Author Archive: Theodore Butler

rss feed

Author's Website

Ted Butler: The Coming Silver Shortage

Ted Butler: The Coming Silver Shortage

What it comes down to is how much longer the COMEX-orchestrated price can delay the physical silver crunch and shortage to come? I don’t have the answer, but I am confident that this is the right question. I am also confident that once a wholesale physical silver shortage kicks in, that shortage can’t be further contained by derivatives trading and most likely will have to burn itself out the old-fashioned way – by allowing the market to discover the true clearing price. The trick, of course, is to be positioned before the physical shortage is reflected in price.

Continue Reading

Ted Butler: Turning $1 Billion into $5 Billion

| August 21, 2015 | Category: Trading
Ted Butler: Turning $1 Billion into $5 Billion

Today, I will attempt to make the case for how one might go about turning one billion dollars into five billion dollars by buying silver. At first, some of my specific points might seem to be at odds with my long held argument that fully paid for positions in the actual metal at current price levels are as close to a sure thing as it gets in the investment world. But it is still my conviction that owning unencumbered and unleveraged metal is the best way to go; what’s different about this article is that it is directed to any entity that can plunk down a cool billion dollars or more in buying silver.

Continue Reading

Ted Butler: Price Takers and Price Makers

| July 30, 2015 | Category: Price
Ted Butler: Price Takers and Price Makers

No one speculative trader would be allowed to buy or sell 10%, 20% or 40% of any commodity market in a short period of time and neither should a small group of traders, trading in lockstep, be allowed to do the same. Remember we’re talking about a very small number of managed money traders, close to 30 or 50 traders in most markets. Why should 30 or 50 purely speculative CME traders be allowed to set the price for the millions and even billions of world participants who must then take the prices dictated to them?

Continue Reading

The End Of Silver Price Manipulation – The Ultimate Confirmation

| June 22, 2015 | Category: Price
The End Of Silver Price Manipulation – The Ultimate Confirmation

While many feel that JPMorgan will continue to manipulate and cap the price of silver forever, the actual amount of money that the bank stands to make on sharply higher silver prices dictates otherwise. Of course, the bank is likely to depress the price of silver for as long as it can accumulate more actual silver and do so without too much outside notice of what these crooked market operators are really up to. The moment one or both of those conditions change, there is no reason for silver not to take off to the upside.

Continue Reading

Ted Butler: Stepping Up to the Plate

Ted Butler: Stepping Up to the Plate

Following last Wednesday’s article suggesting that silver mining companies write to the CFTC (which I did make public at the urging of subscribers), one mining company (befitting of its name) became the first to do so. The CEO of First Majestic Silver Corp, Keith Neumeyer, became the first miner to write to the CFTC concerning the massive historic one-week repositioning of speculative positions on the COMEX that far exceeded anything occurring in the real world of silver production or consumption. While I hope additional mining companies take the matter up with the agency, Neumeyer not only did the right thing, he set a precedent that, to my knowledge, had not previously occurred in the 30 years that I have closely followed the silver market and, most likely, long before that.

Continue Reading

How Silver Miners Should Help Solve Silver Price Manipulation

How Silver Miners Should Help Solve Silver Price Manipulation

It is only when you compare what just occurred in COMEX silver to other commodities does the extent of the manipulation come through. I’d use the words preposterous and absurd to describe the situation, but the COT report is factual and as real as rain. Instead, what is preposterous and absurd is for anyone to pretend that what is going on in silver is somehow normal. This is particularly true for silver investors and mining companies and their shareholders which are being held hostage to the most defective price discovery process in history.

Continue Reading

Ted Butler: The Biggest Silver Haul In History

Ted Butler: The Biggest Silver Haul In History

How in the world can JPMorgan eventually sell hundreds of millions of ounces of silver without flooding the market and causing prices to crash? This is what JPMorgan does as a regular part of their business – accumulate and then liquidate massive market positions before most people get out of bed every morning. It is second nature to them. In my opinion, this silver will be sold before most people realize they bought it in the first place. Buying 350 million ounces of silver was the hard part, selling it will be a snap.

Continue Reading

Ted Butler: An Unavoidable Comparison With Silver Manipulation

Ted Butler: An Unavoidable Comparison With Silver Manipulation

A rare event occurred this past week; the CFTC charged a major food company, Kraft, Inc., with price manipulation in the wheat market. You can count on one or two hands the number of times the federal commodities regulator has charged anyone with price manipulation in its 40 year history.

Continue Reading

Ted Butler: A Remarkable Proposition

Ted Butler: A Remarkable Proposition

A remarkable new paper by a Cornell law professor and CFTC staff counsel suggests that many aspects of high frequency computer trading (HFT) may be, in fact, illegal under various provisions of basic commodity law. Heretofore, it was generally assumed that HFT was legal, but disabused and impacted markets in disruptive manner on occasion. Many, like myself, never looked on HFT favorably, but few have tried to make the legal case against it. Scopino looked at HFT not through the universal perspective of something that’s here to stay and that we must get used to; to looking at it through an interpretation that it might violate existing law. His conclusion appears to be that much of HFT is not properly aligned with existing commodity law.

Continue Reading

Ted Butler: The Perfect Crime In The Silver Market

| December 29, 2014 | Category: Investing
Ted Butler: The Perfect Crime In The Silver Market

A couple of weeks ago, a long time subscriber correctly pointed out that I seemed to be speculating more than usual in my conclusion that JPMorgan was the big buyer of Silver Eagles and had accumulated as many as 300 million oz of silver, including Eagles and bullion. The subscriber noted that I usually relied on hard core facts that could be documented and not on speculation. As it turns out, I believe there are sufficient number of hard facts behind my speculation, but I had failed to point them out. So let me present the facts, as I see them, that point to JPMorgan having amassed the largest physical […]

Continue Reading

How The Coming Silver Bubble Will Develop

How The Coming Silver Bubble Will Develop

Any bubble in silver must and will develop from physical investment buying. Surely, any industrial user inventory buying panic must involve immediate physical delivery and not a paper futures contract in a time of delivery delays and uncertainty. In fact, it is hard to imagine, as a silver bubble begins to develop, a greater urgency for holding only physical metal to intensify, due to a growing recognition that the COMEX manipulation was responsible for the former low price.

Continue Reading

The Silver Conspiracy

The Silver Conspiracy

More importantly, there is a force much stronger than the collective might of those involved in the conspiracy to manipulate silver prices. That force is the reality of the physical market. It was the developing physical silver shortage of early 2011 that almost brought the CME, JPMorgan and varied US government interests to their knees and it will be the next physical shortage that finishes the job. Aside from the passage of time, the preconditions for a physical silver shortage haven’t changed much since 2011. The world produces a certain amount of silver and after deducting what’s left over after industrial and total fabrication demand, there is a remarkably small residual amount available for investment.

Continue Reading

Why The COMEX Is Corrupt

Why The COMEX Is Corrupt

The root cause behind the unlawful conversion of the COMEX into a speculative day trading scheme from a market designed by Congress to facilitate legitimate hedging is an old issue, but with a slightly new twist – the absence of position limits. And this explains why the CME fights legitimate speculative position limits at every turn.

Continue Reading

Ted Butler: Suing JPMorgan and the COMEX

Ted Butler: Suing JPMorgan and the COMEX

Here I am, directly and consistently accusing two of the world’s most important financial institutions of market manipulation (making sure I send each all my accusations) and I have received no complaint from either. I don’t think that has ever occurred previously. Now I am taking it one step further; presenting a guide for how and why JPMorgan and the CME should be sued for their manipulation of gold, silver, and copper.

Continue Reading