Tag: economic analysis

The Beauty of Deflation

| January 21, 2015 | Category: Investing
The Beauty of Deflation

We do not know what the future entails when our existing monetary and financial systems break down, but we are convinced that gold and silver will offer security (at least) in the transition period. If we look at the gold purchases by the East, it also reveals how emerging markets have set their minds on gold. This further supports our conviction that a form of gold standard might regain a prominent status and take over once again. However, the prevailing monetary experiment called “fiat currency” is likely to persist for some time to come.

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Steen Jakobsen: Things Are About To Take A Different Turn In 2015

| January 7, 2015 | Category: Economy
Steen Jakobsen: Things Are About To Take A Different Turn In 2015

Jakobsen argues that in the current economic environment that what a metals trader needs to focus on is deflation. When deflation bottoms out, which is something likely to happen during Q1 of 2015, it will be the biggest buy signal for metals. Jakobsen’s base scenario is that Q1 and Q2 will become the worst part of the business cycle with the lowest inflation expectation, the lowest growth, the lowest ability to do anything and increasing volatility at the same time. But he believes that as this low energy, as these low interest rates and as the terms of trade for Europe improve, we will see a better second half than we’ll see a first half.

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Japan Is Writing History As A Prime Boom And Bust Case

| December 30, 2014 | Category: Economy
Japan Is Writing History As A Prime Boom And Bust Case

Given the data points discussed in this article, it is fair to say that Japan is on track for a devastating bust at some point in the future. The unknown factor is timing. When the inevitable will take place is anyone’s guess. The fate of countries like Japan is really in the hands of central bankers. However, central planners are not able to manipulate markets infinitely. At a certain point, something has to give. That is when the markets will give up and disbelief will replace trust. Readers should remember that in such a bust scenario, people flee down the Golden Pyramid of asset classes to their safe haven, being gold.

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Expect Higher Gold Prices In 2015

| December 9, 2014 | Category: Price
Expect Higher Gold Prices In 2015

The dollar’s strength is helping to push commodity prices down, as many commodities are priced in dollars, including gold and oil, which in turn doesn’t help the efforts of the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan to boost inflation in their countries. As more people become aware of what is really going on, they will accumulate physical gold and silver, and the prices will have to adjust to the real fundamentals and will no longer be determined by a handful of speculators. So, I expect to see prices trend higher in the New Year.

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To SNB Head Thomas Jordan: Please Stop Politicizing The Gold-Initiative Debate With Propaganda

To SNB Head Thomas Jordan: Please Stop Politicizing The Gold-Initiative Debate With Propaganda

The first one of the QE Central Banks that attempts to exit QE will be flooded with capital inflows with the accompanying strong currency appreciation. Indeed, such currency appreciation will crush the economy via the export sector, whilst it will import price disinflation. This falling inflation will in turn give the central bank the cover to renew again any QE policies. This is the so-called boom and boost inflation-deflation cycle that central bankers create with their bias towards expansionary policies.

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Events Impacting The Gold And Silver Price In The Week Of November 17th

| November 17, 2014 | Category: Price
Events Impacting The Gold And Silver Price In The Week Of November 17th

For the week commencing November 17th, there are some key central bank announcements, coming from the U.S., Japan and the European Union. Below is a more detailed calendar of economic data in key markets, but, more importantly, formal central bank announcements. They are not necessarily driving gold and silver prices, but could cause price volatility. As evidenced by the calendar, the second half of the week could be very volatile.

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Gold & Silver Show Mixed Signals While Bitcoin Shows Relative Strength

Gold & Silver Show Mixed Signals While Bitcoin Shows Relative Strength

Bitcoin’s correlation with gold has started to reverse, moving to +0.76 from a high last week of +0.88. This makes forecasting future bitcoin price movements more difficult if it is beginning to act less like gold, who’s behavior has become well-understood in relation to the US economic narrative of growth and Federal Reserve tightening. Right now, the bitcoin market remains very stochastic and open to market manipulation. There are no clear demand-side factors that we can rely on for sustained demand of the currency.

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Financial World Is A House Of Cards Built On Sand

| October 19, 2014 | Category: Economy
Financial World Is A House Of Cards Built On Sand

The damage being done to the world economy has no precedent. The extent to which the world is being manipulated has no precedent. The degree of endless “wars” engaged in and provoked by the United States in has no precedent. The amount of worthless “currency” being used by the moneychangers to fleece the world of its wealth does have a precedent in the Rothschild formula, but the degree to which it has been utilized has no precedent. One day, and it is a certainty, the value of gold and silver will double, triple, or some unknown multiple of current suppressed values, and those who have been bemoaning the current prices will be equally rewarded as those who have kept the faith and knew that it was just a matter of time.

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What Happens With The Gold Price If Deflation Wins?

What Happens With The Gold Price If Deflation Wins?

It’s hard to argue that high debt levels are deflationary. And with the current expansion based largely on debt, we can’t expect sustainably higher economic activity to be generated. So what happens if deflation wins? Even if we eventually get inflation, what happens to our gold investments if we first go through a deflationary bust?

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Microdocumentary: 4 Major Boom And Bust Cycles Explained

Microdocumentary: 4 Major Boom And Bust Cycles Explained

This microdocumentary video examines in detail 4 major booms in the last 100 years and explains how monetary policy and interest rate manipulation has led to the inevitable bust.

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Research Shows Positive Correlation Between Economic growth And Gold Demand

| September 25, 2014 | Category: Investing
Research Shows Positive Correlation Between Economic growth And Gold Demand

Current data on the world’s economies is mixed. There is both positive and negative news about developed and emerging markets but many investors – particularly in the US – are optimistic about a return to growth. Conventional wisdom says this will be bad news for gold. We believe the true picture is more complex. Gold benefits from both the growth and contraction phases of the business cycle, and our analysis, based on new third-party research, highlights the positive link between economic growth and consumer demand for gold.

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Global Leaders Lying About The State Of The Economy, As Gold Is On Sale

| September 18, 2014 | Category: Economy
Global Leaders Lying About The State Of The Economy, As Gold Is On Sale

As long as the markets continue to believe that the world, specifically the US, is in full economic recovery and higher interest rates are just around the corner, gold will remain under pressure. Personally, I think the downside is limited and we are getting close to a bottom of this cycle. My message here is that while you have many reasons to sell your gold, don’t. Gold is now on sale, and everyone wants to buy valuable assets when they’re cheap. Bullion’s current dip is a golden opportunity to buy low in order to sell high later.

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Illusioned by the Economic “Recovery”

| September 11, 2014 | Category: Economy
Illusioned by the Economic “Recovery”

The names of the programs change over time, but in essence the outcome is the same: injecting more money into the system. It is our understanding that we have more uncertainties today than a few years ago. This is also the reason why we believe that the global economy will not see a positive development in the years ahead. Holding parts of one’s wealth in physical gold and silver, stored outside the banking system, never made more sense.

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NWO Equals Deceit, Debt, & War. Precious Metals A Casualty.

NWO Equals Deceit, Debt, & War. Precious Metals A Casualty.

If you want to know why your holdings of physical gold and silver have remained under suppression, it is because both are anathema to paper fiat currencies, and the ones who are in control, the moneychangers, will not tolerate competition against their fiat Ponzi monopoly scheme. Not until the elite bankers lose control of the fiat US “dollar” can you expect to see dramatic price increases for gold and silver, irrespective of any and all fundamentals and more widely recognized efforts of manipulation.

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