Tag: contrarian investing
Why Austrian Investing Is Important In The Era Of State Imposed Fiat Money

In sum, this book is to date the most comprehensive attempt at a critical examination of today’s investment universe from the perspective of the Austrian School and deriving conclusions for investors from it. To this end, we frequently move back and forth between theory and current practice. The difficulty of connecting these two worlds will become clear to the reader as the book progresses: the relationship between taking the time for slow and deliberate reflection and the pressure and urgency that characterize investing in financial markets under distorted and volatile circumstances.
Gold Miners: The Ultimate Contrarian Investment

Returns have been quite awful to say the least, which from a contrarian perspective gives investors a chance to bet on a short term bounce, if not a long term rebound. Conditions in the Precious Metals sector are very much depressed from the historical basis, as evidenced by the following two charts.
Gold, Silver, Equities: Secular Megaphone Patterns

Prices for gold, silver, crude oil, other commodities, and equities are exponentially increasing in the long term. Debt and money supply have increased exponentially and have driven prices much higher. Equities benefit for years and then commodity prices benefit for years. Higher gold, silver, and crude oil prices are coming. Lower prices for bonds and equities are coming.
Why The Gold And Resources Market Could Be Bottoming

I was very encouraged because gold had broken below its December 2013 low, and it seemed that every pundit and blogger in the world was saying that there was nothing to stop the fall short of $1,000, or even $700. It was widely believed that breaching the prior low was the trigger that would take it much lower—but that’s not what happened. Instead, the new low was a buying signal to Russians, Chinese, Indians, and others, and gold shot right back up again.
Extremes In The Markets: Expect Consequences (Part II)

Debts will increase until a “reset” occurs. Politicians will “extend and pretend” and make MANY promises. The S&P has enjoyed a large rally in the last 6 years. It will correct. Bonds are in a massive bubble, partially created by the low and negative interest rates forced upon the system by central banks. All bubbles eventually burst. Gold and silver and their stocks have been beaten down for four years. They will rally to new highs.
6 Great Investment Questions To Marc Faber

In the latest episode of Ask the Expert, by Sprott Money, Dr. Marc Faber was the invitee. Below are the answers from Marc Faber on 6 excellent questions from Sprott Money readers.
Gold And Today’s Economic Danger Zone

This is a clear and present DANGER ZONE. Evaluate your personal and family vulnerability to traumatic changes that must occur, whether in 2014 or during the next few years. Consider your personal and financial risk factors, and make adjustments as needed. Given your personal circumstances, will gold (and silver) or unbacked paper currencies and debt issued by insolvent governments serve you better during the next ten years of turmoil?
Contrarian Value Investors Are Taking Large Positions In Gold And Miners

In his latest Gold Investment Letter, John Hathaway writes that chances are high that the bottom is in for precious metals and miners. The most interesting statement in the investor letter is the observation that tontrarian value investors are entering the precious metals market, both the metals and miners. That is a signficant evolution, and the most important sign of strength.
QE Is Canceling Market Signals & Results In Malinvestments
One of the frustrating things is that those bond purchases are canceling market signals. The bond market and the stock market have provided wonderful signals for many years as to potential problems, or potential signals. When you cancel those signals you could run into a problem.
Are We At Maximum Pessimism In Resource Stocks?

Bear markets, like we are in now, beget bull markets. Bull markets beget bear markets. When you are feeling terrified, you have to be aggressive; when you are feeling brilliant, you have to sell. If you do not do that, you will be a victim. It is just the way it works. If you ignore the fact that these are capital-intensive and cyclical businesses, you are roadkill on a good day.
Jim Sinclair: The Last Days Or Weeks Of The Correction In The Metals

The earliest date of the end of the decline is the 28th of February and the longest period of pressure is until the 27th of March. Thereafter gold is released to the upside which will be a minimum of $3500.
We Are In Uncharted Waters – The Debate Is Not Addressing The Truth
Frank Giustra is a very successful entrepreneur and investor. He succeeded in various role, from the gold mining sector to the fim industry. Very recently, he spoke at the World Outlook Financial Conference where he talked about a couple of big themes: his economic and monetary outlook, everyone’s hidden agenda, disinformation and inflation. The interview is extremely insightful, accurate and actual.
Jim Sinclair: Positive Gold Outlook So Control Your Emotions

Jim Sinclair commented in the past days more than he is used to. It indicates that gold holders and investors get too nervous about the long consolidation period. The general mood becomes bearish, driven by the price of the metals, the awful performance of the gold shares and negative outlook reports. As a contrarian, Jim Sinclair believes this decline will be over by his birthday, which is March 27th.