Author Archive: Dan Norcini

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What is Euro Gold telling us?

What is Euro Gold telling us?

Gold priced in terms of the Euro continues to be most impressive on the chart as it creeps ever closer to its all time high. This move upwards is a visual telegraph that there remains deep-seated concerns over the European sovereign debt situation, especially on the Continent itself, in spite of the recent euphoria over “free money” for the next two years. While the Fed has given the markets, and in particular, the wild-eyed hedge fund community, the green light to buy “risk assets”, there is an underlying current of palpable worry which remains in our global markets. Short-term oriented players are betting that they are faster than the next guy […]

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Gold firm in spite of Stronger Dollar

Gold is coming under a bit of selling pressure in New York after opening higher in Asia alongside of silver last evening. Both markets then saw selling originating in the form of both profit taking and new short positions (from top pickers) after traders’ attentions turned back to the sovereign debt woes in Euroland, particularly Greece. Also there was a bit of news that China was not going to be in a hurry to loosen the monetary strings as quickly as some were anticipating. Either way, it led to a reversal of the recent risk trades in favor of the safe havens once again with the bonds getting a strong […]

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Money Flowing back into Commodities

Money Flowing back into Commodities

Note the CCI chart and the nearly vertical lift over the last week. Money is pouring back into RISK ASSETS as the Dollar heads lower and the Fed keeps interest rates so low that money is free. This is the perfect environment for the wild-eyed speculator, especially the hedge fund types, who ADORE LEVERAGE and will shove as much money as they can wrap their fingers around into the commodity sector in anticipation of inflationary price rises. By the way, just take one look at the following chart of unleaded gasoline if you have the stomach for it. Every time you head to the gasoline pump and fill up, you […]

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Some notes about HUI gold stocks index

Some notes about HUI gold stocks index

We are seeing a definite reversal in the price action of the gold miners in comparison to the action in the broader equity markets in today’s session. I am not sure of the reason but whatever it is, the result is that the mining shares are finally seeing a strong bid in comparison to the broader equity markets.As most gold mining shareholders have been all too painfully aware of by now, the mining shares have been lagging the broader market for the last 6 months or so now. Notice the peak last summer and the progression lower, particularly at the end of last year.Trying to decipher at what level the analysts have pencilled in the […]

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Gold regains half of its losses from the record peak price

Gold regains half of its losses from the record peak price

Technicians make a big deal out of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level due to the psychological implications of that level in the minds of traders, both bulls and bears. Generally speaking,  those who have been on the wrong side of a trade and who have very deep pockets, will oftentimes allow the market to continuing moving against them while they wait for the inevitable price retracement, either higher or lower depending on which side of the market that they are on. Once they regain half of their losses, they will oftentimes then finally get out of the losing trade and move to the sidelines to access their next move. That means […]

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Euro Gold right at Resistance level

Euro Gold right at Resistance level

Take a look at the following chart of gold priced in Euros, or “Euro-Gold” as I prefer to term it. I have mentioned here and on some of my KWN Weekly Metals Wrap that this chart is one that all gold traders must continue to reference if they are to get a proper handle on the technical aspects of this market. The reason for this is that the issue most shaking the gold market during the “risk off” trades was the mess in the sovereign debt situation of many countries in the Euro-Zone. Fears over that factor were seeing European-based buying of gold as doubts over the integrity of the […]

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HUI gold stocks index higher but showing signs of selling pressure

HUI gold stocks index higher but showing signs of selling pressure

Take a look at the following chart and you will see what I am referring to. The mining shares gapped up today on the opening trying to catch up a bit with the overnight surge in gold and in silver but after that, most of them went nowhere. That is not a bullish sign for continuing their move higher. They did attract some dip buying later in the session but the shares are reflecting a lack of confidence that the rally in the metals is going to continue tomorrow. We will see whether or not they are prescient. Author: Trader Dan, specialized in commodities (gold, silver, ea)

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Yesterday’s Gold Chart – updated

Yesterday’s Gold Chart – updated

Gold shattered overhead resistance near $1680 and has continued higher as momentum based buying is coming in driving out panicked shorts who were hoping for a halt in the advance to occur as the market encountered bullion bank selling originating at $1680. The FOMC made that a mirage as a zero interest rate environment for the next two years means an environment in which it pays to own gold. The yellow metal pays no interest but at this point, neither do short term Treasuries and those offer no protection from currency induced price increases. Just look at what is occuring across the commodity sector today as hedge funds now push the […]

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Gold Chart and comments

Gold Chart and comments

Gold has made it into a formidable resistance level near $1680 which has served to bring out some heavy selling, just as expected seeing that a breach of this defensive line by the bulls will set the market for a run to $1700 and higher. Gold bears can read the charts just as we can and understand what will bring in the momentum buyers if they fail to hold it here. If the recent price advance falters here at this critical zone, then we will see a setback towards $1650 – $1645 initially followed by a bit deeper drop to $1620 or so if the dip buyers are a bit […]

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Silver runs right into a Resistance Zone and then halts

Silver runs right into a Resistance Zone and then halts

Just as if on clue, Silver bulls came out of the gate bucking high and hard but were unable to throw the bears who have dug in at the exact spot on the chart which says they should. Take a look at this chart which I posted last week and which is still applicable after today’s trading session. Notice how silver shot up throw that “formidable resistance zone” near $32.50 but then faded to close almost right on the line instead of solidly above it. Still, the bears dodged that bullet only by the slimmest of margins as the market put in a strong close to end the session, although […]

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