Tag: cycle analysis

What The 7 Year Cycle Suggests For Gold And Stocks

What The 7 Year Cycle Suggests For Gold And Stocks

There is an obvious 7 year cycle in economics. Stock markets are overdue for a major correction. During periods of financial turmoil people have always turned to gold for safety.

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Gold Cycles: Is It Different This Time?

| February 5, 2015 | Category: Technicals
Gold Cycles: Is It Different This Time?

At some point, it will be “different this time”, and we will see a change in Gold’s character that is reflected in a new bull trend. At that point, recent Investor Cycle history will no longer be relevant. Similar to a satellite in orbit that needs an event to alter its course, Gold will need some catalyst to escape the pull of the bear market. Until then, we can only be guided by history. The last 7 Investor Cycles show that once speculative positions have reached current levels (as seen in the COT report), the Investor Cycle has peaked.

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Elliott Wave Projection For Gold Price And US Dollar

| September 18, 2014 | Category: Technicals
Elliott Wave Projection For Gold Price And US Dollar

In this excellent market analysis, Trader MC points out that the current gold price, between $1192 and $1240, is trading at key levels. Patterns change with the psychology of the market and it is important to adjust in real time. He concludes that “the gold market structure should reveal itself very soon, we just have to be patient and let the market come to us.”

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What Is Next For The Price Of Silver: Collapse or Rally?

| September 17, 2014 | Category: Price
What Is Next For The Price Of Silver: Collapse or Rally?

Monthly Prices: Silver is “over-sold” based on the charts, the TDI oscillator, and many other oscillators. Expect silver prices to rise. The gold to silver ratio is high which indicates relatively inexpensive silver prices and higher silver prices ahead. Weekly Prices: Same as monthly prices – “over-sold” and ready to rally. Daily Prices: They are also “over-sold” but pretty much controlled by the High Frequency Trading algorithms and the temporary needs of the “powers-that-be.”

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Cycle Analysis Supports Both Bearish and Bullish Views On Gold and Silver

| September 16, 2014 | Category: Technicals
Cycle Analysis Supports Both Bearish and Bullish Views On Gold and Silver

As bearish as this sounds, there is a “rest of the story” in support of my view that we’re still at a major decision point for Gold. If June 2013 was the final capitulation low that ended the bear market, and I still believe that it was, it was followed by a retest in Dec 2013. Each cycle since has attracted fewer Short speculators and far less hedging…and that’s not bear market behavior. Such apathy and disinterest is often observed at – or after – bear market lows.

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Long Cycles And Trend Changes: Gold Price, Dollar, S&P500

| September 4, 2014 | Category: Price
Long Cycles And Trend Changes: Gold Price, Dollar, S&P500

Several markets seem over-extended and about to reverse their current trends. It is certainly time to consider that the S&P is quite high and ready to reverse its five plus year uptrend, and that gold is too low and set to reverse its three year downtrend.

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Silver, Gold and S&P: A Trend Change Is Due

Silver, Gold and S&P: A Trend Change Is Due

Expect a trend change in 2014 and much higher gold and silver prices as they rally above their 200 day moving averages. The ratio of silver prices to the S&P is back to 2008 levels and substantially below the linear trend since 2006. Expect the ratio to regress (rise) to its mean while silver prices rally substantially from here. Both long and short term time cycles indicate that an important bottom occurred in June of 2013. It appears that a double-bottom occurred in December of 2013. If this double-bottom holds, time cycles suggest that silver will rally strongly in 2014.

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August Could Bring Further Losses For Gold

| July 14, 2013 | Category: Price
August Could Bring Further Losses For Gold

The bearish performance to date likely indicates that once the Cycle ages that it could quickly turn down sold aggressively. This might well coincide with the dollar coming out of its own DCL late next week. Up until then though, gold still has a chance to prove me wrong. I believe even in the bearish case that gold should have enough steam to get it to $1,300. But now is its only chance to shine. If the gains cannot come quickly from this setup, then I’m afraid gold is setting up for yet another big fall.

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2013 – Start of Seismic Shifts in Money, Metals, Markets

2013 – Start of Seismic Shifts in Money, Metals, Markets

Unsustainable trends can survive much longer than most people anticipate, but they do end when their “time is up” – at the culmination of their time cycles. Examples of these trends include deficit spending, exponential debt increases, overpriced bond markets, and unbacked paper currencies, to name a few. In an effort to bring clarity in how and when these trends could change direction we analyzed more than 20 different cycles. They almost unanimously point to tectonic shifts in the months and years ahead … starting now. At this point, we have enough confirmation to accept that the gold and silver crash – starting in April of 2013 – was the first shot across the board of what is to come.

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Gold Cycle Analysis: Consistent Bullish Outlook For Gold & Silver

| November 25, 2012 | Articles: Gold Silver Prices
Gold Cycle Analysis: Consistent Bullish Outlook For Gold & Silver

This is an exclusive excerpt from The Financial Tap, who offers a FREE 15-day trial with complete access to the entire site. This was exactly the pop out of Gold that I was looking for this week.  The Cycle timing and coiling action right under the $1,740 Swing Line was telling us to expect this move.  Almost every 1st Daily Cycle in a C-Wave has been Right Translated and gained more than 6%, so there was little reason to expect something different here. I’ve studied so many Gold Cycle patterns and this one fits the mold of all other bullish Cycles.  Gold loves to pause near important pivots, like Swing low/high marks and prior […]

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