HUI looks strong – Following S&P 500 Higher

The mining shares are seeing some very good inflows of speculative money. The result has been an advance for 8 out of the last 9 weeks. The chart shows the index blowing through resistance levels with relative ease with the next Fibonacci retracement level within striking distance.

As the trend is higher, we would expect dips in price to be bought. Initial support for the index is down near the 50% retracement level that comes in near the 505 region. AT some point longs will decide to take some money off the table after a run of this nature but as to where and when this will occur, we will need to watch the price action to get a clue.

If the index were to somehow close a week above the 555 level, it is very likely that we would see the index scoot rather quickly to 600.

Global markets are all being jammed higher as Central Banks are orchestrating a tidal wave of liquidity. The reality is that none of this will do a single thing towards dealing with the ROOT CAUSES of the problem but that is what Central Bankers do in response to any financial or economic crisis – they ramp up the money supply in the hope that it will spur borrowing and lending.

I maintain that it will not  – not without an environment in which jobs are being created and borrowers feel somewhat confident that they can actually afford to make those loan payments. I have said all along, that if the Central Bankers are intent on providing funding for the banks in the hopes that they will loan the money, they are mistaken. Heck, if the feds are hell bent on printing money, instead of basically getting it into the hands of the banks, why not just send a check to each taxpaying household instead! If you are going to deliberately debase the currency, at least have the decency to give some of it to the people whom you are counting on spending it!

Let’s call this the Trader Dan stimulus plan. I think that they should start with a government check in the amount of $10,000. I could use some new tractor accessories.


Author: Dan Norcini


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