Gold Prices Today – Intraday, This Week, This Month, And Longer Term
Our Latest Gold Price News, Analysis, Commentaries
Gold prices climbed to their highest level since Sept. 10 last week, breaking above the $1,250 an ounce level. Gold’s outlook this week will depend largely on the Federal Reserve policy meeting, when the U.S. central bank is widely expected to end its bond-buying stimulus. The Fed’s two-day meeting, which begins today will also be watched for clues on whether any slowdown in Europe or elsewhere could affect the central bank’s monetary policy. On Monday, October 27, some of the biggest financial news of the year made huge waves all over Asia. Yet in the Western press, this hugely important event was barely even been mentioned.
There is a widespread misconception that only rate cuts or more QE would be bullish for gold and silver. To the contrary, if rising inflation pressures force the Fed to raise rates, that would potentially be quite bullish for gold and silver as well. Instead of fearing rate hikes, metals investors should actually look forward to the next rate-raising cycle. That’s when the biggest gains in gold and silver could come. At some point, yes, real interest rates may turn positive and precious metals prices may get overextended to the upside. But neither situation exists under current market conditions.
Gold and silver are still moving at a key juncture. Gold bulls should be able not to let prices go lower from here, at least not on a sustained basis, to avoid a break through critical support. One negative for the precious metals complex is that gold stocks have been sold off heavily during the week. On the other hand, gold is increasingly behaving as a safe haven in a world which is becoming more and more uncertain. For the week commencing October 27th, there are some key economic data coming mainly from the U.S. and European Union. There are no formal Central Bank statements expected.
It is clear that “money printing” as such does not correlate in a one-to-one way with precious metals, although it is, so far, higly correlating with stocks. During all the QE phases, stocks have been performing well, while gold has only benefited from QE1 and QE2 as those periods where associated by the market with inflation. On the other hand, QE3 provided THE ultimate “risk on” trade; because the invisible hand of the almighty central bank was there stimulate endless risk. That is when gold was literally ababonded, at least among Western investors. The interesting part is that gold is today behaving as a “risk off” trade, sort of a “safe haven” trade.
The correction in the Dollar helped gold as the Gold SPDR GLD advanced over 5% from its early October low. The first chart shows GLD breaking the August trend line and moving back above the support break. In an interesting twist, gold is ignoring weakness in the Euro today and moving higher. While I am not sure if this will last, I would mark first support at 118 and stay positive on gold as long as this level holds. All bets are off if the Dollar breaks out to the upside.
Our Selection of Longer Term Gold Price Charts
We spend quite some time and effort analyzing the gold price, both on the short term and on the long term. The result is a wealth of information and analysis in the form of articles (analysis, market views and commentaries). Below is a selection of the 5 most valuable long term gold price analysis, containing many gold price charts:
Mind that gold is primarily a monetary metal, although it has also characteristics of commodities. So when analyzing the gold price charts, please make sure to also look at the more fundamental aspects of gold. An economic assessment, as well as an in-depth analysis of the monetary environment, are key. By doing so, one could find for instance a huge disconnect in gold being an investable commodity versus gold being a hedge against monetary, particularly after the gold price drop in 2013.