s changing in 2018. Five drivers of higher inflation rates are now starting to kick in. Inflation Driver #1: Rising CPI The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a notoriously flawed measure of inflation. It tends to understate real-world price increases. Nevertheless, CPI is the most widely followed measure of inflation. When it moves up, so do inflation expectations by investors. On February 13th, the Labor Department released stronger than expected CPI numbers. Prices rose a robust 0.5% in January, with headline CPI […]

Continue Reading

Raising the Debt Ceiling Means Jacking Up Future Inflation

| August 2, 2017 | Category: Economy
Raising the Debt Ceiling Means Jacking Up Future Inflation

The dramatic failure of the U.S. Senate’s last-ditch Obamacare repeal effort leaves Republicans so far without a major legislative win since Donald Trump took office. No healthcare reform. No tax reform. No monetary reform. No budgetary reform. The more things change in Washington… the more they stay the same. Despite an unconventional outsider in the White House, it’s business as usual for entrenched incumbents of both parties. The next major order of business for the bipartisan establishment is to raise the debt ceiling above $20 trillion. Since March, the Treasury Department has been relying on “extraordinary measures” to pay the government’s bills without breaching the statutory debt limit. By October, […]

Continue Reading

Gold and Silver Are “Asymmetric” Trades

Gold and Silver Are “Asymmetric” Trades

An asymmetric trade is a situation where investing a relatively small amount of money holds the potential of yielding a profit many times the amount of the original sum at risk. In other words, where the risk to reward is skewed massively in the direction of reward. This took place recently with Bitcoin (BTC). Is this conceptually different from bets made years ago on Microsoft, Cisco, Amazon, or Facebook, which yielded hundreds of percent profit to intrepid investors? Does it have relevance to the possible returns during the next few years for those who hold physical gold and silver? I would answer “yes” and “yes.” The current “mania” in the […]

Continue Reading

Idaho Democrat Leader Brain Malfunction: “We Can’t Say Gold Is Going to Protect Us from Inflation When [It has Risen from] $27 an Ounce to $1,218 an Ounce”

| March 17, 2017 | Category: Price

The Dunning-Kruger effect is the idea that low-ability people tend to suffer from illusory superiority. The phenomenon, first studied by David Dunning and Justin Kruger, says that people who know the least tend to overvalue their own competence, and tend to believe that they are experiencing some sort of upper-echelon level of thinking. While the original study was conducted in 1999, we witnessed what appeared to be the Dunning-Kruger effect in action this past Tuesday on the floor of the Idaho House of Representatives. And while it’s only March, but we also have identified the front-runner for our “Aurophobe of the Year” award.  (Aurophobia is the irrational fear of gold.) During the March 14th floor debate […]

Continue Reading

Capital Controls May Be Coming to the US

Those who hoped President Trump would tone down his protectionist rhetoric will be unnerved six weeks into his tenure. From his meeting with business CEOs, Trump has put trade “front and center.” So far, all is going well for the president. Markets are inching higher, and inflationary forces have picked up. However, bringing back jobs and reducing the trade deficit will be a tougher task. (although jobs have set historic gains already) A Victim of His Own Success  Trump’s election unleashed the “animal spirits” that have been absent post-financial crisis. On the surface, this is good for the economy. The US is currently the only major country raising interest rates and enjoying […]

Continue Reading

What’s Behind the Recent Surge in Volatility?

What’s Behind the Recent Surge in Volatility?

BY HARD ASSETS ALLIANCE It’s no secret that people don’t like uncertainty. By nature, humans are generally creatures of habit—preferring stability and safe outcomes. This is especially true when it comes to financial matters. However, financial markets are almost always facing some type of uncertainty, be it corporate earnings, interest rates, or geopolitical events. The issues are often benign and the outcomes are non-events, but as we know, there are always surprises causing markets to react. The volatility index, commonly referred to as the VIX, is a measure of investor uncertainty and fear of the unknown. The VIX can go months at a time meandering along without much direction and […]

Continue Reading

Monetary Policy Playing With Fire: Inflationary Momentum Cannot Be Controlled

Monetary Policy Playing With Fire: Inflationary Momentum Cannot Be Controlled

We are currently witnessing one of the greatest experiments in human history. History teaches us: Neither mainstream economics nor central bankers are aware of how to control the specifics of inflationary dynamics. The pitiable attempts to regulate the level of inflation like a thermostat are testament to the hubris of monetary policymakers. Waves of price inflation happen unexpectedly and in very compressed time periods. As the following chart shows, this is confirmed by numerous historical episodes.

Continue Reading

Inflation Deniers Emboldened by Gold’s Struggles

| July 28, 2015 | Category: Economy
Inflation Deniers Emboldened by Gold’s Struggles

The inflation camp shares the conviction with deflationists that there is too much debt in the system. But they differ on the outcome. Harry Dent and those in his deflation camp figure that central banks and governments will ultimately be powerless to stop default. They think the purchasing power of the dollar will rise against everything else, including gold. We expect default to occur primarily through inflation, with debts stealthily repudiated through repayment in less valuable dollars.

Continue Reading