RSSCategory: Category: Economy

Trump’s Backdoor Power Play to Rein In the Fed

| September 19, 2018 | Category: Economy
Trump’s Backdoor Power Play to Rein In the Fed

“Just run the presses – print money.” That’s what President Donald Trump supposedly instructed his former chief economic adviser Gary Cohn to do in response to the budget deficit. The quote appears in Bob Woodward’s controversial book Fear: Trump in the White House. Trump disputes many of the anecdotes Woodward assembled. But regardless of whether the President used those exact words, they do reflect an “easy money” philosophy that he has expressed many times before. Trump Likes Low Rates, Loose Money President Trump has described himself as a “low interest rate person.” This past summer, Trump launched a very public attack on the Federal Reserve’s rate hiking campaign. He wants it […]

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Growing job market in the U.S.

Before we dive in let’s first understand the basics. Now, what is the job market? Well in simple terms, the job market is the market in which employers search for employees and employees search for jobs. The job market is also directly related to unemployment. The higher the unemployment rate, the greater the supply of labor in the overall job market. When employers have a larger pool of applicants to choose from, they can be pickier or force down wages. As the unemployment rate drops employers are forced to compete more heavily for available workers, which has the effect of increasing wages. During the past months, we have seen a […]

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Inflation and its Effects on Cash Holdings and Investments

Inflation is a sustained rise in overall prices. A moderate rise in inflation means economic growth while high inflation results in an overheated economy. There are certain factors that affect inflation and a couple of theories that are tied to it. So before we proceed it’s very important to know some of the standing factors that influence inflation and how it affects cash holdings and investment. Inflation can be caused by a number of factors, rising commodities, high-interest rates… etc. Here are some principles and theories you need to know before we continue.  Fraction- Reserve Banking The world currently uses this type of banking system. When someone deposits $1000 in […]

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Gerald Celente Exclusive: “If rates go up too high, the economy goes down, end of story”

| March 12, 2018 | Category: Economy
Gerald Celente Exclusive: “If rates go up too high, the economy goes down, end of story”

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is perhaps the most well-known trends forecaster in the world and it’s always great to have him on with us. Mr. Celente, thanks again for the time today and welcome back. Gerald Celente: Oh, it’s always great being on. Thank you. Mike Gleason: Well, Gerald, it’s never a dull moment in Washington, D.C., these days. President Trump always keeps it lively. We have the never-ending Russia controversy, of course, the war of words with North Korea, and the intervention […]

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5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

| February 22, 2018 | Category: Economy
5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead

Investors got lulled into a state of inflation complacency. Persistently low official inflation rates in recent years depressed bond yields along with risk premiums on all financial assets. That’s changing in 2018. Five drivers of higher inflation rates are now starting to kick in. Inflation Driver #1: Rising CPI The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a notoriously flawed measure of inflation. It tends to understate real-world price increases. Nevertheless, CPI is the most widely followed measure of inflation. When it moves up, so do inflation expectations by investors. On February 13th, the Labor Department released stronger than expected CPI numbers. Prices rose a robust 0.5% in January, with headline CPI […]

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Sleeper Issues Poised to Rattle Markets

| August 22, 2017 | Category: Economy
Sleeper Issues Poised to Rattle Markets

Investors have been well-trained in complacency. They have spent the past few years watching markets shrug off momentous geopolitical events – each more quickly than the last. Brexit’s impact faded within days. Trump’s election faded within hours. Stocks traded at all-time highs this summer and volatility made all-time lows. That is the set-up as we head into the fall… Almost nobody seems nervous. In this age of central planning and highly artificial markets, it is hard to tell when this period of strange market serenity will end. But vigilant investors should have a few ideas. The next few months are going to challenge the status quo. President Trump Is Under […]

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Gerald Celente on Markets: “When Interest Rates Go Up, This Thing Goes Down”

| August 15, 2017 | Category: Economy
Gerald Celente on Markets: “When Interest Rates Go Up, This Thing Goes Down”

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason (Money Metals Exchange): It is my privilege now to welcome in Gerald Celente, publisher of the renowned Trends Journal. Mr. Celente is a well-known trends forecaster and highly sought-after guest on news programs throughout the world and has been forecasting some of the biggest and most important trends before they happen for more than 30 years now. It’s always great to have him on with us. Mr. Celente, thanks so much for the time today, and we appreciate you joining us. Gerald Celente (Trends Journal): Thanks for having me on, Mr. Gleason. Mike Gleason: Well, I want […]

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Raising the Debt Ceiling Means Jacking Up Future Inflation

| August 2, 2017 | Category: Economy
Raising the Debt Ceiling Means Jacking Up Future Inflation

