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How Will the Election Impact the Bullion Market?

| August 31, 2020 | Category: Trading
How Will the Election Impact the Bullion Market?

Bullion investors took a breather when Donald Trump was elected in 2016. Demand for coins, rounds, and bars fell significantly on the day after election day and stayed down for the next 3 years. After 8 years of Barack Obama, ultra-loose fed policy and a historic run-up in the national debt, investors felt things would get better under Trump. Today, as we near the end of Trump’s first term, demand for physical precious metals has spiked. The COVID scare and the associated monetary and fiscal stimulus coupled with widespread social unrest has gold and silver bugs stocking up once again. Along with them, an entirely new wave of investors and […]

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All Is Not Well in the Gold Paper Markets

All Is Not Well in the Gold Paper Markets

London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) officials have loudly proclaimed there are plenty of gold bars in LBMA and COMEX vaults to meet surging demand from buyers. Unfortunately for them, confidence is particularly fragile these days and cracks are starting to appear. Which is why anxious officials there issued not one, but two memos last week in an attempt to reassure traders. It’s interesting the LBMA, along with the COMEX, felt a need to put out back to back statements. If inventories are plentiful, both exchanges should be busy delivering gold, on time and without delay. The best way to build confidence is simply to meet buyers’ expectations. The trouble is these expectations […]

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Physical Demand Wreaks Havoc on Futures Exchanges

| March 30, 2020 | Category: Trading
Physical Demand Wreaks Havoc on Futures Exchanges

In recent days, retail demand for physical bullion has tapered only slightly from the frenetic pace of the prior two weeks. Many of Money Metals’ major retail competitors appear to be facing big challenges obtaining enough inventory of coins, bars, and rounds and fulfilling orders timely. To be fair to the struggling dealers, buyers have vastly outnumbered the sellers for weeks, despite the big jump in premiums. By virtue of having its own in-house fulfillment operation combined with strong capitalization and sourcing, Money Metals seems to be well positioned in terms of securing stock and fulfilling orders quickly – and we have not been refusing orders from smaller customers while […]

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New Warnings on Risky “Self Storage” Gold & Silver IRAs

New Warnings on Risky “Self Storage” Gold & Silver IRAs

Bullion investors buy gold and silver as a matter of self-reliance. Physical metals aren’t dependent upon the promises of financial institutions, governments, or other third parties. This lack of counterparty risk makes precious metals quite different from most conventional assets. There is no possibility of a default or mismanagement which renders them worthless. That is a lot more than can be said of securities such as stocks and bonds. Recently a few firms promoting “self-storage” precious metals IRAs have been trying to exploit the self-reliance streak running through bullion investors in a manner that could cause significant harm. These firms offer a scheme to circumvent IRS rules which require IRA […]

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Are Gold Traders Too Complacent?

Are Gold Traders Too Complacent?

While geopolitical events continue to create market anxiety, gold prices are unlikely to surge higher according to the options market.  In fact, gold options volatility, reflected by the CBOE’s gold implied volatility index GVZ, is nearing a 7-year low, which was last hit, in mid-March.  Current levels reflect market complacency. While it appears that gold prices are sliding sideways waiting for the next impetus to drive them higher or lower, the decline in implied volatility ahead of the French and British elections in May and June respectively reflect that gold option traders believe the status quo is the likely outcome. Just as a refresher, implied volatility is the markets estimate […]

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Investing In Gold With Spread Betting

Investing In Gold With Spread Betting

Many investors turn to gold when the world economy shows signs of weakening. Gold is an asset that preserves its value and when the price of stocks, currencies, and even real estate falls, gold still retains its financial strength. Why is Gold Becoming Attractive for Investors? Data from the U.S. economy hasn’t been positive in 2016. Companies have been hit by weak earnings reports and jobs created have fallen short of expectations in recent months. China has also shown signs of slowing its growth while it’s immersing itself in more and more debt as time goes by. The euro-zone doesn’t have a healthy outlook either. Thus, investing in gold isn’t […]

