RSSCategory: Articles: Experts Talk

Zika, ZIRP, and NIRP Viruses

Zika, ZIRP, and NIRP Viruses

The Zika virus is the newest threat to humanity, especially pregnant women, so they say. Big Pharma is working feverishly to create a vaccine. Chances are the vaccine will be created, highly profitable, and Big Pharma will be “held harmless” for injuries to those who were vaccinated. Add GM mosquitoes, birth defects, Brazilian Olympics, big profits, and the story becomes a huge distraction. John Rappoport has suggested there is more to the story.   There is money to be made on vaccines and GM mosquitos, and money to be lost if sales of pesticides and other chemicals are reduced. It is clear in which direction the politics will lean. The Zika virus should remind us of other […]

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Fiscal and Monetary Madness

Fiscal and Monetary Madness

When central banks and politicians “manage” global currencies, we can expect: Exponentially increasing debt and currency devaluations Massive inflations and deflationary crashes. Transfer of wealth from the many to the few. Derivatives exceeding $1,000 Trillion and eventually a crash. A mathematically inevitable financial collapse. Monetary and fiscal madness. Booms and busts. Much higher gold and silver prices. It has happened before and it will happen again… Last Century Madness: Weimar inflation in Germany 1921-1923: The exchange rate for Marks changed from 90 Marks to the US dollar in 1921 to over 4 Trillion Marks to the US dollar in about 2 years. Argentina devalued their peso and exponentially expanded the […]

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David Morgan: Silver Supply under $16 Is Limited

David Morgan: Silver Supply under $16 Is Limited

  Serious Backlash Coming If Futures Market Breaks By Mike Gleason, Money Metals Exchange Original audio available here. Mike Gleason, Money Metals Exchange: I’m happy to welcome back our good friend David Morgan of TheMorganReport.com and author of the book The Silver Manifesto. David it’s a pleasure to talk to you as always, how are you? David Morgan, The Morgan Report: I’m doing well, thank you for having me on your show. Mike Gleason: Well to start out I’ll ask you to comment on the market action here in 2016 so far. Now, gold and silver have done quite well, we had gold advancing on weakness and concerns in the […]

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Silver – a Long-Term Perspective

Silver – a Long-Term Perspective

We all know silver is volatile. When gold rallies, silver usually rallies faster and farther, particularly after the rally has been well established. Volatility is not a reason to avoid silver. Instead, now is a time to continue stacking. Yes, silver almost certainly will correct many times, but examine the big picture. Over the past 50 years prices for stocks, silver, gold, crude oil, health care, and presidential elections have increased exponentially, mainly due to massive increases in debt (see graph below) and devaluations of currencies. Expect exponential price increases to continue. Over 50 years the Dow Jones Industrial Average has averaged about 700 times larger than the price of […]

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Can Gold Climb to $1400/oz?

Can Gold Climb to $1400/oz?

At the start of 2016, renowned fund manager and bond king Jeff Gundlach predicted Gold would surge to $1400/oz. That was quite the call considering Gold was still in a bear market. He reiterated his target a few days ago in a webcast. Gold closed the week below $1260/oz after reaching as high as $1287/oz following the ECB decision. Corrections in both Gold and gold stocks have been limited to swift declines lasting no more than two days. While we cannot predict the future, we think there is some chance that Gold could reach Gundlach’s target before a sustained correction. Below is the Gold recovery analog chart or bull analog […]

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Gold and Paper 1951 – 2016

Gold and Paper 1951 – 2016

      From Raymond Chandler in “The Long Goodbye:” “There is no trap so deadly as the trap you set for yourself.” (Think deficit spending, central banking, QE, and “printing money.”) Images that come to mind are:   Future Possibilities for dollars/euros/pounds/yen: More debt, “money printing,” central bank desperation, currency devaluations, QE, and more of the same failed policies – will produce higher gold prices. Inflationary blow-off and gold prices go astronomical in devalued currencies, as they have in many other countries in the past century. Deflationary depression, tens or hundreds of $Trillions of debt defaults that make the 1930s look like a “walk in the park” by comparison […]

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New Gold Bull Market Now Official; Breaking Point in Paper Gold?

New Gold Bull Market Now Official; Breaking Point in Paper Gold?

