Tag: bond markets

Keep the Money Game Churning!

Keep the Money Game Churning!

There is money to be made so the game must be played… It’s always “ShowTime” in the financial markets. What is the game plan? Levitate the bond market. See chart below. Keep those interest rates dropping so the bond market continues its 35 year climb. Oops – $7 Trillion in bonds with negative interest rates, at last count, with more from Japan this week. Have we reached a limit? Probably not, but what could go wrong lending money to insolvent governments who guarantee they will return less than they borrowed in 10 years? Currencies must retain some purchasing power. No Argentina or Zimbabwe devaluations will be allowed. When the dollars/euros/yen/pounds […]

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The Rise Of The Paper Machines

The Rise Of The Paper Machines

The powers-that-be have done a great job levitating Group One markets and suppressing Group Two markets. They have considerable resources, massive quantities of fiat currency, considerable influence over the media and government statistics, and the power of the banking cartel and “printing press” behind them. They possess the motive, means and opportunity, so there should be no surprise at their success levitating Group One markets.

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Silver Projection From Crude Oil & T-Bonds

Silver Projection From Crude Oil & T-Bonds

T-bonds made a 3 sigma move higher in March based on the monthly data through Friday March 27. The crude to T-bonds ratio hit an 11 year low. Lows for the last 20 years in that ratio have marked important lows in crude oil and also important lows in silver since 2000. Maybe this time will be different, but I doubt it. Expect crude oil and silver to rally substantially in 2015 – 2016.

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Alert: 3 Sigma Extremes in the Bond Market

Alert: 3 Sigma Extremes in the Bond Market

The March 2015 change in T-Bond prices was a (huge) 3.6 standard deviation move – slightly more rare than a golfing “hole-in-one” and slightly more likely than a “perfect” game in professional baseball. The last 3+ standard deviation move in monthly T-Bond prices occurred in November 2008, during the 2008 stock market crash. Caution is warranted. The global financial system is increasingly leveraged, risky, and appears to be a bubble approaching a “Middle-East or European pin.”

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Global Currencies Teeter as Bonds Offer “Return-Free Risk”

Global Currencies Teeter as Bonds Offer “Return-Free Risk”

Regardless of how the dollar fares versus the euro or other currencies in the near term, the dollar stands to resume the long-term trend identified by Warren Buffett. The dollar, over time, is destined to depreciate against real assets, including gold and silver.

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16 Investment Insights – Money, Markets, And Metals In 2015

16 Investment Insights – Money, Markets, And Metals In 2015

This is a summary of the key investment insights from 6 top fund or money managers, as well as top traders, including Jim Rickards and Ronald Stoeferle (well known in the precious metals community worldwide), during the quarterly Incrementum Advisory Board.

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Gold Gets Safe Haven Bids But COMEX Has Stopping Power

| February 1, 2015 | Category: Investing
Gold Gets Safe Haven Bids But COMEX Has Stopping Power

An important driver of the recent gold rally has been the flight to safety, away from stocks, into “risk off” assets like the US Dollar, US Bonds and gold. Clearly, gold in non-US Dollars has a much more constructive outlook because of the monstrous US Dollar rally of late. In the short run, the gold chart setup suggests a pause. Longer term, towards the second half of this year, depending on how risk on / risk off will play out, gold could be in the position to break through its long term resistance. Even with all the conclusions confirming each other, there is one major divergence, and it deserves a yellow flag in our opinion: COMEX futures positions. It has the potential to cap the rally, and even reverse it, at least in the short run. Going forward, it is key to monitor how futures positions in the COMEX evolve as the price of gold changes. Also, the key trendlines, chart patterns, and technical indicators should be monitored as prices evolve.

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Deflation and Central Bank Delusions

| January 12, 2015 | Category: Economy
Deflation and Central Bank Delusions

I expect that central banks will not voluntarily self-destruct by allowing a deflationary depression, that politicians will demand more QE to keep the system afloat, and that central banks will decide that rapidly rising gold and silver prices are a small price to pay in exchange for the continuance of the system that keeps the political and financial elite both wealthy and powerful.

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6 Great Investment Questions To Marc Faber

| December 22, 2014 | Category: Investing
6 Great Investment Questions To Marc Faber

In the latest episode of Ask the Expert, by Sprott Money, Dr. Marc Faber was the invitee. Below are the answers from Marc Faber on 6 excellent questions from Sprott Money readers.

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Why Money Is Worse Than Debt

Why Money Is Worse Than Debt

Governments and Central Banks (which are like economic Siamese twins) not only print Fiat Money but on top they make the cost to print more money, issue new debt and serve past debt ridiculously low….In reality, Real Interest rates (nominal interest rate less real inflation rate) or the cost to issue more fiat money has even become negative. Propaganda must be extremely solid to keep such a mirage alive and absolute no accident may happen.

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Bubble Mania: Is The Mother Of All Bubbles About To Burst In 2014?

Bubble Mania: Is The Mother Of All Bubbles About To Burst In 2014?

Yes, a “big one” could happen. Stocks look over-priced, gold and silver look “beaten down,” the global credit and currencies bubbles could implode, global derivatives are a potential disaster zone, and our politicians seem intent on creating distractions, “false flags,” and new ways to enrich the military-industrial complex and bankers.

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Marc Faber: The Bond Market Would Like A High Level Of Tapering

| September 10, 2013 | Category: Investing
Marc Faber: The Bond Market Would Like A High Level Of Tapering

Marc Faber explains in this interview the consequences of tapering and the potential motives of the US Fed. First, however, he expresses his concerns about the stock market. He compares the situation in Asia with the one in the US. The Asian markets were up some 20% between the beginning of the year and May but came down sharply since. On the other hand, the S&P500 reached its peak on August 2nd. Meantime many emerging markets are down 50% since their 2009 highs. Where would asset allocators put their money in: the S&P (which is in the sky) or the emerging markets (which are in the dumps)? If a decision is made […]

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Are Long Rates Threatening The Price Of Gold?

| July 5, 2013 | Category: Price
Are Long Rates Threatening The Price Of Gold?

Despite the popular misconception, long rates are not always highly correlated with gold. Gold has never paid a yield, yet it has remained a popular investment for millennia. The investors buying gold are not looking for yields from that portion of their portfolio. They want proven protection from monetary inflation, financial insurance for unforeseen market events, and most of all capital gains.

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Continuing Low Interest Rates In The US, Europe Joins The Party

Continuing Low Interest Rates In The US, Europe Joins The Party

ECB President Mario Draghi today cut its benchmark refinancing rate to a record low 0.5%. Based on official inflation rates, holding government bonds in large economies yields a negative return on 2, 5 and 10 years. Based on the unofficial inflation rate, bond holders are literally throwing away their money. So who said that gold is a worthless investment because it does not pay an interest?

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