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Still Waiting for a Precious Metals “Correction”? Get Off the Dime and Buy Some Silver Ones…

Still Waiting for a Precious Metals “Correction”? Get Off the Dime and Buy Some Silver Ones…

Over time, charts for a bull market tend to print higher highs and higher lows on the way to the primary top. Two steps forward, one step back, creating a visual stair-step effect. This chart “picture” has been in evidence for gold, silver, and the miners since January. So far, waiting hasn’t been a good strategy. Yes, there were a couple of times in April, and a month later in late May where you might have been able to buy and save some money. But things can get in the way of that plan. And for a number of people I’ve talked to, things apparently did. The first obstacle is […]

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COT Data For Gold At Topworthy Level

| October 31, 2015 | Category: Trading
COT Data For Gold At Topworthy Level

Last week we noted that the level of commercial net short positions was high enough to get ready for a trend change. That’s a cue to be extra attentive to indications of trend change. That trend change was brought about by the FOMC’s Oct. 28 announcement, which hinted at a probable rate hike in December 2015. How did the commercials know that was the way that the ball was going to bounce? They do seem to have that talent a lot of the time, which I suppose is how they got to be the big money.

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Silver Hedgers Hold Largest Short Positions Since 2010

| October 28, 2015 | Category: Trading
Silver Hedgers Hold Largest Short Positions Since 2010

The latest Commitments of Traders report showed an eagerness to sell the metals, in particular gold and silver. Both are at levels that coincided with peaks in the metals over the past three years. In silver, hedges now have their largest short position since 2010. As noted last week, this is a huge test for metals and silver in particular. If it can continue to rally in the face of heavy pressure from hedgers, it will be an excellent sign that the bear market is likely over.

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Two Short-Term Plays in Gold

| September 10, 2015 | Category: Trading
Two Short-Term Plays in Gold

What would it take to turn this picture short-term bullish? Answer: a pop today or tomorrow exceeding the 1126.00 high that I’ve labeled. Whatever the case, 1094.50 can be bottom-fished with a tight stop — more aggressively if you’ve been short for the ride to it.

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Ted Butler: Turning $1 Billion into $5 Billion

| August 21, 2015 | Category: Trading
Ted Butler: Turning $1 Billion into $5 Billion

Today, I will attempt to make the case for how one might go about turning one billion dollars into five billion dollars by buying silver. At first, some of my specific points might seem to be at odds with my long held argument that fully paid for positions in the actual metal at current price levels are as close to a sure thing as it gets in the investment world. But it is still my conviction that owning unencumbered and unleveraged metal is the best way to go; what’s different about this article is that it is directed to any entity that can plunk down a cool billion dollars or more in buying silver.

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Bullish Gold Trade Off to a Perfect Start

| May 28, 2015 | Category: Trading
Bullish Gold Trade Off to a Perfect Start

The 1183.40 downside target given here yesterday allowed subscribers to get long four ticks off the intraday low. Since I received reports of actual fills in the chat room, I’m establishing a tracking position: long two contracts with a cost basis of 1180.90.

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Busted Metals Traders Distract from Larger Manipulation Problem

| May 27, 2015 | Category: Trading
Busted Metals Traders Distract from Larger Manipulation Problem

There’s been a HUGE negative price bias when Western markets have been open – particularly during the hours in which the CME has been operating. Since 1975, the bias has remained consistent regardless of the price of gold or price trends. This suggests that the CFTC has allowed tremendous collusion to suppress the price of gold during the CME’s hours of operation. Conversely, precious metals prices soar in Asia when Western markets are closed.

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Ted Butler: Silver’s COT Report Turns Bullish

Ted Butler: Silver’s COT Report Turns Bullish

The big, but very welcomed surprise was that the silver short position in the managed money category grew by a sharp 5,441 contracts to 37,724 contracts despite the price close above the 50-day moving average into the Tuesday cutoff.

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