Tag: gold outlook

Gold Price Model Says Gold Is Still Undervalued

| January 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Price Model Says Gold Is Still Undervalued

The price of gold closed on Friday, January 16 at approximately $1,276. My model indicates that price is still too low by about 16% and therefore the probability is that the price of gold will rally substantially in the next several years.

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Events Impacting Gold And Silver In The Week Of January 19th

| January 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Events Impacting Gold And Silver In The Week Of January 19th

For the week commencing January 19th, there is are some key economic data releases on the agenda which are not very likely to cause significant volatility in gold and silver prices. However, all focus this week is on the European central bank who will announce two things. First, an interest rate decision is scheduled. Second, a monetary stimulus package could be announced, some sort of bond buying program. All eyes are on the ECB President on Thursday who is likely to cause volatility in stock markets, currency markets and precious metals.

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Gold Predictions For 2015 Down As Gold Price Rises

| January 15, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Predictions For 2015 Down As Gold Price Rises

The most important arguments for the bearish predictions are rising interest rates, weaker oil prices, a strong U.S. Dollar. The strong demand out of Asia is expected to put have a limited impact. Meantime, what is the chart telling us? As explained in this gold chart analysis, gold is heading towards $1340 an ounce in the short run.

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The Price Of Gold In Case Of A Grexit: 2011 vs 2015

| January 5, 2015 | Category: Price
The Price Of Gold In Case Of A Grexit: 2011 vs 2015

I have no idea how the Greek elections will affect gold, but I do think any signals we need will show up on the price chart. Yes, turn off the TV and turn on the chart. Note that the long-term trend is down because gold hit a new low in early November. This means the bounce from 1140 to 1240 is a counter-trend move and the break below 1180 is bearish until proven otherwise. Gold has yet to continue lower as prices firmed the last two weeks, but I would like to see a break above 1220 to negate this bearish signal and consider a bullish alternative.

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Gold Price 2015: Forecasts And Predictions

| December 24, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Price 2015: Forecasts And Predictions

We provide in this article a comprehensive overview of different forecasts and predictions for the price gold in 2015. We hasten to say that our own stance regarding predictions remains unchanged. We have written several times before that “forecasting isn’t about predicting the market; it’s about marketing the prediction”. We also believe there is a “prediction addiction”. That is why we are not taking specific price predictions too serious. We believe, however, there is value in forecasting. A forecast is not about predicting prices but rather describing a future situation, mostly based on ongoing trends. In this article, we have selected 6 bullish gold forecasts and predictions for gold in 2015, and 9 neutral to bearish stances towards gold in 2015.

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Expect Higher Gold Prices In 2015

| December 9, 2014 | Category: Price
Expect Higher Gold Prices In 2015

The dollar’s strength is helping to push commodity prices down, as many commodities are priced in dollars, including gold and oil, which in turn doesn’t help the efforts of the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan to boost inflation in their countries. As more people become aware of what is really going on, they will accumulate physical gold and silver, and the prices will have to adjust to the real fundamentals and will no longer be determined by a handful of speculators. So, I expect to see prices trend higher in the New Year.

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Why Gold Should Rise And Exceed Previous Highs

Why Gold Should Rise And Exceed Previous Highs

Are Russia and Europe buying more gold? Will the Swiss vote ‘yes’ in its gold referendum? Is there a chance for QE4? Peter Schiff is on Kitco News to comment on some of the most recent headlines surrounding the gold market and also to share his thoughts on the U.S. economy. The Euro Pacific CEO says the U.S. recovery isn’t real and adds that the dollar is only strong because all other currencies are weak.

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Investor Alert: Disinflation And Slowing Monetary Growth

Investor Alert: Disinflation And Slowing Monetary Growth

In the latest Advisory Board which took place earlier in October, the investment landscape driven by the disinflationary forces signaled by the Incrementum Inflation Signal were discussed. Based on that signal, it seems that the inflation/deflation-tug-of-war is very intense these days. The signal switched to “neutral” at the beginning of August and then very quickly it indicated “disinflation” once again. A rather dramatic move in the USD, commodities, gold and silver followed. As can be seen on the following chart, the signal works well in real-time.

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Gold Investors Weekly Review – October 24th

Gold Investors Weekly Review – October 24th

In his weekly market review, Frank Holmes of the USFunds.com summarizes this week’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats in the gold market for gold investors. Gold closed the week at $1,230.39 down $7.93 per ounce (-0.64%). Gold stocks, as measured by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, fell 1.31%. The U.S. Trade-Weighted Dollar Index rebounded 0.71% for the week.

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Gold Price $1400 In 2015 According To Sterne Agee

| October 6, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Price $1400 In 2015 According To Sterne Agee

Investment bank Sterne Agee expect the gold price in 2015 to average $1,400. For the year after, in 2016, the bank’s analysts believe the gold price will trade at $1,450 on average. Silver should follow gold higher. The analysts expect a silver price of $19 in 2015 and $21 in 2016.

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Why There Is Still Hope For Gold Bulls

| October 2, 2014 | Category: Price
Why There Is Still Hope For Gold Bulls

Gold is approaching a critical price point, i.e. $1,180. That is the lowest price of the last years. It has been tested twice, so this third retest is a crucial one for the short and medium term. Although the sentiment is extremely negative, there are some indications which could provide some help for the yellow metal.

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Gold Price Outlook For 2014 And 2015

| September 23, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Price Outlook For 2014 And 2015

In a recent presentation, Dundee’s Martin Murenbeeld explained the bullish and bearish forces at work in the gold market with some 50 charts. The slideshow is available in this article. On the last slide, Dundee provides price targets. More importantly, however, Murenbeeld looks into the gold price expectations for 2014 and 2015.

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Rate Bounce After Fed Meeting Pushes Dollar Higher and Gold Price Lower

| September 17, 2014 | Category: Price
Rate Bounce After Fed Meeting Pushes Dollar Higher and Gold Price Lower

Although today’s Fed announcement didn’t really change anything, the financial markets continued to anticipate higher U.S. rates. The first chart shows the 5-Year Treasury Note Yield climbing close to its yearly high. The 10-Year T-Note yield also bounced. The widening spread between U.S. and foreign yields continues to support the dollar. The second chart shows the Dollar Index hitting a new recovery high. That pushed most commodity prices lower. The orange bars in the second chart shows the Gold Trust falling to a new low.

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Gold Model Projects Prices From 1971 to 2021

| September 3, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Model Projects Prices From 1971 to 2021

Why should we expect that gold will rally? The answer, in my opinion, can be found in my gold pricing model that has accurately replicated AVERAGE gold prices after the noise of politics, news, high frequency trading, and day to day “management” have been removed by smoothing.

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