Tag: gold charts

Gold regains half of its losses from the record peak price

Gold regains half of its losses from the record peak price

Technicians make a big deal out of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level due to the psychological implications of that level in the minds of traders, both bulls and bears. Generally speaking,  those who have been on the wrong side of a trade and who have very deep pockets, will oftentimes allow the market to continuing moving against them while they wait for the inevitable price retracement, either higher or lower depending on which side of the market that they are on. Once they regain half of their losses, they will oftentimes then finally get out of the losing trade and move to the sidelines to access their next move. That means […]

Continue Reading

Euro Gold right at Resistance level

Euro Gold right at Resistance level

Take a look at the following chart of gold priced in Euros, or “Euro-Gold” as I prefer to term it. I have mentioned here and on some of my KWN Weekly Metals Wrap that this chart is one that all gold traders must continue to reference if they are to get a proper handle on the technical aspects of this market. The reason for this is that the issue most shaking the gold market during the “risk off” trades was the mess in the sovereign debt situation of many countries in the Euro-Zone. Fears over that factor were seeing European-based buying of gold as doubts over the integrity of the […]

Continue Reading

Gold ETF Mass Exodus

Gold ETF Mass Exodus

Gold is enjoying an awesome January, rallying strongly out of its oversold late-December lows. But last month’s hyper-pessimistic sentiment deserves some reflection before it totally fades from memory. One of the core theses of the bears resolutely predicting sub-$1400 gold prices soon was the notion that there would be widespread liquidations in the flagship GLD gold ETF, a mass exodus of capital. If it indeed came to pass, gold would almost certainly be considerably lower than we’ve seen in recent weeks. But it didn’t, the stock traders owning GLD didn’t panic and rush for the exits as feared. Instead they boldly stood their ground, continuing the long tradition of GLD […]

Continue Reading

Long Term Trend Up In Gold and Silver Is Intact, Look For High Quality Exploration Companies

Long Term Trend Up In Gold and Silver Is Intact, Look For High Quality Exploration Companies

At the end of 2011, Merkel and Sarkozy got together for an unusual emergency meeting.  They pledged to come up with economic salvation.  Immediately the equity markets mounted a year end “Halleluyah” rally.   Bernanke followed Europe’s footsteps in 2012 and expanded the horizon of record low interest rates from Mid-2013 until Late 2014. We respond judiciously to this euphoria.  Politician’s promises are usually a thin blanket for an upcoming cold night.  We have concluded since October that a surprisingly potent rise may occur which would be in reaction to the application of the stimulative paddles. The European resolution was a response to the Franco-Belgium travails of the widely held […]

Continue Reading

Gold vs paper money

Gold vs paper money

The gold price just broke through its downtrend – the line joining its tops – from summer 2011’s record high. Or so technical analysts studying the price charts will tell you, says Adrian Ash of BullionVault. Just as in late 2007, however – from where gold began a 55% run inside 6 months – the price jumped Wednesday on a very fundamental fact: the price of money, specifically Dollars, the world’s #1 currency for trade and central-bank reserves. Back in 2007, the catalyst came as a baby-step cut of 0.25%, signaling the Fed’s switch from raising to destroying the returns paid on cash savings. Now the Fed’s new zero-rate promise “took gold […]

Continue Reading

Stand By $140 Silver Price In 2012

Stand By $140 Silver Price In 2012

There is a well-established relationship between how silver and gold trade. They often trade similar in the same time period, but also at similar milestones, although those milestones are sometimes reached at different times. This can cause silver or gold to be the leading indicator, depending on the particular milestone. I have previously used this relationship to predict how silver will trade. Below, is an extract of that update: Currently, there is another situation in the silver and gold market that provides an opportunity to predict how silver prices might trade over the coming months. I have pointed this out before, in a previous article. Here, I would just like to […]

Continue Reading

Yesterday’s Gold Chart – updated

Yesterday’s Gold Chart – updated

Gold shattered overhead resistance near $1680 and has continued higher as momentum based buying is coming in driving out panicked shorts who were hoping for a halt in the advance to occur as the market encountered bullion bank selling originating at $1680. The FOMC made that a mirage as a zero interest rate environment for the next two years means an environment in which it pays to own gold. The yellow metal pays no interest but at this point, neither do short term Treasuries and those offer no protection from currency induced price increases. Just look at what is occuring across the commodity sector today as hedge funds now push the […]

