Fed Chair Janet Yellen is scheduled to hold a press conference at EST 2:30 PM on Thursday to elaborate on the economic outlook and policy statement.
The Federal Reserve will inaugurate the Trump era this week with a near-certain interest rate increase and new economic forecasts providing a first glimpse into whether the U.S. election has reshaped the central bank’s growth and inflation outlook. Fed officials have long hoped that other government policies would take the place of monetary engineering, which some believe may have lost its effectiveness in lifting economic growth. They have warned in recent weeks that any new government spending should specifically be designed to boost productivity in an economy that is already near full employment and facing a high public debt burden. As possible rate hike is already on card we see […]
By Olivier Garret Gold prices have dropped from $1,340 an ounce in September to as low as $1,250 late last week. This is largely due to forecasts of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve. But the sharp drop in gold began to reverse on Monday. The price rose by more than $25 in just three trading days. Most gold analysts say the main reason for the bounce is reaction to comments made by Yellen last Friday. Judging from what Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last week, gold is likely to move up no matter what the US economy does. Fed Chair Yellen highlights plans for “high-pressure economy” In […]
October could see a ramping up of volatility across all asset markets. The month is notorious on Wall Street for the 1987 stock market crash. Fall crashes also occurred in 2002 and 2008. Are we due for another one? Perhaps. Some analysts think it will come after the election. Others think the stock market will stay elevated until the Federal Reserve raises rates. The Fed will be out of the picture this month – at least as far as policy decisions are concerned. The Fed won’t convene another policy meeting until November 1-2. Most Fed watchers expect the central bank to avoid making any rate moves so close to the […]
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The Zika virus is the newest threat to humanity, especially pregnant women, so they say. Big Pharma is working feverishly to create a vaccine. Chances are the vaccine will be created, highly profitable, and Big Pharma will be “held harmless” for injuries to those who were vaccinated. Add GM mosquitoes, birth defects, Brazilian Olympics, big profits, and the story becomes a huge distraction. John Rappoport has suggested there is more to the story. There is money to be made on vaccines and GM mosquitos, and money to be lost if sales of pesticides and other chemicals are reduced. It is clear in which direction the politics will lean. The Zika virus should remind us of other […]
The Fed’s next move will be towards ease because of the weakness in the US economy. However, it would not happen right away, I expect it in the first quarter of 2016, so perhaps in March or April of 2016 I think the Fed will give some kind of easing. What happened in the last 30 days is exactly what we were expecting, but I think it’s come as a shock to them, because their forecasting models are different. And so they’re beginning to wake up to the fact that we’re going to a global depression and growth depression. But now the Fed is waking up to that, they don’t do anything quickly, it’s going to take a few months to digest all of this, they’re going to hope that things bounce back, but I don’t think that they will. Finally, I expect them by maybe the end of the first quarter of 2016 to ease.
Debt overwhelms most people in debt based fiat currency economies. Credit cards, auto loans, student loans, mortgages, and more … Debt overwhelms most governments in debt based fiat currency economies. They are in debt because governments spend more than their revenues, which is a truly simple concept. However, don’t expect fiscal sanity to return anytime soon.
The Treasury Department declared a debt ceiling deadline of November 3rd. Outgoing House Speaker John Boehner will try to push through a debt increase before his scheduled departure on Friday (when he’ll likely hand over the gavel to Paul Ryan). If Congress can’t come to an agreement this week, markets could get rattled on the looming possibility of a U.S. default.
Assuming the debt ceiling is eventually raised, the move will make the coming debt reckoning that much bigger. Officially, the national debt now comes in at $18.1 trillion – about equal to the nation’s total economic output for a year. Adding in all projected unfunded liabilities brings the total to about $210 trillion, as calculated by economist Lawrence Kotlikoff.
It occurs to us that we are all in the midst of the New World Order going about business as usual, creating Problems, and the bigger the better, then watching reactions of the masses, even governments. The worse possible the problems, the more horrifying the Reactions the better. For waiting in the wings is their planned Solution, all leading toward global takeover under a one world rule, like the UN.
For centuries, people living in Western Civilization have been accumulating capital. They have not simply subsisted, and left the world the same as when they entered it. They have been creating more than they consume, passing on new wealth to their children. The Fed’s falling interest rate has slammed this process into reverse. It has put the entire economy into liquidation mode. It has forced people to consume their capital.
The inflation camp shares the conviction with deflationists that there is too much debt in the system. But they differ on the outcome. Harry Dent and those in his deflation camp figure that central banks and governments will ultimately be powerless to stop default. They think the purchasing power of the dollar will rise against everything else, including gold. We expect default to occur primarily through inflation, with debts stealthily repudiated through repayment in less valuable dollars.
Ron Paul says people seeking to advance peace can learn much from looking to Switzerland. Paul states in an interview that he likes Switzerland’s “very successful national defense,” and adds “there is no reason that we can’t use that as a starting point.”