Tag: economic analysis

Why The Gold Price Rose $50 On Thursday June 19th

Why The Gold Price Rose $50 On Thursday June 19th

As I started writing in these pages in 2014, inflation is becoming a real problem in America. Years ago, I started writing about how all this money the Federal Reserve is creating out of thin air would become inflationary. That’s exactly what is starting to happen now. I have said it many times before: inflation in the U.S. economy is going to be a major problem. Gold is the best hedge against inflation. That’s why it’s an important part of any investment portfolio.

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Gold And Silver – Western World Is Upside Down

| June 21, 2014 | Category: Economy
Gold And Silver – Western World Is Upside Down

In a break from a thematic undertone to link to gold and silver, here are some ramblings that are more underpinnings to the core problems that have left people unfocused and dealing with symptoms, no matter how they may seemingly appear to be core issues.

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The Coming Crash Of The Financial And Monetary System

The Coming Crash Of The Financial And Monetary System

In an excellent video presentation, Claudio Grass, Managing Director at Global Gold Switzerland, explains why a crash of the financial and monetary system seems inevitable. The presentation covers all actual issues like currency wars, rigged markets, central bankers’ interventions, statistics manipulation, monetary mismanagement and financial repression. Claudio Grass does an outstanding job “connecting these dots” but in a factual way.

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Fed Funds Rate About To Reward Gold Investors

Fed Funds Rate About To Reward Gold Investors

As we know, the Fed enacted QE to stimulate our nation’s economy. Right now we’re benefitting from our placement in Phase IV of this cycle because it is in this phase that the Fed is able to keep interest rates low, keep reserve requirements low and continue printing money. Similarly, when money is “easy,” businesses can find funding for projects and consumers have easier access to credit. Historically, Phase IV (as well as the shift towards Phase I) are the best for equity investors because stocks usually rise during these two positions in the cycle. When it comes to the performance of gold and gold stocks, history indicates good times are ahead based on where we are in the cycle.

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Jim Rickards: Money Printing Will Destroy Confidence At Some Point

Jim Rickards: Money Printing Will Destroy Confidence At Some Point

On the myth that it is not important how much is printed, Jim Rickards says that the Fed’s safety net of printing has holes in it. If the money printing could go on indefinitely then you would be right and I would agree with you but it cannot go on indefinitely. The Fed could legally print more than the $4 trillion they’ve already created — $8 trillion, $12 trillion, $16 trillion. Some people say that they can do that — legally they can but they will destroy confidence at some point.

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Will Inflation Make A Comeback In 2014 When The Consensus Worries About Deflation

Will Inflation Make A Comeback In 2014 When The Consensus Worries About Deflation

The Incrementum Inflation Signal started showing rising inflationary momentum after a period of 19 month of disinflation. Is Inflation making a comeback just as the consensus worries about deflation risk? That was the subject of Incrementum’s first Advisory Board in which much respected names have a seat.

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Currency Devaluation Result Of Geopolitical Tension, Government Corruption, Money Printing

| March 11, 2014 | Category: Economy
Currency Devaluation Result Of Geopolitical Tension, Government Corruption, Money Printing

While the major central banks continue to flood the global financial markets with their fiat currencies and as geopolitical tensions around the world look set to increase, the price of gold is likely to rise.

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Gold And Silver Outlook: Recovery, Recession, Deflation Or Seasonality?

| February 26, 2014 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Outlook: Recovery, Recession, Deflation Or Seasonality?

Whether the economic recovery is for real or not, remains to be seen. Judging from the recent economic data, there seems to be no recovery in real terms, only an artificial push in financial risk assets based on hopes for easy money. As investors, it all boils down to risk reduction. Precious metals have the unique characteristic to mitigate counterparty risk, which is far more important in our humble opinion than speculation (hope) on recovery.

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Is Quantitative Easing The Killer Solution?

| February 10, 2014 | Category: Economy
Is Quantitative Easing The Killer Solution?

If the 2000 collapse of the US dot.com bubble was an economic heart attack, the 2008 economic collapse was a stroke, a stroke so severe that the usual central bank response, to lower interest rates, did nothing to revive economic growth. The ongoing economic crisis is only part of a much larger and far more significant paradigm shift. Gender, cosmic polarities, institutions, cultures and consciousness will all be affected. These are dark times but it is also true that it is darkest before the dawn.

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Credit Suisse Sees Gold Price At $1,000

| January 31, 2014 | Category: Price
Credit Suisse Sees Gold Price At $1,000

This is an infographic which represents the view of the Credit Suisse commodities research team. It shows the bearish case for gold in 2014. While our view is that some of the elements are correct, we believe that exploding Chinese demand (chart is missing on the infographic) and the brewing systemic risk do represent solid counter arguments.

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Gold Wars As Relevant As Ever

Gold Wars As Relevant As Ever

“Gold Wars” reveals how the world economy has swayed off the right path, away from a safe and prosperous economic system. Governments launched a vicious and determinant war against gold, which led to a painful 21st century with hyperinflations, economic instability and massive debt. Lips traces these changes in the economy to the departure from the gold standard in favor of creating the fiat system as early as World War I.

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How The US Likely Cheated On Productivity And Inflation Statistics

| January 16, 2014 | Category: Economy
How The US Likely Cheated On Productivity And Inflation Statistics

If we had a too low inflation computation, this would be overstating real GDP. The computation of productivity gains from the overstated real GDP would be overstated as well. But those supposedly high productivity numbers are betrayed by the trade, currency and Capex directions. It is hard to manipulate nominal GDP, however we already noted in a previous piece how a repressed inflation computation would lead to repressed nominal rates which would in turn promote an explosion of credit.

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Western Governments Try Everything To Preserve Their Fiat Currencies

Western Governments Try Everything To Preserve Their Fiat Currencies

While major Western banks have been found guilty of one transgression after another, I don’t believe that any Chinese bank participated in these devious schemes. And, when it comes to gold, I will follow the Chinese and not the US. I will take advantage of these lower prices to buy more and not to sell. I also believe that the price of gold has made its lows for the year.

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Politicians Continue to Bankrupt Nations and Steal from Individuals

| October 15, 2013 | Category: Economy
Politicians Continue to Bankrupt Nations and Steal from Individuals

Personally, I am certain that some type of cosmetic deal will be reached soon and it will be back to business as usual. The U.S. Debt Ceiling will be raised once again. Another increase in the debt ceiling will allow U.S. politicians to continue spending which will lead to a further loss in confidence as well as the value of the U.S. dollar. And, as this happens the price of gold will go much higher.

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