Continue Reading

Fed Announces Record Low Interest Rates Until Late 2014 and Commodities Soar

Presently we notice the European Central Bank is pumping money into the sovereign institutions following the precedent of the U.S. Federal Reserve.  Indeed, this move is an admission that debt is being monetized before our very eyes.  Once again the lemmings have jumped off a cliff into what they mistakenly thought was a safe haven.  Isn’t that the name of the game, which is to get you to swing at the wrong pitch at the wrong time?     As we write, the Federal Reserve has announced the expansion of the future horizon of record low interest rates from mid 2013 until late 2014. This rally from October 4th, 2011 […]

Continue Reading

Dollar’s Influence on Gold

Dollar’s Influence on Gold

In our previous essays, we emphasized that the long- and short-term trends for gold are up. In today’s article, we will feature the current situation in the USD and Euro Indices and in the general stock market. After analyzing each of them, we will move to implications for the precious metals investors. Let’s start with the analysis of the USD Index (charts courtesy by http://stockcharts.com.) Our first chart this week is the very long-term USD Index chart. We see little change in the situation since last week. There has been no confirmed breakout above the late 2010- early 2011 highs and the long-term trend remains down. In the short-term Euro Index chart, there […]

Continue Reading

Fear Index shows that gold is undervalued

| January 25, 2012 | Articles: Insights
Fear Index shows that gold is undervalued

The year 2011 ended on a very weak note for the price of gold, which tested support near the lowest levels since August as the precious metal slid below $1,550. This movement even drove the GoldMoney Fear Index below 3% as US M3 continued to rise, surpassing $14.4 Trillion. The downward path of gold since the September highs immediately prompted cries that the “bubble was bursting” from every corner of the financial press. They could not be more wrong. Neither a rising price, nor anecdotal reports of increased buying are in any way proper evidence of a bubble. If we ignore the chatter and actually look at empirical data, it […]

Continue Reading

Gold, Gold Mining Stocks and the S&P 500

Gold, Gold Mining Stocks and the S&P 500

The Eurozone crisis benefited Gold Prices initially but as the panic has abated, stocks are rallying back to their highs while gold has sold off and Gold Mining stocks are trying to hold their lows. What is going on? asks Jordan Roy-Byrne at The Daily Gold. Are we in the twilight zone? Bull and bear markets are long lasting, providing ample time for trends and counter trends to continually reappear and redevelop. The long-term activity of precious metals and common stocks is not a mystery. Gold has continued to hit all-time highs while the gold stocks eclipsed and maintain 2008 highs as support. Yes, common stocks are also rallying but are nowhere close to seriously testing 2008 […]

Continue Reading

Gold Chart and comments

Gold Chart and comments

Gold has made it into a formidable resistance level near $1680 which has served to bring out some heavy selling, just as expected seeing that a breach of this defensive line by the bulls will set the market for a run to $1700 and higher. Gold bears can read the charts just as we can and understand what will bring in the momentum buyers if they fail to hold it here. If the recent price advance falters here at this critical zone, then we will see a setback towards $1650 – $1645 initially followed by a bit deeper drop to $1620 or so if the dip buyers are a bit […]

Continue Reading

Spot Gold Rises with Dollar

Spot Gold rose to a high of $1647 per ounce Monday morning in London – 0.8% below last week’s peak – while stocks and commodities were broadly flat as markets absorbed Friday’s news of cuts to nine Eurozone sovereign credit ratings, while US markets were closed for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. “Spot Gold [however] is expected to fall to $1417 per ounce over the next three months,” warns Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao in the newswires Q1 2012 commodities outlook published Monday.” “[The] medium-term downtrend that started at the Sept. 6 high of $1,920.30 will continue.” Spot Silver rose to $30.10 per ounce – 0.9% up on Friday’s close. The Euro meantime […]

Continue Reading

Gold Stock Investors – Buy “Best of Breed”

When it comes to picking gold mining names in the current market environment, John Stephenson, author and portfolio fund manager at First Asset Investment Management, believes that buying the “best of breed” is the way to go. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he explains his reasoning in light of how the current global economic environment is affecting prospects for the metals markets and valuations of mining company stocks. He also talks about his favorite picks in a range of three production classes and why he likes them. COMPANIES MENTIONED: AGNICO-EAGLE MINES LTD. – AURICO GOLD INC – BARRICK GOLD CORP. – GOLDCORP INC. – IAMGOLD CORP. – KINROSS GOLD CORP. – […]

Continue Reading