Tag: economy

Oil Prices and its effects on the U.S. Economy

Oil Prices have a great effect on the U.S. economy in many forms like jobs, investment, and growth. Oil exploration and production. Fluctuations in Oil prices play an important role in the different aspects of finance and business. That is why oil price movements are closely watched by economists, investors, and policymakers. The U.S., although produces its own oil, still has the need to import more to meet the growing energy demands. New technology allowed companies to economically draw oil and gas from shale deposits that were once considered depleted because the cost of extraction would be impractical. Oil and Business Oil plays an important role in many businesses, specifically […]

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Gerald Celente Exclusive: “If rates go up too high, the economy goes down, end of story”

| March 12, 2018 | Category: Economy
Gerald Celente Exclusive: “If rates go up too high, the economy goes down, end of story”

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world and it’s always great to have him on with us. Mr. Celente, thanks again for the time today and welcome back. Gerald Celente: Oh, it’s always great being on. Thank you. Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, it’s never a dull moment in Washington, D.C., these days. President Trump always keeps it lively. We have the never-ending Russia controversy, of course, the war of words with North Korea, and the intervention […]

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5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

| February 22, 2018 | Category: Economy
5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

Investors got lulled into a state of inflation complacency. Persistently low official inflation rates in recent years depressed bond yields along with risk premiums on all financial assets. That’s changing in 2018. Five drivers of higher inflation rates are now starting to kick in. Inflation Driver #1: Rising CPI The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a notoriously flawed measure of inflation. It tends to understate real-world price increases. Nevertheless, CPI is the most widely followed measure of inflation. When it moves up, so do inflation expectations by investors. On February 13th, the Labor Department released stronger than expected CPI numbers. Prices rose a robust 0.5% in January, with headline CPI […]

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Central Banks Are Starting To Worry Investors

Central Banks Are Starting To Worry Investors

The original article was posted on TimeMoney.com In previous articles (here and here), we’ve discussed how central banks are going to halt adding liquidity into the financial system which could cause a correction in the stock market. Many people scoff at that idea because they look at the current market and say, “what could possibly go wrong?” This is recency bias at work as many investors have never experienced a sizeable market correction. Stimulus reached the highest level of this cycle. Quantitative easing has been among the most important drivers of the rally in asset prices for the past 8 years, once discontinued, the opposite will happen – namely a decline in asset prices. If you are an […]

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Preparing to Barter and Trade Is NOT a Loony Idea

Preparing to Barter and Trade Is NOT a Loony Idea

Let’s start with this fact; fiat (paper) currencies die – often spectacularly. That is why precious metals may someday be needed for barter and trade. Anyone who thinks it is silly to worry about such a thing is putting blind faith in Federal Reserve Notes. The U.S. dollar is having a great run, no question. It will soon be 50 years since Nixon closed the gold window, thereby converting the dollar to a purely fiat currency. Five decades is longer than most purely fiat currencies survive. Humans carry a normalcy bias. That helps explain why so many assume the unbacked Federal Reserve Note, which has served so long as our […]

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A Weaker US Economy Could Result in Strong Gold Rally

A Weaker US Economy Could Result in Strong Gold Rally

Article provided by our friends at Hard Assets Alliance. By John Grandits – July 28, 2017 One possible effect of the “America First” approach the Trump Administration vowed to take was a weaker US dollar. Shortly after we wrote about this earlier this year, the dollar index began a steady march lower, retreating 7% in just five months, from 102 in March to its current level of 95. Not surprisingly, gold has risen almost 10% in US dollar terms during this time. As recently as six months ago, many investors expected the dollar to continue its rally of the past few years based on stronger economic growth, via Trump’s agenda […]

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Jim Rickards Exclusive: Dollar May Become “Local Currency of the U.S.” Only

Jim Rickards Exclusive: Dollar May Become “Local Currency of the U.S.” Only

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: It is my great privilege to be joined now by James Rickards. Mr. Rickards is editor of Strategic Intelligence, a monthly newsletter, and Director of the James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics and global capital. He’s also the author of several bestselling books including The Death of Money, Currency Wars, The New Case for Gold, and now his latest book The Road to Ruin. In addition to his achievements as a writer and author, Jim is also a portfolio manager, lawyer and renowned economic commentator having been interviewed by CNBC, the BBC, […]

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Michael Pento Warns of Exploding Debt, Inverted Yield Curve, and Then “Economic Armageddon”

Michael Pento Warns of Exploding Debt, Inverted Yield Curve, and Then “Economic Armageddon”

