Tag: gold outlook

Rate Bounce After Fed Meeting Pushes Dollar Higher and Gold Price Lower

| September 17, 2014 | Category: Price
Rate Bounce After Fed Meeting Pushes Dollar Higher and Gold Price Lower

Although today’s Fed announcement didn’t really change anything, the financial markets continued to anticipate higher U.S. rates. The first chart shows the 5-Year Treasury Note Yield climbing close to its yearly high. The 10-Year T-Note yield also bounced. The widening spread between U.S. and foreign yields continues to support the dollar. The second chart shows the Dollar Index hitting a new recovery high. That pushed most commodity prices lower. The orange bars in the second chart shows the Gold Trust falling to a new low.

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Gold Model Projects Prices From 1971 to 2021

| September 3, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Model Projects Prices From 1971 to 2021

Why should we expect that gold will rally? The answer, in my opinion, can be found in my gold pricing model that has accurately replicated AVERAGE gold prices after the noise of politics, news, high frequency trading, and day to day “management” have been removed by smoothing.

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Gold And Silver Directionless, Palladium And Aluminium Bullish

| September 1, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Directionless, Palladium And Aluminium Bullish

This is the monthy technical analysis by Louise Yamada, exclusively for premium subscribers. In her August 2014 report, she shows the technical levels to watch for all four precious metals, including copper and aluminium. In gold, here remains a series of lower highs all the way from the peak in price and continues within the past year’s trading. Silver is struggling with support. Palladium, however, remains very strong from a technical point of view, and hence bullish. Alluminum is rallying from a a multi-year bottom.

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What Yellen’s Speech Means For Gold And Bitcoin

What Yellen’s Speech Means For Gold And Bitcoin

Could this mark the beginning of the decline of gold from prior highs? I don’t think the decline will start with force, given Janet’s comments this past Friday. The Fed is planning to maintain its schedule until better conditions prevail-this is fairly unpredictable given so many exogenous factors that could throw the recovery off, like further economic losses in Europe or China. However, once this begins, we might expect to see capital flow to where higher returns can be made. Given a pent-up demand for higher returns-hopefully it will not create an asset bubble.

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Why The Gold Price Is Trendless

| August 25, 2014 | Category: Price
Why The Gold Price Is Trendless

The answer lies is in opposing forces at work in the markets and economy. There are two very important drivers which we discuss in this article: real interest rates and the inflation/deflation tug of war.

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Is This A Gold And Silver Bear Market Or A Correction In A Secular Uptrend?

Is This A Gold And Silver Bear Market Or A Correction In A Secular Uptrend?

If I had to make a guess I would say that both metals sell off one final time into a lower low by early 2015. Based on historical analogues alone, Gold seems to be following the 1996-99 bear market quite well and could bottom around March 2015. At the same time if Silver falls to a lower low around March 2015, that would be one of the longest and most oversold downtrends (not including the 1980-82 bubble crash).

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Are Rising Rates A Threat To The Price Of Gold?

| August 22, 2014 | Category: Economy
Are Rising Rates A Threat To The Price Of Gold?

Contrary to popular belief, rising rates are no threat to gold. This metal soared in the 1970s during the last secular rising-rate environment as stocks and bonds got hit. Gold powered higher again in the 2000s with both short and long rates far higher than today’s levels. And gold surged during the only major modern rate-hike cycle seen a decade ago, when the Fed more than quintupled short rates.

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Diversification and Discipline Are Key to Investing in Gold

Diversification and Discipline Are Key to Investing in Gold

Earlier in the year I spoke with Business Television’s Taylor Theon about this very idea that to invest in gold requires not only discipline but also diversification. As I’ve often stressed, we at U.S. Global Investors recommend that 10 percent of your portfolio should be allocated to gold—5 percent to bullion, 5 percent to mining stocks, and rebalance every year. This should always be the case, whether gold is soaring at a good clip or whether its wings appear to have been clipped.

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Oscillators In Action In Gold Bullion And Gold Stocks

Oscillators In Action In Gold Bullion And Gold Stocks

Basic technical analysis shows that mining stocks have recently reverted to their mean for the first time in about three years, while spot gold is gradually working its way back.

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Expect Gold And Silver Prices To Retain Their Gains In Q3

| August 13, 2014 | Category: Price
Expect Gold And Silver Prices To Retain Their Gains In Q3

Gold and silver have performed relatively well this year and showed strength toward the end of the second quarter. My feeling is that stronger gold and silver prices that we have seen earlier than anticipated this year is a reflection of global political tensions and maybe just a reminder that we are not out of the woods as far as U.S. economic performance is concerned. We look for gold and silver prices to retain most of their gains in the third quarter.

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Precious Metals Will Rise With Dollar Demise, Just Not Soon

Precious Metals Will Rise With Dollar Demise, Just Not Soon

Once the grip of the fiat “dollar” gives way, and it is slowly losing ground, then the price for gold and silver will find their more natural value. Not until. When might that happen? It could be weeks, it could be months, maybe even another year or two, but whenever it happens, it is more likely to be an overnight “adjustment,” with little or no gradual rise, as many may expect. The price could be $1,300 or $1,800 one day, and the next day it could be $4,500 or $7,500 the ounce. No one knows for certain, but at least you know some of the options. Plan accordingly.

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Gold Prices From 1971 To 2014 in 3 Waves

| July 31, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold Prices From 1971 To 2014 in 3 Waves

Gold prices will rally much higher in the next 5 years. Jim Sinclair’s initial target of $3,500 seems very likely by 2016 – 2019. If the powers-that-be choose hyperinflation to deal with their massive debts, then much higher prices are “in play.” There are many other options. For example, if you don’t trust or like gold, a bank will pay you 1% interest each and every year if you invest in a Certificate of Deposit.

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Gold Price Projection Based On Elliott Wave Since 1970

Gold Price Projection Based On Elliott Wave Since 1970

I think that Gold is in an extended Elliott Wave (V) which has a lot of upside potential. Elliott Wave Principle helps to better understand the nature of the market movement and completed with other tools it can forecast the market progress and define important turning points with a high degree of accuracy.

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Gold Price In 2014 Consolidating Above Major Support Area

Gold Price In 2014 Consolidating Above Major Support Area

So far, the gold price in 2014 in the first six months has been trading in a tight range between $1190 and $1390. The yellow metal had one significant rally in February / March and one moderate rally starting in June. The price chart has a clear “line separator” in the $1270 – $1280 area which has served as major support throughout the first half of the year.

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