Tag: chart analysis

Gold And Silver Prices: Value Of Knowing The Trend

| November 22, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Prices: Value Of Knowing The Trend

All fiats fail, and the only difference this time around is the grossly exaggerated extent to which fiat has managed to survive. It also indicates that once the fiat “dollar” fails, and there are more and more cracks showing up in its ability to maintain its world reserve currency status, the move for physical gold and silver will also be favorably exaggerated to the upside.

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Gold Leaps and Looks Higher

| November 20, 2015 | Category: Technicals
Gold Leaps and Looks Higher

Yesterday’s rally was the most promising we’ve seen on the hourly chart in weeks. It surpassed no fewer than four prior peaks without taking a breather; moreover, the pullback has been shallow so far. We’ve been short this vehicle with an 1176 basis, but the current stop-loss at 1093.70 should be closely minded, since even moderate strength on Friday could trigger it. If so, it would give us a theoretical gain of $9300 on the position upon exit. If the rally is for real, bulls should be able to move the futures easily past1086.50 Thursday night.

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Huge Support Nearing For Price Of Gold

| November 19, 2015 | Category: Price
Huge Support Nearing For Price Of Gold

Our conclusion is that we have reached huge support areas in 3 leading assets. Do not forget this rule of thumb: Investors make their biggest gains when buying at secular support levels. Given the stiff correction in gold and commodities, we do not anticipate a raging bull market as of the moment support is reached. Our view? As precious metals were the first asset to correct, we anticipate they will be the first to recover.

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Gold And Silver Market: Sellers Remain In Control

| November 15, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Market: Sellers Remain In Control

Will this potential double bottom hold? After the wide range bar decline, 6 bars ago, the last 5 bars have been overlapping, and the closes are almost clustering, both signs for a possible change in price direction. A rally can be expected, but surrounding circumstances dictate it may not last, as explained next.

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Gold, Silver, Copper Testing Six-Year Lows

| November 12, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold, Silver, Copper Testing Six-Year Lows

With the dollar having recently risen to a new seven-month high, commodity prices are in retreat. The brown line in Chart 1 shows the CRB Index (of nineteen commodity markets) falling to the lowest level since August (through yesterday). That commodity selling started in mid-October just as the U.S. Dollar Index started rising. A rising dollar almost always results in lower commodity prices (and stocks tied to them). The commodity selloff has been quite broad and includes industrial and previous metals, energy prices, and agriculturals. Several of those markets are testing six-year lows.

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Is Gold On Its Way To $817.50 /oz ?

| November 12, 2015 | Category: Price
Is Gold On Its Way To $817.50 /oz ?

For if the futures cannot bounce at least $30 after piercing 1073.70, I’d infer they are on their way down to 1044.50 at least; and thence to an obligatory test of $1000, where they haven’t been for six years. Below this watershed sit two more targets, either of which could mark the end of the bear market begun in August 2011: 971.35 (see inset) or, my worst case, 817.50.

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Deception Rules Gold And Silver Markets, Not Fundamentals

| November 7, 2015 | Category: Price
Deception Rules Gold And Silver Markets, Not Fundamentals

As we have noted all year, the currency correction has been relatively weak, and weak corrections auger for higher prices. There is no way to know how much higher the deception of the fiat “dollar” will go. There will inevitably be signs of some form of ending action that declares the down trend to be finished. We have not yet seen any such sign. The sooner price can make a new recent lower low, the greater the probability that the down trend will end. In that regard, everyone who wants to be bullish should cheer on lower prices, for now.

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COMEX Gold Again Capped A Rally. Gold’s 2 Downside Targets.

COMEX Gold Again Capped A Rally. Gold’s 2 Downside Targets.

Gold was looking good until last week Wednesday, October 28th. It must be a coincidence that the COMEX futures gold price always drops significantly on the day of an FOMC meeting / announcement. Right now, gold sits on its 50 day moving average (DMA). If support fails, our downside target becomes $1125 at the lower median line of the blue modified-Schiff fork. The lower median line of the red modified-Schiff fork is around $1050.

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Month-End Technical Review For Gold And Silver

| October 31, 2015 | Category: Price
Month-End Technical Review For Gold And Silver

Twelve times a year, we get to present the monthly charts in order to keep a higher time frame perspective. Higher time frames are much harder to turn and change trend, so it pays to always be aware of what a monthly chart is indicating. A fact that all can agree on is that price is at recent lows when compared to the 2011 highs. That indicates the trend is down. It would be impossible to argue otherwise, whether one is an experienced chart reader or has no experience.

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Amazing Chart: Silver To Start A Huge Rally?

| October 22, 2015 | Category: Price
Amazing Chart: Silver To Start A Huge Rally?

Note how silver started a huge rally, both in 2003 and 2008, when the gold to silver ratio reached the upper border of its long term range. Are we about to experience a similar rally now?

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Will The Gold Price Close 2015 with a Gain?

| October 17, 2015 | Category: Price
Will The Gold Price Close 2015 with a Gain?

After its stellar performance this week, gold might do something it hasn’t done since 2012—that is, end the year in positive territory. Responding to a weaker U.S. dollar, continued contraction in global growth and wide speculation that interest rates will stay near-zero for the remainder of the year, the yellow metal broke above its 200-day moving average and is close to erasing its 2015 losses.

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Why Obama Is Bullish for Gold And Silver

| October 17, 2015 | Category: Price
Why Obama Is Bullish for Gold And Silver

Ironically, we see Obama as a positive influence on gold and silver, for none of this will end well as the increasingly internationally shunned US tries to make the changes it wants to see, when such misdirected efforts backfire and only add fuel to the fire. Gold has had stronger rallies, such as starting from the end of June 2013, to keep a perspective on current market activity and not get overly swayed that a final bottom is in place. What bears closer scrutiny now will be the character of any reactions.

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Precious Metals Complex Breaking Downtrend

| October 16, 2015 | Category: Price
Precious Metals Complex Breaking Downtrend

The precious metals sector has enjoyed decent gains over the last two weeks. The two charts below learn that three out of the four major assets within the Precious Metals sector have broken out from their downtrends (only GDX lags).

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Gold And Silver Are Trapped In A Low-End Trading Range

| October 10, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold And Silver Are Trapped In A Low-End Trading Range

The forces described in this article are the true ones influencing gold and silver, not record coin sales, not record purchases month in and month out for the past few years by China, India, and Russia. Waiting patiently on the sidelines are gold and silver, wanting to have their day, and that day will happen, just not knowing when. Again, while the current rally seems fairly decent on the daily, the more controlling larger weekly time frame is not that impressive. A weekly chart is a stronger guide than a daily. Even the smaller range of last week, relative to the week before, suggests sellers are keeping a check on this market, at least for now.

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