Tag: gold outlook

Gold Showing Bull Market Characteristics But Needs To Confirm Positive Trend Action

Gold Showing Bull Market Characteristics But Needs To Confirm Positive Trend Action

The chart in this article shows that the negative progression is still intact. It would be reversed with a rally above the previous high, say at $126. What is interesting is that recent prices retraced exactly 66% or two thirds of the previous advance. Arguably more important is the fact that volume patterns have turned bullish. Note how the previous declines were associated with selling climaxes. This is pointed up by the percent volume oscillator in the bottom panel.

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Silver and Gold: Why Now?

| February 16, 2015 | Category: Investing
Silver and Gold:  Why Now?

In simple terms, government took real revenue, spent it, and then added more debt each year. Worse, the US owes compounding interest on the larger debt. Each year the US and many other governments pay interest on the loans (caused by deficit spending) from previous years. The total debt increases rapidly – far too rapidly to be repaid without massive inflation. Hence default via debt repudiation or devaluation of purchasing power is inevitable.

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Gold: The Fourth Long Term Buy Signal In Ten Years

Gold: The Fourth Long Term Buy Signal In Ten Years

Let us go straight to the key message. The long term gold chart is flashing a “buy” signal based on the technical indicator MACD. The chart says it all. Mind that this is a monthly chart, which means it looks at gold from a long term perspective.

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Is The Mainstream Financial Media Questioning Central Bank Credibility?

Is The Mainstream Financial Media Questioning Central Bank Credibility?

Jim Rickards discusses the observation that the financial mainstream media is increasingly questioning the credibility of central bank monetary policies. “I don’t actually think that the fundamental state of the world has changed. What has changed, it has become more visible. Analysts, investors and mainstream media are starting to wake up to things like currency wars, the save haven nature of gold, etc. I think the reason for that is that until you reach the zero rate bound, you can pretend it it’s a normal rate cutting exercise. Once you hit zero that pretense is gone and the currency war becomes more explicit.”

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Gold Price Model Says Gold Is Still Undervalued

| January 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Price Model Says Gold Is Still Undervalued

The price of gold closed on Friday, January 16 at approximately $1,276. My model indicates that price is still too low by about 16% and therefore the probability is that the price of gold will rally substantially in the next several years.

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Events Impacting Gold And Silver In The Week Of January 19th

| January 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Events Impacting Gold And Silver In The Week Of January 19th

For the week commencing January 19th, there is are some key economic data releases on the agenda which are not very likely to cause significant volatility in gold and silver prices. However, all focus this week is on the European central bank who will announce two things. First, an interest rate decision is scheduled. Second, a monetary stimulus package could be announced, some sort of bond buying program. All eyes are on the ECB President on Thursday who is likely to cause volatility in stock markets, currency markets and precious metals.

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Gold Predictions For 2015 Down As Gold Price Rises

| January 15, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Predictions For 2015 Down As Gold Price Rises

The most important arguments for the bearish predictions are rising interest rates, weaker oil prices, a strong U.S. Dollar. The strong demand out of Asia is expected to put have a limited impact. Meantime, what is the chart telling us? As explained in this gold chart analysis, gold is heading towards $1340 an ounce in the short run.

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The Price Of Gold In Case Of A Grexit: 2011 vs 2015

| January 5, 2015 | Category: Price
The Price Of Gold In Case Of A Grexit: 2011 vs 2015

I have no idea how the Greek elections will affect gold, but I do think any signals we need will show up on the price chart. Yes, turn off the TV and turn on the chart. Note that the long-term trend is down because gold hit a new low in early November. This means the bounce from 1140 to 1240 is a counter-trend move and the break below 1180 is bearish until proven otherwise. Gold has yet to continue lower as prices firmed the last two weeks, but I would like to see a break above 1220 to negate this bearish signal and consider a bullish alternative.

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Gold Price 2015: Forecasts And Predictions

| December 24, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Price 2015: Forecasts And Predictions

We provide in this article a comprehensive overview of different forecasts and predictions for the price gold in 2015. We hasten to say that our own stance regarding predictions remains unchanged. We have written several times before that “forecasting isn’t about predicting the market; it’s about marketing the prediction”. We also believe there is a “prediction addiction”. That is why we are not taking specific price predictions too serious. We believe, however, there is value in forecasting. A forecast is not about predicting prices but rather describing a future situation, mostly based on ongoing trends. In this article, we have selected 6 bullish gold forecasts and predictions for gold in 2015, and 9 neutral to bearish stances towards gold in 2015.

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Expect Higher Gold Prices In 2015

| December 9, 2014 | Category: Price
Expect Higher Gold Prices In 2015

The dollar’s strength is helping to push commodity prices down, as many commodities are priced in dollars, including gold and oil, which in turn doesn’t help the efforts of the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan to boost inflation in their countries. As more people become aware of what is really going on, they will accumulate physical gold and silver, and the prices will have to adjust to the real fundamentals and will no longer be determined by a handful of speculators. So, I expect to see prices trend higher in the New Year.

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Why Gold Should Rise And Exceed Previous Highs

Why Gold Should Rise And Exceed Previous Highs

Are Russia and Europe buying more gold? Will the Swiss vote ‘yes’ in its gold referendum? Is there a chance for QE4? Peter Schiff is on Kitco News to comment on some of the most recent headlines surrounding the gold market and also to share his thoughts on the U.S. economy. The Euro Pacific CEO says the U.S. recovery isn’t real and adds that the dollar is only strong because all other currencies are weak.

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Investor Alert: Disinflation And Slowing Monetary Growth

Investor Alert: Disinflation And Slowing Monetary Growth

In the latest Advisory Board which took place earlier in October, the investment landscape driven by the disinflationary forces signaled by the Incrementum Inflation Signal were discussed. Based on that signal, it seems that the inflation/deflation-tug-of-war is very intense these days. The signal switched to “neutral” at the beginning of August and then very quickly it indicated “disinflation” once again. A rather dramatic move in the USD, commodities, gold and silver followed. As can be seen on the following chart, the signal works well in real-time.

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Gold Investors Weekly Review – October 24th

Gold Investors Weekly Review – October 24th

In his weekly market review, Frank Holmes of the USFunds.com summarizes this week’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats in the gold market for gold investors. Gold closed the week at $1,230.39 down $7.93 per ounce (-0.64%). Gold stocks, as measured by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, fell 1.31%. The U.S. Trade-Weighted Dollar Index rebounded 0.71% for the week.

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Gold Price $1400 In 2015 According To Sterne Agee

| October 6, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Price $1400 In 2015 According To Sterne Agee

Investment bank Sterne Agee expect the gold price in 2015 to average $1,400. For the year after, in 2016, the bank’s analysts believe the gold price will trade at $1,450 on average. Silver should follow gold higher. The analysts expect a silver price of $19 in 2015 and $21 in 2016.

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