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Are Gold Bears Starting To Wake From Hibernation?

| April 22, 2015 | Category: Price
Are Gold Bears Starting To Wake From Hibernation?

As we go to press, gold is testing the bottom of its triangle pattern near 1186, but if that level is conclusively broken, a quick move down to 1180 is in play later this week. From a longer-term perspective, a breakdown from the triangle would suggest a measured move objective all the way down to the year-to-date low at 1140. Of course, gold may still manage to bounce from the bottom of its triangle today, but unless we see a bullish breakout above resistance at 1200, the odds favor an awakening for the bears that have been hibernating throughout the first three weeks of April.

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How The Financial World Resets

| April 21, 2015 | Category: Economy
How The Financial World Resets

A reset in the financial system seems inevitable. We survived other resets, such as the depression of the 1930s, WWII, 1971 separation of the dollar from gold, 1970s inflation, year 2000 stock crashes, and the 2008 financial crash. The world will survive the next reset. Excess debt, fiat currencies, and “printing currency” are the center of global economic problems. Those problems will not be resolved with more debt and “printing currency.” If central banks and politicians choose hyperinflation, all bets are off regarding how high gold and silver will climb, and how crazy our Twilight Zone world will become.

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Why The Gold And Resources Market Could Be Bottoming

Why The Gold And Resources Market Could Be Bottoming

I was very encouraged because gold had broken below its December 2013 low, and it seemed that every pundit and blogger in the world was saying that there was nothing to stop the fall short of $1,000, or even $700. It was widely believed that breaching the prior low was the trigger that would take it much lower—but that’s not what happened. Instead, the new low was a buying signal to Russians, Chinese, Indians, and others, and gold shot right back up again.

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COT Report Points To A Meaningful Gold And Silver Rally

| March 23, 2015 | Category: Trading
COT Report Points To A Meaningful Gold And Silver Rally

The latest Commitment of Traders Report for futures positions held at the close of trading on Tuesday March 17th 2015 is very encouraging. We can easily conclude, based on the data, that the current setup in futures positions point to a meaningful rally, at least in the short run, in both gold and silver. In other words, the selling in the ongoing cycle seems to be behind us, and a new short to mid term cycle should have started last week. To back up our thesis, we are looking at the rate of change of commercials short positions in the COT report. We have used this time and again, so far each time with success.

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Gold Investors Are Anticipating A Rally In Gold Miners

Gold Investors Are Anticipating A Rally In Gold Miners

NUGT, the 3x ETF, is hovering at or below support with a very clear volume signature. The reason I think this might be a chart to pay attention to is where there is this much smoke, there is usually fire. With 200 Million shares on the week, its important to remember one primary cornerstone of Technical Analysis is volume precedes price. A chart that glitters might be worth some attention even if you choose to use another ticker symbol for your trade.

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Why Gold Will Shine In The Near Future

Why Gold Will Shine In The Near Future

Gold investors have been suffering in the last 3.5 years. The outlook for gold, however, is quite positive, according to John Hathaway. Driven by extremes in sentiment, the fact that the gold production will fall at current price levels, the advances in institutionalizing the Chinese gold market, the world monetary system, it seems that gold investors will be rewarded in the future. In a recent interview with The Gold Report, Tocqueville Asset Management fund managers Doug Groh and John Hathaway share their view on the gold market.

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Gold Showing Bull Market Characteristics But Needs To Confirm Positive Trend Action

Gold Showing Bull Market Characteristics But Needs To Confirm Positive Trend Action

The chart in this article shows that the negative progression is still intact. It would be reversed with a rally above the previous high, say at $126. What is interesting is that recent prices retraced exactly 66% or two thirds of the previous advance. Arguably more important is the fact that volume patterns have turned bullish. Note how the previous declines were associated with selling climaxes. This is pointed up by the percent volume oscillator in the bottom panel.

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Silver and Gold: Why Now?

| February 16, 2015 | Category: Investing
Silver and Gold:  Why Now?

In simple terms, government took real revenue, spent it, and then added more debt each year. Worse, the US owes compounding interest on the larger debt. Each year the US and many other governments pay interest on the loans (caused by deficit spending) from previous years. The total debt increases rapidly – far too rapidly to be repaid without massive inflation. Hence default via debt repudiation or devaluation of purchasing power is inevitable.

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Gold: The Fourth Long Term Buy Signal In Ten Years

Gold: The Fourth Long Term Buy Signal In Ten Years

Let us go straight to the key message. The long term gold chart is flashing a “buy” signal based on the technical indicator MACD. The chart says it all. Mind that this is a monthly chart, which means it looks at gold from a long term perspective.

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Is The Mainstream Financial Media Questioning Central Bank Credibility?

Is The Mainstream Financial Media Questioning Central Bank Credibility?

Jim Rickards discusses the observation that the financial mainstream media is increasingly questioning the credibility of central bank monetary policies. “I don’t actually think that the fundamental state of the world has changed. What has changed, it has become more visible. Analysts, investors and mainstream media are starting to wake up to things like currency wars, the save haven nature of gold, etc. I think the reason for that is that until you reach the zero rate bound, you can pretend it it’s a normal rate cutting exercise. Once you hit zero that pretense is gone and the currency war becomes more explicit.”

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Gold Price Model Says Gold Is Still Undervalued

| January 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Price Model Says Gold Is Still Undervalued

The price of gold closed on Friday, January 16 at approximately $1,276. My model indicates that price is still too low by about 16% and therefore the probability is that the price of gold will rally substantially in the next several years.

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Events Impacting Gold And Silver In The Week Of January 19th

| January 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Events Impacting Gold And Silver In The Week Of January 19th

For the week commencing January 19th, there is are some key economic data releases on the agenda which are not very likely to cause significant volatility in gold and silver prices. However, all focus this week is on the European central bank who will announce two things. First, an interest rate decision is scheduled. Second, a monetary stimulus package could be announced, some sort of bond buying program. All eyes are on the ECB President on Thursday who is likely to cause volatility in stock markets, currency markets and precious metals.

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Gold Predictions For 2015 Down As Gold Price Rises

| January 15, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Predictions For 2015 Down As Gold Price Rises

The most important arguments for the bearish predictions are rising interest rates, weaker oil prices, a strong U.S. Dollar. The strong demand out of Asia is expected to put have a limited impact. Meantime, what is the chart telling us? As explained in this gold chart analysis, gold is heading towards $1340 an ounce in the short run.

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The Price Of Gold In Case Of A Grexit: 2011 vs 2015

| January 5, 2015 | Category: Price
The Price Of Gold In Case Of A Grexit: 2011 vs 2015

I have no idea how the Greek elections will affect gold, but I do think any signals we need will show up on the price chart. Yes, turn off the TV and turn on the chart. Note that the long-term trend is down because gold hit a new low in early November. This means the bounce from 1140 to 1240 is a counter-trend move and the break below 1180 is bearish until proven otherwise. Gold has yet to continue lower as prices firmed the last two weeks, but I would like to see a break above 1220 to negate this bearish signal and consider a bullish alternative.

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