Tag: casey research

Are the Gold Bugs Wrong?

Are the Gold Bugs Wrong?

Today’s ongoing economic and fiscal crises cannot end smoothly or without unpleasant consequences. Since none of the excesses that precipitated the 2008 financial crisis have been fixed, another round of crisis is baked in the cake and will likely inflict even greater damage. When that happens, gold will again be seen as the refuge it is, regardless of current popular opinion.

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Why & How To Internationalize Your Cash

Why & How To Internationalize Your Cash

Currency controls, confiscation, taxation, … all of these types of measures are about to hit ordinary and hard working people. Yes there is a way out. Smart people can not only diversify their assets and wealth in different types of hard assets, but also internationally. Doug Casey from Casey Research shares some insights in how to do it.

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Doug Casey About The G20 Meeting: Talk vs Reality

| February 27, 2013 | Articles: General

Recent economic data have disappointed. At the same time our leaders pretend that the prospects of the economy are good to great. A confusing situation with mixed signals – what and who to believe?

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5 Gold & Silver Investment Tips

With gold and silver prices range bound for 1.5 year now. After the gold’s highs at around $1,920 in September 2011 and silver’s highs at $49 in April/May 2011, the prices have been jumping in a fixed trange with support at $1,520 gold and $27 silver. As true gold or silver investments, the mining shares have performed even worse. Since the highs of the miners early 2011, the mining index HUI has moved from 600 points to 370. The junior miners performed much worse: from 38 early 2011 to 16 early 2012, standing now at about 20. We wrote earlier about Rick Rule his expectations for the resource market in […]

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Rick Rule About Junior & Exploration Miners: The Sector Is A Disaster

Rick Rule About Junior & Exploration Miners: The Sector Is A Disaster

Rick Rule explains that the junior and exploration mining sector looks not very promising. His research framework reveals how to pick the winners. For investors, this all boils down to risk management, as only ten to twenty percent of the companies will do well.

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One Chart Explains Why Government Debt Is Dragging on the Economy

| October 25, 2012 | Articles: General
One Chart Explains Why Government Debt Is Dragging on the Economy

By Dan Steinhart, Casey Research The US has too much debt. This is no longer a controversial statement. Some may believe other problems are more urgent, or that we need to grow our way out rather than slash spending. But even the most spendthrift pundits acknowledge that the debt-to-GDP ratio of the US must decrease if we are to have a stable, prosperous economy. The private sector has reacted to this over-indebted reality as you would expect: by deleveraging. Since 2008, households and businesses have extinguished of 67% of their debt when measured against GDP. Some paid debt down purposefully, and others defaulted. For our purposes, it doesn’t matter how […]

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What Will the Price of Gold Be in January 2014?

What Will the Price of Gold Be in January 2014?

Jeff Clark from Casey Research has written great articles and here is another one. The charts which show the exploding monetary base are well known in the meanwhile, but Jeff Clark presents  a particular one that shows the correlation between the gold price and the monetary  base. Is there anything more clear than this trendline? Now over the time period that is used in the chart, monetary policies were controlled to such a degree that money markets are leading an artificial life. Obviously that can last for a limited period of time. It’s impossible to continue several years with zero interest rates (negative real rates), exponential money growth in an environment with high real unemployment […]

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The Bottom Line on Gold, the Dollar, and the Euro

| September 15, 2012 | Articles: Insights
The Bottom Line on Gold, the Dollar, and the Euro

By Louis James, Casey Research One of the points we’ve made several times over the last year is that traders stuck in an old paradigm are frequently selling gold for the wrong reasons. The most egregious (or just plain silly) example is that gold often drops when the euro drops. This happens, not because there’s anything wrong with gold at such times, but because gold is priced in dollars. Instead of being thought of as a store of value in many investors’ minds, gold is viewed as a hedge against weakness in the dollar. But what are dollars priced in? Nothing, actually. Purchasing power is the underlying reality any “price” […]

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Doug Casey on the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly of Today’s Journalism

| September 13, 2012 | Articles: Experts Talk

Louis: Hola Doug. What’s on your mind this week? Doug: The color yellow. As in “yellow journalism” – which seems almost the only kind we have these days. Of course, to be fair, inflammatory, shamelessly dishonest “man bites dog” journalism has always been the dominant kind, simply because it sells papers. But we’ll see more than the usual amount in the next couple of months, simply because elections lend themselves to it; politics seems to stimulate the reptilian part of the brain, the most primitive part. Both politics and the reptilian brain relate well to the yellow press. Anyway, like many people, I watched snippets of the Republican National Convention […]

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When Will Gold Finally Take Off Again?

When Will Gold Finally Take Off Again?

By Jeff Clark, Casey Research Gold’s pullback a year ago no doubt shook out a lot of nervous buyers. They got in on the rise, they got nervous on the pull back. They sold, and they lost. That’s just the way the market works. But it’s a shame, because when we look logically at gold’s historical performance – for example over the last 12 years – we see that holding their nerve, tough though it can be, will most likely turn out to be the best approach, and for good reason. Look at gold prices for the last five years. You can see, despite the pullback, that the trend is […]

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Your Window to Buy Gold Below $1,700 Is Closing

Your Window to Buy Gold Below $1,700 Is Closing

By Jeff Clark, Casey Research Even the hardiest investors have been lamenting that gold prices have been stuck in a rut for a long time. Others with less experience have watched the market waiting for something to happen…. And as always, many bailed out of the market entirely, licking their wounds. But some, including me, have been stocking up. We’re convinced prices won’t stay down forever. In fact, I think there’s a good reason to buy gold if you can, and as soon as possible. Here’s why: Based on the data I chart below, I believe the window of time to buy gold for less than $1,700 an ounce is […]

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Doug Casey Predicts Day of Economic Reckoning Is Near

It is a deal with the devil: governments churn out more and more cash for the promise of continued prosperity. But the day of reckoning is near, according to Doug Casey, chairman of Casey Research and an expert on crisis investing. As the epic battle between inflation and deflation continues, Casey discusses his predictions for the new world market in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report. The Gold Report: There will be a Casey Research Summit on “Navigating the Politicized Economy” in Carlsbad, California in September. Investors from around the world look to these summits as future road maps for investing pitfalls and opportunities. The thesis behind the Summit […]

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Big Changes Ahead: Gold Just Became Money Again

| August 19, 2012 | Articles: Insights

On June 18, the Federal Reserve and FDIC circulated a letter to banks that proposes to harmonize US regulatory capital rules with Basel III. BASEL III is an accord that tells a bank how much capital it must hold to safeguard its solvency and overall economic stability. It’s a global standard on bank capital adequacy, stress testing, and market liquidity risk. Here’s the important bit: At the top of the proposed changes is the new list of “zero-percent risk weighted items,” which now includes “gold bullion,” right after “cash.” That’s the part to take notice of. If the proposals are approved by regulators – and that seems likely since adoption of Basel III will be– then […]

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What Does Liberty Really Mean to You?

| August 13, 2012 | Articles: Insights

By David Galland, Casey Research For some time now – years actually – I have pondered the nature of liberty. Or more specifically, what liberty actually means to me. And to be extra clear, I am not talking about the meaning in abstract or philosophical terms, but tangibly – in much the same way I might answer if asked what my wife means to me. The trigger for this entirely personal discourse comes from reading various articles and viewing various YouTube videos and speeches from self-styled champions of liberty (COL). There is even an entire conference, Mark Skousen’s FreedomFest, dedicated to the topic. Invariably, these well-meaning COL rail against “The […]

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