The dramatic failure of the U.S. Senate’s last-ditch Obamacare repeal effort leaves Republicans so far without a major legislative win since Donald Trump took office. No healthcare reform. No tax reform. No monetary reform. No budgetary reform. The more things change in Washington… the more they stay the same. Despite an unconventional outsider in the White House, it’s business as usual for entrenched incumbents of both parties. The next major order of business for the bipartisan establishment is to raise the debt ceiling above $20 trillion. Since March, the Treasury Department has been relying on “extraordinary measures” to pay the government’s bills without breaching the statutory debt limit. By October, […]

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Preparing to Barter and Trade Is NOT a Loony Idea

Preparing to Barter and Trade Is NOT a Loony Idea

Let’s start with this fact; fiat (paper) currencies die – often spectacularly. That is why precious metals may someday be needed for barter and trade. Anyone who thinks it is silly to worry about such a thing is putting blind faith in Federal Reserve Notes. The U.S. dollar is having a great run, no question. It will soon be 50 years since Nixon closed the gold window, thereby converting the dollar to a purely fiat currency. Five decades is longer than most purely fiat currencies survive. Humans carry a normalcy bias. That helps explain why so many assume the unbacked Federal Reserve Note, which has served so long as our […]

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A Weaker US Economy Could Result in Strong Gold Rally

A Weaker US Economy Could Result in Strong Gold Rally

Article provided by our friends at Hard Assets Alliance. By John Grandits – July 28, 2017 One possible effect of the “America First” approach the Trump Administration vowed to take was a weaker US dollar. Shortly after we wrote about this earlier this year, the dollar index began a steady march lower, retreating 7% in just five months, from 102 in March to its current level of 95. Not surprisingly, gold has risen almost 10% in US dollar terms during this time. As recently as six months ago, many investors expected the dollar to continue its rally of the past few years based on stronger economic growth, via Trump’s agenda […]

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GOP Leadership Betrays Trump Voters on Obamacare & Debt

GOP Leadership Betrays Trump Voters on Obamacare & Debt

The single-digit approval rating of Congress means precious few people still expect much from the politicians running Washington DC. Expectations should now ratchet even lower as representatives once again demonstrate just how far their words are from their deeds. We’ll start with healthcare. The U.S. Senate failed in yet another effort to repeal and replace Obamacare. The prospects for reform any time soon are approaching zero. Voters opposed to the skyrocketing premiums, the ballooning federal expenditures and the huge expansion in government control associated with the Affordable Care Act are bewildered. The program is an obvious train wreck. Republicans in Congress spent years telling everyone willing to listen that repeal […]

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Fed Officials Say More Hikes Are on The Way, Markets Disagree

Fed Officials Say More Hikes Are on The Way, Markets Disagree

Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen says she is planning more hikes in the Fed funds rate, but you wouldn’t know it by watching the markets. So far, the response in foreign exchange, bonds, and equities isn’t what people expected. Markets have always been notorious for behaving unpredictably. But in an age when central bankers micromanage virtually all markets, the behavior could be the result of careful planning. Maybe the recent market action was only unpredictable for those of us outside of the FOMC conference room. Officials hiked rates in December, March, and June. Despite that the U.S. dollar has fallen to its lowest levels in more than a year. The […]

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Michael Pento Warns of Exploding Debt, Inverted Yield Curve, and Then “Economic Armageddon”

Michael Pento Warns of Exploding Debt, Inverted Yield Curve, and Then “Economic Armageddon”

Your browser does not support the podcast player element. DOWNLOAD MP3 Mike Gleason: Michael, how are you today? Welcome back. Michael Pento:  I’m doing fine, Mike. Thanks for having me back. Mike Gleason:  When we had you on last you commented that you believed the market was pricing in President Trump getting virtually all of his policy agenda pushed through Congress, the tax cuts, repealing Obamacare, and so forth. To say Trump has encountered some resistance in Washington would be a major understatement. The establishment of the right doesn’t seem to like him. The left and the mainstream media of course hate him. So, Michael before we get into the […]

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Capital Controls May Be Coming to the US

Those who hoped President Trump would tone down his protectionist rhetoric will be unnerved six weeks into his tenure. From his meeting with business CEOs, Trump has put trade “front and center.” So far, all is going well for the president. Markets are inching higher, and inflationary forces have picked up. However, bringing back jobs and reducing the trade deficit will be a tougher task. (although jobs have set historic gains already) A Victim of His Own Success  Trump’s election unleashed the “animal spirits” that have been absent post-financial crisis. On the surface, this is good for the economy. The US is currently the only major country raising interest rates and enjoying […]

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