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: Michael, how are you today? Welcome back. Michael Pento:  I’m doing fine, Mike. Thanks for having me back. Mike Gleason:  When we had you on last you commented that you believed the market was pricing in President Trump getting virtually all of his policy agenda pushed through Congress, the tax cuts, repealing Obamacare, and so forth. To say Trump has encountered some resistance in Washington would be a major understatement. The establishment of the right doesn’t seem to like him. The left and the mainstream media of course hate him. So, Michael before we get into the […]

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David Smith: It’s Better to Buy Gold & Silver When It DOESN’T Feel Good

David Smith: It’s Better to Buy Gold & Silver When It DOESN’T Feel Good

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back David Smith, Senior Analyst at The Morgan Report and regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com. David, thanks for joining us again. How’ve you been sir? David Smith: Very good Mike, it’s great to be back. Mike Gleason: Well, before we get into other topics such as the Silver Institute’s latest report on the silver market and also the article you wrote for us recently on digital currencies, crypto-currencies, and so forth, I first want to have you set the stage here on where we are and where we’ve been in the […]

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Investor Optimism toward Washington’s Problem-Solving Abilities Is Misplaced

Investor Optimism toward Washington’s Problem-Solving Abilities Is Misplaced

The bullion markets offer their own commentary about conservatives’ state of mind since Donald Trump’s election. They are optimistic for the first time in years. Just look at the sales statistics from the U.S. Mint. Bullion. Coin sales have fallen sharply as investors see less reason to seek safe haven in the form of physical metal. During Obama’s presidency, and during the campaign when it looked as if Hillary might succeed him, conservatives and libertarians aggressively bought American Eagle coins and other bullion products. The mint set new sales records nearly every year. The mindset that drove the retail buying changed in November. Consider the February sales figures. Sales of […]

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Capital Controls May Be Coming to the US

Those who hoped President Trump would tone down his protectionist rhetoric will be unnerved six weeks into his tenure. From his meeting with business CEOs, Trump has put trade “front and center.” So far, all is going well for the president. Markets are inching higher, and inflationary forces have picked up. However, bringing back jobs and reducing the trade deficit will be a tougher task. (although jobs have set historic gains already) A Victim of His Own Success  Trump’s election unleashed the “animal spirits” that have been absent post-financial crisis. On the surface, this is good for the economy. The US is currently the only major country raising interest rates and enjoying […]

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PRECIOUS-Gold slips to 4-week low on Fed rate hike expectations

Reuters – LONDON, March 7, 2017 Gold hit a more than four-week low on Tuesday as the dollar strengthened and expectations for a U.S. interest rate hike this month weighed, though moves were muted ahead of key U.S. data this week. The precious metal has fallen in five out of the last six sessions as expectations for the Federal Reserve to push ahead with a U.S. rate increase this month ramped up. Spot gold was down 0.7 percent at $1,216.95 an ounce at 1445 GMT, having earlier touched its lowest since Feb. 3 at $1,216.19 an ounce. U.S. gold futures for April delivery were down $8.00 an ounce at $1,217.50. […]

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Will Gold Prices Finally Pull Back or Continue Marching Ahead?

Will Gold Prices Finally Pull Back or Continue Marching Ahead?

Gold prices are up more than 11% since bottoming last December. Their gains last week took the gold market right up to its 50-week moving average. In 2015, attempted rallies reversed at the 50-week moving average. Could this level once again serve as a barrier to further price advances? Either way, long-term gold bulls shouldn’t sweat this particular technical level. Major bull markets need to pull back and reconsolidate periodically. Whether that starts happening this week, or later on at higher price levels, a downturn of some magnitude is inevitable. One indicator that may be pointing toward a pullback sooner rather than later is the negative divergence in gold mining […]

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Trump’s Trade Policy to Drive Price Inflation and Gold Buying

| January 30, 2017 | Category: Economy
Trump’s Trade Policy to Drive Price Inflation and Gold Buying

Donald Trump’s trade policy is likely to spark higher consumer price inflation, and that has ramifications for gold and silver prices. Regardless of where investors stand regarding the president’s plan to make Mexico “pay” for the border wall, if he is successful in getting Congress to impose a hefty tax on imports it will mean higher prices for things. A tax on goods from China could be even more inflationary. Saying that higher import taxes are inflationary may be a statement of the obvious, but it is worth making given Trump’s recent promotion of a tax on Mexican goods. He implies Mexican exporters will “pay” for the wall by absorbing […]

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