Tag: economy

Investor Optimism toward Washington’s Problem-Solving Abilities Is Misplaced

Investor Optimism toward Washington’s Problem-Solving Abilities Is Misplaced

The bullion markets offer their own commentary about conservatives’ state of mind since Donald Trump’s election. They are optimistic for the first time in years. Just look at the sales statistics from the U.S. Mint. Bullion. Coin sales have fallen sharply as investors see less reason to seek safe haven in the form of physical metal. During Obama’s presidency, and during the campaign when it looked as if Hillary might succeed him, conservatives and libertarians aggressively bought American Eagle coins and other bullion products. The mint set new sales records nearly every year. The mindset that drove the retail buying changed in November. Consider the February sales figures. Sales of […]

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Capital Controls May Be Coming to the US

Those who hoped President Trump would tone down his protectionist rhetoric will be unnerved six weeks into his tenure. From his meeting with business CEOs, Trump has put trade “front and center.” So far, all is going well for the president. Markets are inching higher, and inflationary forces have picked up. However, bringing back jobs and reducing the trade deficit will be a tougher task. (although jobs have set historic gains already) A Victim of His Own Success  Trump’s election unleashed the “animal spirits” that have been absent post-financial crisis. On the surface, this is good for the economy. The US is currently the only major country raising interest rates and enjoying […]

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PRECIOUS-Gold slips to 4-week low on Fed rate hike expectations

Reuters – LONDON, March 7, 2017 Gold hit a more than four-week low on Tuesday as the dollar strengthened and expectations for a U.S. interest rate hike this month weighed, though moves were muted ahead of key U.S. data this week. The precious metal has fallen in five out of the last six sessions as expectations for the Federal Reserve to push ahead with a U.S. rate increase this month ramped up. Spot gold was down 0.7 percent at $1,216.95 an ounce at 1445 GMT, having earlier touched its lowest since Feb. 3 at $1,216.19 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for April delivery were down $8.00 an ounce at $1,217.50. […]

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Will Gold Prices Finally Pull Back or Continue Marching Ahead?

Will Gold Prices Finally Pull Back or Continue Marching Ahead?

Gold prices are up more than 11% since bottoming last December. Their gains last week took the gold market right up to its 50-week moving average. In 2015, attempted rallies reversed at the 50-week moving average. Could this level once again serve as a barrier to further price advances? Either way, long-term gold bulls shouldn’t sweat this particular technical level. Major bull markets need to pull back and reconsolidate periodically. Whether that starts happening this week, or later on at higher price levels, a downturn of some magnitude is inevitable. One indicator that may be pointing toward a pullback sooner rather than later is the negative divergence in gold mining […]

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Trump’s Trade Policy to Drive Price Inflation and Gold Buying

| January 30, 2017 | Category: Economy
Trump’s Trade Policy to Drive Price Inflation and Gold Buying

Donald Trump’s trade policy is likely to spark higher consumer price inflation, and that has ramifications for gold and silver prices. Regardless of where investors stand regarding the president’s plan to make Mexico “pay” for the border wall, if he is successful in getting Congress to impose a hefty tax on imports it will mean higher prices for things. A tax on goods from China could be even more inflationary. Saying that higher import taxes are inflationary may be a statement of the obvious, but it is worth making given Trump’s recent promotion of a tax on Mexican goods. He implies Mexican exporters will “pay” for the wall by absorbing […]

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Will Trump Usher In an Era of Sound Money?

| January 24, 2017 | Articles: Insights
Will Trump Usher In an Era of Sound Money?

Now that Donald Trump has been sworn in, Americans will start getting some glimpses of what his presidency actually means. Here are some educated guesses of what to expect when it comes to the dollar and sound money issues, based on what we know before the kick-off of Trump’s administration. The Federal Reserve Donald Trump became very critical of Janet Yellen and the Fed during the final months of the campaign. He accused the Fed of supporting the Obama administration and, by extension, Hillary Clinton by inflating a bubble in the stock markets and keeping interest rates artificially low. That was before the election. Shortly after the election, Trump signaled […]

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Awareness of Fed Credibility Problems Going Mainstream

| August 31, 2016 | Articles: Insights
Awareness of Fed Credibility Problems Going Mainstream

The nation’s pre-eminent central planners just held their annual gathering at an exclusive resort just outside Jackson Hole, Wyoming and discussed how to interfere even more deeply in markets. In a speech entitled “The Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy Toolkit: Past, Present and Future,” Fed chair Janet Yellen outlined why zero interest rate policy (ZIRP), purchases of toxic mortgage securities, and monetization of Treasury debt just aren’t adequate. Officials must add negative interest rates (NIRP) and purchases of even more sketchy assets to their “toolkit.” Yellen has spent more than a year floating the idea of negative rates, so it is no surprise she is hustling the ludicrous policy once again. […]

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