Tag: gold stocks

Weaponizing the Dollar; Gold Mining Stocks Chart Path to Breakout

Weaponizing the Dollar; Gold Mining Stocks Chart Path to Breakout

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments on inflation last Wednesday added fuel to the contra-dollar trade. During a press conference following the Fed’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged, Powell said, “In order to move rates up, I would want to see inflation that’s persistent and that’s significant. A significant move up in inflation that’s also persistent… “To move inflation expectations up from where they are, which appears to be a bit below 2%, will not happen overnight.” In other words, the Fed won’t be satisfied until consumer prices rise much higher over time. This “weak dollar” policy may come back to bite, though, as the Federal Reserve Note steadily […]

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Gold Stocks Reverse at Resistance Targets

Gold Stocks Reverse at Resistance Targets

Two weeks ago, regarding the miners we wrote: If it (GDXJ) surpasses its 80-week moving average then its next target is $27-$28. Meanwhile, GDX is holding above previous resistance at $18. Its next strong resistance targets are $21 and $22. Earlier today GDX and GDXJ came within pennies of $21 and $29 respectively while Gold touched $1280 before reversing. While Gold and gold stocks could continue a bit higher, their rebound may have ended Friday morning. A weekly candle chart of GDXJ and GDX is below. The miners over the past six weeks have formed six white candles and taken out their 80-week moving averages, which contained the strongest rallies […]

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When Will Gold and Gold Stocks Correct?

When Will Gold and Gold Stocks Correct?

by Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT Wednesday evening we raised a question in a subscriber update. We wrote: The current question for Gold and gold stocks is if they will push to higher targets before or a correction or if a correction has already started. We should know the answer in the next day or two. The gold stocks exploded higher on Thursday. GDX gained 6% while GDXJ surged 7.4%. Meanwhile, Gold solidified its support at $1200/oz. Markets that become overbought within strong trends can become extremely overbought before they correct. Recent price action in the precious metals complex argues that the path of least resistance in the short term continues to […]

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Something Has Changed in Gold Stocks

Something Has Changed in Gold Stocks

In our missive last week we noted that: While good things are happening under the surface for Gold, its lack of a strong rebound in recent months argues that such a rebound is in the future but not imminent. Gold’s steady downtrend could resume in the next week or two. As we know, the precious metals complex enjoyed another very strong week. Gains in the metals were somewhat muted in comparison to the gains in the miners. GDX and GDXJ surged nearly 16% and 11% respectively. Last week we said nothing has changed. This week figures to be the week something did change and definitely so for the miners. The […]

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Gold, Gold Stocks, and the End Game

Gold, Gold Stocks, and the End Game

We have seen the bottom in the gold market and gold stocks. Evidence: 1. Examine the 30+ year chart of the monthly XAU (gold stock Index) to Gold ratio. You can see that the downtrend in the ratio has lasted about 20 years – since 1996. The ratio is now at all-time lows in the form of a contracting triangle. The triangle appears broken to the upside. 2. In the last 20 years gold has moved upward from under $300 to $1,100 per ounce yet the XAU index has not kept pace, as shown by the ratio dropping from about 0.35 down to 0.03. 3. Gold hit a multi-year low […]

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Gold Stocks: Limited Downside

| November 11, 2015 | Category: Stocks
Gold Stocks: Limited Downside

Both charts, as well as the bifurcated market, suggest that the downside in gold and gold stocks is limited, but the upside, especially in gold stocks, is not tied to any limit. Now is the time to be picking the best gold stocks.

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Gold Price Outlook After Yesterday’s Rally

| September 25, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Price Outlook After Yesterday’s Rally

Gold rallied strongly yesterday on a safe haven bid amid stock market turmoil. As the stock market was sinking lower, moving closer to its August lows, gold and silver in USD moved more than 2% higher. More interestingly, gold miners rallied more than 5% on the day. The million dollar question is where we go from here. Let’s look at two charts to get an idea of gold’s and the miners’ outlook.

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High Confidence In Gold Stocks Even If Consolidation Will Continue

| September 15, 2015 | Category: Stocks
High Confidence In Gold Stocks Even If Consolidation Will Continue

We believe that the new commitment to cost transparency, greater financial discipline and shareholder value represent a crucial – if late in coming – insight into the sector’s managers. Whether this new focus turns out to be mere lip service or not will become evident in coming quarters. Since the sector’s massive write-downs and value adjustments were one-off events, they could result in greater upside leverage. We therefore believe that gold stocks continue to exhibit a strongly asymmetrical risk/reward profile at present.

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