Tag: gold outlook

Why Gold Should Rise And Exceed Previous Highs

Why Gold Should Rise And Exceed Previous Highs

Are Russia and Europe buying more gold? Will the Swiss vote ‘yes’ in its gold referendum? Is there a chance for QE4? Peter Schiff is on Kitco News to comment on some of the most recent headlines surrounding the gold market and also to share his thoughts on the U.S. economy. The Euro Pacific CEO says the U.S. recovery isn’t real and adds that the dollar is only strong because all other currencies are weak.

Continue Reading

Investor Alert: Disinflation And Slowing Monetary Growth

Investor Alert: Disinflation And Slowing Monetary Growth

In the latest Advisory Board which took place earlier in October, the investment landscape driven by the disinflationary forces signaled by the Incrementum Inflation Signal were discussed. Based on that signal, it seems that the inflation/deflation-tug-of-war is very intense these days. The signal switched to “neutral” at the beginning of August and then very quickly it indicated “disinflation” once again. A rather dramatic move in the USD, commodities, gold and silver followed. As can be seen on the following chart, the signal works well in real-time.

Continue Reading

Gold Investors Weekly Review – October 24th

Gold Investors Weekly Review – October 24th

In his weekly market review, Frank Holmes of the USFunds.com summarizes this week’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats in the gold market for gold investors. Gold closed the week at $1,230.39 down $7.93 per ounce (-0.64%). Gold stocks, as measured by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, fell 1.31%. The U.S. Trade-Weighted Dollar Index rebounded 0.71% for the week.

Continue Reading

Gold Price $1400 In 2015 According To Sterne Agee

| October 6, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Price $1400 In 2015 According To Sterne Agee

Investment bank Sterne Agee expect the gold price in 2015 to average $1,400. For the year after, in 2016, the bank’s analysts believe the gold price will trade at $1,450 on average. Silver should follow gold higher. The analysts expect a silver price of $19 in 2015 and $21 in 2016.

Continue Reading

Why There Is Still Hope For Gold Bulls

| October 2, 2014 | Category: Price
Why There Is Still Hope For Gold Bulls

Gold is approaching a critical price point, i.e. $1,180. That is the lowest price of the last years. It has been tested twice, so this third retest is a crucial one for the short and medium term. Although the sentiment is extremely negative, there are some indications which could provide some help for the yellow metal.

Continue Reading

Gold Price Outlook For 2014 And 2015

| September 23, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Price Outlook For 2014 And 2015

In a recent presentation, Dundee’s Martin Murenbeeld explained the bullish and bearish forces at work in the gold market with some 50 charts. The slideshow is available in this article. On the last slide, Dundee provides price targets. More importantly, however, Murenbeeld looks into the gold price expectations for 2014 and 2015.

Continue Reading

Rate Bounce After Fed Meeting Pushes Dollar Higher and Gold Price Lower

| September 17, 2014 | Category: Price
Rate Bounce After Fed Meeting Pushes Dollar Higher and Gold Price Lower

Although today’s Fed announcement didn’t really change anything, the financial markets continued to anticipate higher U.S. rates. The first chart shows the 5-Year Treasury Note Yield climbing close to its yearly high. The 10-Year T-Note yield also bounced. The widening spread between U.S. and foreign yields continues to support the dollar. The second chart shows the Dollar Index hitting a new recovery high. That pushed most commodity prices lower. The orange bars in the second chart shows the Gold Trust falling to a new low.

Continue Reading

Gold Model Projects Prices From 1971 to 2021

| September 3, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Model Projects Prices From 1971 to 2021

Why should we expect that gold will rally? The answer, in my opinion, can be found in my gold pricing model that has accurately replicated AVERAGE gold prices after the noise of politics, news, high frequency trading, and day to day “management” have been removed by smoothing.

Continue Reading

Gold And Silver Directionless, Palladium And Aluminium Bullish

| September 1, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Directionless, Palladium And Aluminium Bullish

This is the monthy technical analysis by Louise Yamada, exclusively for premium subscribers. In her August 2014 report, she shows the technical levels to watch for all four precious metals, including copper and aluminium. In gold, here remains a series of lower highs all the way from the peak in price and continues within the past year’s trading. Silver is struggling with support. Palladium, however, remains very strong from a technical point of view, and hence bullish. Alluminum is rallying from a a multi-year bottom.

Continue Reading

What Yellen’s Speech Means For Gold And Bitcoin

What Yellen’s Speech Means For Gold And Bitcoin

Could this mark the beginning of the decline of gold from prior highs? I don’t think the decline will start with force, given Janet’s comments this past Friday. The Fed is planning to maintain its schedule until better conditions prevail-this is fairly unpredictable given so many exogenous factors that could throw the recovery off, like further economic losses in Europe or China. However, once this begins, we might expect to see capital flow to where higher returns can be made. Given a pent-up demand for higher returns-hopefully it will not create an asset bubble.

Continue Reading

Why The Gold Price Is Trendless

| August 25, 2014 | Category: Price
Why The Gold Price Is Trendless

The answer lies is in opposing forces at work in the markets and economy. There are two very important drivers which we discuss in this article: real interest rates and the inflation/deflation tug of war.

Continue Reading

Is This A Gold And Silver Bear Market Or A Correction In A Secular Uptrend?

Is This A Gold And Silver Bear Market Or A Correction In A Secular Uptrend?

If I had to make a guess I would say that both metals sell off one final time into a lower low by early 2015. Based on historical analogues alone, Gold seems to be following the 1996-99 bear market quite well and could bottom around March 2015. At the same time if Silver falls to a lower low around March 2015, that would be one of the longest and most oversold downtrends (not including the 1980-82 bubble crash).

Continue Reading

Are Rising Rates A Threat To The Price Of Gold?

| August 22, 2014 | Category: Economy
Are Rising Rates A Threat To The Price Of Gold?

Contrary to popular belief, rising rates are no threat to gold. This metal soared in the 1970s during the last secular rising-rate environment as stocks and bonds got hit. Gold powered higher again in the 2000s with both short and long rates far higher than today’s levels. And gold surged during the only major modern rate-hike cycle seen a decade ago, when the Fed more than quintupled short rates.

Continue Reading

Diversification and Discipline Are Key to Investing in Gold

Diversification and Discipline Are Key to Investing in Gold

Earlier in the year I spoke with Business Television’s Taylor Theon about this very idea that to invest in gold requires not only discipline but also diversification. As I’ve often stressed, we at U.S. Global Investors recommend that 10 percent of your portfolio should be allocated to gold—5 percent to bullion, 5 percent to mining stocks, and rebalance every year. This should always be the case, whether gold is soaring at a good clip or whether its wings appear to have been clipped.

Continue Reading