Gold officially entered a bull market in last week’s trading with prices gaining more than 20% from their December lows. The silver price also put on some very nice gains, but the price needs to reach about $16.40 before watchers can make the same claim. If the white metal can exceed last week’s gains of more than 5%, the silver market will reach official bull territory too. Metals investors will be following the speculation surrounding the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on March 16th. Recent rallies in stocks, commodities, and oil are raising the odds that officials just might hike rates once again. Their problem is that the […]

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Gold Stocks Reverse at Resistance Targets

Gold Stocks Reverse at Resistance Targets

Two weeks ago, regarding the miners we wrote: If it (GDXJ) surpasses its 80-week moving average then its next target is $27-$28. Meanwhile, GDX is holding above previous resistance at $18. Its next strong resistance targets are $21 and $22. Earlier today GDX and GDXJ came within pennies of $21 and $29 respectively while Gold touched $1280 before reversing. While Gold and gold stocks could continue a bit higher, their rebound may have ended Friday morning. A weekly candle chart of GDXJ and GDX is below. The miners over the past six weeks have formed six white candles and taken out their 80-week moving averages, which contained the strongest rallies […]

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Zika, ZIRP, and NIRP Viruses

Zika, ZIRP, and NIRP Viruses

The Zika virus is the newest threat to humanity, especially pregnant women, so they say. Big Pharma is working feverishly to create a vaccine. Chances are the vaccine will be created, highly profitable, and Big Pharma will be “held harmless” for injuries to those who were vaccinated. Add GM mosquitos, birth defects, Brazilian Olympics, big profits, and the story becomes a huge distraction. John Rappoport has suggested there is more to the story. There is money to be made on vaccines and GM mosquitos, and money to be lost if sales of pesticides and other chemicals are reduced. It is clear in which direction the politics will lean. The Zika […]

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Keep the Money Game Churning!

Keep the Money Game Churning!

There is money to be made so the game must be played… It’s always “ShowTime” in the financial markets. What is the game plan? Levitate the bond market. See chart below. Keep those interest rates dropping so the bond market continues its 35 year climb. Oops – $7 Trillion in bonds with negative interest rates, at last count, with more from Japan this week. Have we reached a limit? Probably not, but what could go wrong lending money to insolvent governments who guarantee they will return less than they borrowed in 10 years? Currencies must retain some purchasing power. No Argentina or Zimbabwe devaluations will be allowed. When the dollars/euros/yen/pounds […]

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US Dollar Rebound Increases Near-Term Risk

US Dollar Rebound Increases Near-Term Risk

Last week we noted that the odds favored more upside in precious metals before a larger correction would begin. While that view remains on track, we want to note the renewed strength in the US Dollar which could provide immediate resistance to higher levels in Gold and gold stocks. The chart below plots the weekly candles for the US$ index and the net speculative position in the US$ index. The US$ index closed back above its 200-day moving average (97) and remains well above its 400-day (or 80-week moving average). The larger consolidation appears to be an ascending triangle which is a bullish continuation pattern. Upon breakout through 100, the […]

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Future Gold Prices

Future Gold Prices

The internet is filled with predictions for the price of gold, from $500 to $50,000 per ounce. It depends on your world view. If you are a central banker or a powerful financial player which often supplies loyal employees to serve as Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, the low gold numbers look good. Or, if you understand the incredible $200+ Trillion of debt the world has accumulated and realize it can’t be repaid, then gold at $10,000 probably looks inevitable. Crashes occur and sovereign debt markets look like paper bubbles with disastrous potential to send gold much higher. A better approach to estimating future gold prices, in my opinion, is […]

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Silver Buy Signal – 2016

Silver Buy Signal – 2016

The gold to silver ratio has been used for years to indicate buy and sell zones in both gold and silver. Why? At BOTTOMS in both gold and silver, based on 40 years of history, silver prices have fallen farther and faster than gold. Hence the gold/silver ratio reaches a relative high. At tops in both gold and silver the ratio is often low since silver rises more rapidly than gold. As Jim Sinclair says, “silver is gold on steroids.” Examine the following graph of the gold to silver ratio (monthly data) for the past 40 years. I have circled the six most extreme highs in the ratio with green […]

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When Will Gold and Gold Stocks Correct?

When Will Gold and Gold Stocks Correct?

by Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT Wednesday evening we raised a question in a subscriber update. We wrote: The current question for Gold and gold stocks is if they will push to higher targets before or a correction or if a correction has already started. We should know the answer in the next day or two. The gold stocks exploded higher on Thursday. GDX gained 6% while GDXJ surged 7.4%. Meanwhile, Gold solidified its support at $1200/oz. Markets that become overbought within strong trends can become extremely overbought before they correct. Recent price action in the precious metals complex argues that the path of least resistance in the short term continues to […]

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