Tag: gold bear market

Is There Much Downside In Gold?

| November 3, 2015 | Category: Price
Is There Much Downside In Gold?

There is not much room left to the downside, given the structure of bear markets. When carefully observing the second chart above, one can clearly see that the absolute bottom is being set around the 2nd year, following a very sharp reversal of a top. That type of extreme reversal occurs once. Such a bear market behavior is visible in today’s bear market as well. It means that the drop of 2013 was the key event in this bear market, and prices can go somehow lower but not to a significant extent.

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This Is One Of Gold’s Softest Bear Markets

This Is One Of Gold’s Softest Bear Markets

Interestingly, this is the second longest bear market. However, what bulls have failed to realise, is that after 12 annual gains leading into 2011 top, this also one of gold’s softest bear markets. Some have been expecting gold to decline at least 40% if not more, similar to the 1974-76 correction.

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7 Anomalies Between The Gold Price And Physical Market

7 Anomalies Between The Gold Price And Physical Market

These strong signs of demand don’t normally correlate with an asset in a bear market. Do you know of any bear market, in any asset, that’s seen this kind of demand? Neither do I.

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Gold And Silver Capitulation? A Wash-Out Bottom In The Making?

| October 30, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Capitulation? A Wash-Out Bottom In The Making?

The strengthening U.S. Dollar will continue to put enormous pressure on gold and silver. We sense that it will result in a phase of capitulation. If there is one “good” thing about capitulation, it is that all sellers will get exhausted on (much) lower prices, leaving the marketplace with no sellers. Capitulation are rare events but, when they tend to progress very fast.

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Is This A Gold And Silver Bear Market Or A Correction In A Secular Uptrend?

Is This A Gold And Silver Bear Market Or A Correction In A Secular Uptrend?

If I had to make a guess I would say that both metals sell off one final time into a lower low by early 2015. Based on historical analogues alone, Gold seems to be following the 1996-99 bear market quite well and could bottom around March 2015. At the same time if Silver falls to a lower low around March 2015, that would be one of the longest and most oversold downtrends (not including the 1980-82 bubble crash).

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