RSSCategory: Articles: Experts Talk

Why the Federal Reserve Always “Happens” to Be Wrong

| February 12, 2016 | Articles: Experts Talk
Why the Federal Reserve Always “Happens” to Be Wrong

“The last duty of a central banker is to tell the public the truth.” – Alan Blinder, former Federal Reserve Board Vice Chairman The Federal Reserve Board finds itself back in a quandary of its own making. When Fed chair Janet Yellen pushed through an interest rate hike this past December, she confidently cited an “economy performing well and expected to continue to do so.” The Fed set the stage for more rate hikes in 2016. But something went awry along the way – namely, the Fed’s upbeat forecast. Official pronouncements of optimism don’t square with the economic realities now unfolding. Since the Fed’s rate hike, warning signs of a […]

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Q&A with Mr. Silver Market

Q&A with Mr. Silver Market

Q: Most people do not value silver and prefer to invest in bonds from big governments. Why? A: Most people would prefer to follow the herd because following the herd is comforting and often correct. Occasionally it is disastrous. I suspect the next few years will see the herd slaughtered. (Bubbles always pop and bonds are in a bubble.) *** Q: Silver has gone down for almost five years. Will it continue to drop? A: Probably not, but if you are stacking for the long term, you care little! Silver was valuable and minted into coins 2,000 years ago in the Roman era. It will remain valuable 1,000 years from […]

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Silver, Gold, the Argentina Peso & Exponentially Increasing Prices

Silver, Gold, the Argentina Peso & Exponentially Increasing Prices

The exchange rate between the Argentina Peso and the US dollar in January 1945 was 4.17 pesos to one dollar. Like the United States, Argentina created substantial price inflation – devaluation of their currency – in the 1950s – 1990s. According to Wikipedia Argentina devalued their currency by a factor of 100 in 1970, by another 10,000 in 1983, by another 1,000 in 1985, and by another 10,000 in 1992. From Alan Greenspan in 1966: “In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation.” In summary the 1945 peso was devalued by 10 trillion to one between 1945 and 2015. Imagine […]

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Top Silver Mining CEO: Don’t Laugh, We Could See $100+ Silver

| February 9, 2016 | Articles: Experts Talk
Top Silver Mining CEO: Don’t Laugh, We Could See $100+ Silver

Exclusive Interview with First Majestic CEO Keith Neumeyer on Metals, Mining, and Manipulation Mike Gleason, MoneyMetals.com: It is my privilege, now, to be joined by Keith Neumeyer, founder and CEO of First Majestic Silver Corp. One of the top Silver mining companies in the world. Keith has an extensive background in the resource and finance sectors, and has been an outspoken voice about concerns that there is some level of price suppression going on in the silver futures market. It’s a real privilege to have him on with us today. Keith, thank you so much for joining us, and welcome. Keith Neumeyer, First Majestic: Well thanks, Mike, I appreciate your […]

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Something Has Changed in Gold Stocks

| February 9, 2016 | Articles: Experts Talk
Something Has Changed in Gold Stocks

In our missive last week we noted that: While good things are happening under the surface for Gold, its lack of a strong rebound in recent months argues that such a rebound is in the future but not imminent. Gold’s steady downtrend could resume in the next week or two. As we know, the precious metals complex enjoyed another very strong week. Gains in the metals were somewhat muted in comparison to the gains in the miners. GDX and GDXJ surged nearly 16% and 11% respectively. Last week we said nothing has changed. This week figures to be the week something did change and definitely so for the miners. The […]

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Gold, Gold Stocks, and the End Game

Gold, Gold Stocks, and the End Game

We have seen the bottom in the gold market and gold stocks. Evidence: 1. Examine the 30+ year chart of the monthly XAU (gold stock Index) to Gold ratio. You can see that the downtrend in the ratio has lasted about 20 years – since 1996. The ratio is now at all-time lows in the form of a contracting triangle. The triangle appears broken to the upside. 2. In the last 20 years gold has moved upward from under $300 to $1,100 per ounce yet the XAU index has not kept pace, as shown by the ratio dropping from about 0.35 down to 0.03. 3. Gold hit a multi-year low […]

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The Dethroning of Cash: Discouraged, Penalized, Even Banned?

| February 4, 2016 | Articles: Experts Talk
The Dethroning of Cash: Discouraged, Penalized, Even Banned?

