Author Archive: Zentrader

Zentrader started out in July 08′ as a way for me to share my nightly research, provide trade ideas, and keep a trading journal that kept me accountable and systematic in my trading. This experience has been good to me as I have built invaluable long-standing relationships. It’s also been therapeutic for me by helping me organize my thoughts, and I’m finding the longer I trade the markets, the more ways I need to detach myself emotionally and relax my mind as the internet’s ability to deliver endless information can be a blessing and a curse to a trader. I believe that to have longevity with investing, one must find ways to calm the mind and trade from a detached point of view. -- Jeff Pierce

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Black Gold Poised To Shine

| November 17, 2013 | Category: Technicals
Black Gold Poised To Shine

On the other hand, if Gold moves higher next week, Gold bugs should be fearful. With Gold at 25 days from the last DCL, a move higher through the 10dma ($1,294) and the declining trend-line will confirm that a new Daily Cycle is in play. On the surface, a new DCL is bullish, and many investors will interpret and trade it as such. But a new Daily Cycle will likely be the 5th in the current Investor Cycle, so should fail and lead to significant low.

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August Could Bring Further Losses For Gold

| July 14, 2013 | Category: Price
August Could Bring Further Losses For Gold

The bearish performance to date likely indicates that once the Cycle ages that it could quickly turn down sold aggressively. This might well coincide with the dollar coming out of its own DCL late next week. Up until then though, gold still has a chance to prove me wrong. I believe even in the bearish case that gold should have enough steam to get it to $1,300. But now is its only chance to shine. If the gains cannot come quickly from this setup, then I’m afraid gold is setting up for yet another big fall.

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Gold Has A New Daily Up Cycle In Place

| July 3, 2013 | Category: Price
Gold Has A New Daily Up Cycle In Place

Friday’s powerful reversal has me convinced that a new Daily Cycle is born. Based on the depths of this DCL it’s only natural to expect a decent (at least counter-trend) rally back up to the declining trend-line. But that’s about the extent of the “high probability” trade that I’m willing to predict. We can’t argue with the fact that this bear market remains in effect until proven otherwise, and therefore a rejection at that declining trend-line ($1,330 area) is a very reasonable expectation.

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Hedge Funds Are Heavy Short Gold

| June 3, 2013 | Category: Price
Hedge Funds Are Heavy Short Gold

I mentioned in Thursday’s trade alert that we could expect a back-testing sell-off from that breakout, and that would be normal. But I did not expect to see anything more than a retest of the breakout line around $1,394. I certainly did not see a move all the way back into the ascending triangle. So this week will be an important week for gold because if this is a Left Translated Cycle, then Friday morning would certainly have marked the top of this Daily Cycle.

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The Strength In The Dollar Is Hard To Ignore

| May 21, 2013 | Articles: General
The Strength In The Dollar Is Hard To Ignore

If this does end up being the start of a new Investor Cycle, then we won’t know for sure until the next Daily Cycle. The next dollar Daily Cycle should top very early and form Left Translated. If however it goes on to make new IC highs then it will almost certainly be the 2nd Daily Cycle of a young Investor Cycle. If this occurs, then gold will also form Left Translated and drop again, likely making yet another deeper low in June.

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Gold Sector Remains In Dog House

Gold Sector Remains In Dog House

The good news is that with the culmination of this Daily Cycle we should be starting a new Investor and Yearly Cycle and it should be good for at least a $200-$300 move. Even if the bear market still has a hold on gold, we should expect violent counter-trend rallies. We know there is no way of knowing whether this will end up being the start of a major new bull trend. But in the least, this is shaping up to be a powerful and bullish setup.

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Silver Sentiment Reaches Extreme Levels

Silver Sentiment Reaches Extreme Levels

Silver this week also finally shows that sentiment has also finally fallen to bull market lows. We know that when sentiment reaches these levels of extremes (see Green lines on below chart), that it has always marked a significant low. As Silver has retraced back to its 2 year support area (low $26 area), sentiment has dropped even further this time compared to past lows.

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Financial Astrology: The Numbers and The Markets

| April 1, 2013 | Articles: General
Financial Astrology: The Numbers and The Markets

Last year my long term projection was for the markets to continue higher along with the dollar. The dollar has continued higher while the Dow and now the S&P have made new all time highs. This trend could continue throughout the year and we could see the dollar continue to gain strength.

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Gold Looks To Have Found A Floor

Gold Looks To Have Found A Floor

Gold’s Daily Cycle is offering up very few clues as to its short term intentions. The Cycle remains Left Translated, and that typically is a bearish omen for any Cycle. The fact that it will not sell-off is very positive, it suggests that gold has found a floor that is going to be defended.

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An Uninspiring Gold Chart

An Uninspiring Gold Chart

For now, I want to see a move and close above $1,587, this is the March 1st high and it would represent a Swing Low covering the most recent period. From that point, the next step should be a fairly quick take-out of the $1,620 mark and new DC highs. Taking out $1,620 from this point would be a very positive development.

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Gold Cycle Analysis On February 15th Gold Price Drop

| February 17, 2013 | Articles: Gold Silver Prices
Gold Cycle Analysis On February 15th Gold Price Drop

Friday was a sustained and consistent sell-off on high volume which did not end in a bullish buying reversal. It also took gold outside of a well-developed trading range where there is little support. For these reasons I fear that the selling is likely not over.

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How The Job Market & The Fed Affect Gold Prices

How The Job Market & The Fed Affect Gold Prices

In order to bring unemployment down to the 6.5% level, the economy will need to add nearly 5 million jobs. For those who fear an end to this great gold bull market, please put this into perspective. Understand that the powers to be will not or cannot tell the public what is really occurring. By increasing the amount of fiat money supply, you reduce the burden of debt as you devalue its worth and raise the “nominal” price of all assets.

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Gold & Silver Cycle Charts Look Constructive

Gold & Silver Cycle Charts Look Constructive

Although no price appreciation since writing the weekend report, the Gold Cycle nevertheless is constructive. We’ve seen a 14 day streak that has quietly and patiently added 4.3% since the last Cycle Low. The fact that gold has generally ascended for 14 days has almost ensured that our Cycle phasing as a first Daily Cycle is correct. This is important; the first step is to understand which Cycle we are in.

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Gold & Silver Miners Set To Begin Bullish Trend

Gold & Silver Miners Set To Begin Bullish Trend

The move on January 2nd and 3rd may have been intended to drop the gold price below $1600–that did not happen. In my view going forward this is positive for gold, however, Saturn is moving slow and will retrograde in February which could continue to hinder the metal. Gold may have a more bullish move setting up toward the end of March. Pluto at 10 degrees Capricorn is positive for mining, so even if gold may seem stuck the miners may start to look bullish. This is an exclusive excerpt from the latest Astrology Traders newsletter.

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