Gold Prices Today – Intraday, This Week, This Month, And Longer Term
Our Latest Gold Price News, Analysis, Commentaries
All fiats fail, and the only difference this time around is the grossly exaggerated extent to which fiat has managed to survive. It also indicates that once the fiat “dollar” fails, and there are more and more cracks showing up in its ability to maintain its world reserve currency status, the move for physical gold and silver will also be favorably exaggerated to the upside.
Yesterday’s rally was the most promising we’ve seen on the hourly chart in weeks. It surpassed no fewer than four prior peaks without taking a breather; moreover, the pullback has been shallow so far. We’ve been short this vehicle with an 1176 basis, but the current stop-loss at 1093.70 should be closely minded, since even moderate strength on Friday could trigger it. If so, it would give us a theoretical gain of $9300 on the position upon exit. If the rally is for real, bulls should be able to move the futures easily past1086.50 Thursday night.
Our conclusion is that we have reached huge support areas in 3 leading assets. Do not forget this rule of thumb: Investors make their biggest gains when buying at secular support levels. Given the stiff correction in gold and commodities, we do not anticipate a raging bull market as of the moment support is reached. Our view? As precious metals were the first asset to correct, we anticipate they will be the first to recover.
Will this potential double bottom hold? After the wide range bar decline, 6 bars ago, the last 5 bars have been overlapping, and the closes are almost clustering, both signs for a possible change in price direction. A rally can be expected, but surrounding circumstances dictate it may not last, as explained next.
With the dollar having recently risen to a new seven-month high, commodity prices are in retreat. The brown line in Chart 1 shows the CRB Index (of nineteen commodity markets) falling to the lowest level since August (through yesterday). That commodity selling started in mid-October just as the U.S. Dollar Index started rising. A rising dollar almost always results in lower commodity prices (and stocks tied to them). The commodity selloff has been quite broad and includes industrial and previous metals, energy prices, and agriculturals. Several of those markets are testing six-year lows.
Our Selection of Longer Term Gold Price Charts
We spend quite some time and effort analyzing the gold price, both on the short term and on the long term. The result is a wealth of information and analysis in the form of articles (analysis, market views and commentaries). Below is a selection of the 5 most valuable long term gold price analysis, containing many gold price charts:
Mind that gold is primarily a monetary metal, although it has also characteristics of commodities. So when analyzing the gold price charts, please make sure to also look at the more fundamental aspects of gold. An economic assessment, as well as an in-depth analysis of the monetary environment, are key. By doing so, one could find for instance a huge disconnect in gold being an investable commodity versus gold being a hedge against monetary, particularly after the gold price drop in 2013.