Stock market gyrations and deteriorating global economic conditions in the early goings of 2016 sent investors fleeing for safety. Or at least what is commonly thought to be safety. Many in the financial media are now trotting out the bromide that “cash is king.” A sampling of recent headlines illustrates how pervasive the thinking is: “Cash Is King as China Sparks Market Turmoil” (MarketWatch, January 20, 2016) “Cash Is King in Times Like These” (Toronto Star, January 15, 2016) “Cash Is King as Europe Adapts to Negative Interest Rates” (Bloomberg, January 26, 2016) “Cash Is King as Disunity Reigns Within G20” (Barron’s, February 1, 2016) But how can cash be […]

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Bizarre Gold & Silver Movements Occurring Behind-the-Scenes…

| February 4, 2016 | Articles: Experts Talk
Bizarre Gold & Silver Movements Occurring Behind-the-Scenes…

Keeping an Eye on Bullion Supply and Demand A lot is riding on the demand side of the equation when it comes to metals’ price performance this year. Demand is the bigger wildcard with signals thus far being mixed in gold and silver bullion markets. The outlook for supply is more certain, and it isn’t pretty. Endeavor Silver, one of the largest primary silver mining companies, announced last week that it expects to reduce production of the white metal by roughly 30%. The company’s El Cubo mine is not profitable despite efforts to reduce costs. Endeavor plans to halt development and exploration at the mine and process accessible ore only. […]

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WMD – Weapons of Mass Destruction

WMD – Weapons of Mass Destruction

“WMD” also is “Wasteful Monetary Devastation.” WASTEFUL: We all know that governments spend money in wasteful ways and compensate with higher taxes, deficits, huge debt, “printed currencies” and inflation. “Bridges to nowhere,” various wars, and “giveaways” benefit a few at the expense of many. MONETARY: Printing and digitally creating many trillions of dollars, euros, yen, or pounds may temporarily bail out banks and governments but in the big picture they destroy capital and weaken the economies of the nations which are deluding themselves. DEVASTATION: Overwhelm governments, corporations, and individuals with debt, cut interest rates, devastate pension returns, punish savers, trash economies, blow more unsustainable bubbles, drink another bottle of delusion, […]

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Steve Forbes Speaks Out on the Presidential Race, Fed Recklessness, and Gold

| January 29, 2016 | Articles: Experts Talk
Steve Forbes Speaks Out on the Presidential Race, Fed Recklessness, and Gold

Forbes Pulls No Punches in Exclusive Interview with Money Metals Exchange Mike Gleason, Director, Money Metals Exchange: It is my great privilege to welcome Steve Forbes, Editor-in-Chief of Forbes Magazine, CEO of Forbes, Inc. to our Money Metals Exchange podcast. Steve is also author of many fabulous books, including Flat Tax Revolution, How Capitalism Will Save Us, and his latest work, Reviving America: How Repealing Obamacare, Replacing the Tax Code and Reforming the Fed Will Restore Hope and Prosperity. He’s also a two-time Presidential candidate, having run in the Republican primaries in both 1996 and 2000. It’s a tremendous honor to have him with us today. Mr. Forbes, thank you […]

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Crude Oil Bottoms and Blues

Crude Oil Bottoms and Blues

Crude oil prices have dropped from about $106 in June of 2014 to briefly under $30 in January of 2016 – down about 74% peak to trough. This appears to be an on-going disaster for oil companies, the banks who loaned money to frackers, oil exporting countries, global stock markets and others. Conventional wisdom suggests that crude oil prices will stay low for a long time because of low demand (global recession), huge supply (Iran, fracking, etc.), decline in commodity prices globally, and at least ten more reasons. Maybe! But crude oil prices have crashed before and then rallied. Examine the following chart and the 4 step sequences shown. Note […]

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There’s Something Worse than Having a “Losing Position”

| January 27, 2016 | Articles: Experts Talk
There’s Something Worse than Having a “Losing Position”

There’s something worse than giving up at the bottom… There’s something worse than watching prices fall as you continue to add on the way down… It’s giving up “three feet from gold,” when if you had just stuck it out a bit longer, things might have turned your way. This tendency is part and parcel of human nature, and its effect is not to be underestimated. Way back in 1938, Napoleon Hill wrote about it in the classic book, Think and Grow Rich. Consider what his research uncovered. Said he: More than five hundred of the most successful men the country has ever known, told the author (Napoleon Hill) that […]

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Gold Could Lose Safe-Haven Bid as Equities Rebound

| January 26, 2016 | Articles: Experts Talk
Gold Could Lose Safe-Haven Bid as Equities Rebound

Gold and Silver have held up well during the recent selloff in equities. From December 28 through Wednesday the broad NYSE lost 10.4% while the S&P 500 lost 9.6%. Precious Metals gained strength during that period. Gold advanced 3.0% while Silver gained 1.7%. Gold relative to the NYSE broke its downtrend and touched an 11-month high. Gold relative to global equities (excluding the US market) reached a 2-year high. Precious metals have clearly benefitted from the equity selloff but therefore figure to lose strength as the equity market begins a relief rally. Equities have become very oversold and are forming a bullish reversal. The weekly candle chart of the S&P […]

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Central Bank Created Silver Rally

Central Bank Created Silver Rally

Central banks have created a mess, unless you enjoy unemployment, crashing economies, a wave of bankruptcies, and half of the world’s assets owned by only a few people. From Chris Martinson: The Deflation Monster Has Arrived “Most of the bad decisions that will haunt our future were made by the Federal Reserve in its ridiculous attempts to sustain the unsustainable.” “… looking at the next few years, we will experience this as a time of unprecedented financial market turmoil, political upheaval and social unrest. The losses will be staggering. Markets are going to crash, wealth will be transferred from the unwary to the well-connected, and life for most people will […]

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