Author Archive: Michael Noonan
Michael Noonan, email@example.com, is a Chicago-based trader with over 30 years in the business. His sole approach to analysis is derived from reading developing market pattern behavior, found in the form of Price, Volume, and Time, and it is generated from the best source possible, the market itself.
The Rothschild-now-globalist template for gaining control over all money, and now the world, has been create a Problem, let an adverse Reaction develop, then present the desired Solution. On a grander scale, there was the US Civil War to divide the country, then the manufactured Roaring ’20s and the stock market bubble, burst when the money changers purposefully tightened the money supply creating massive margin calls and the Crash of 1929. On a more recent level, we commented on the Arab refugee situation designed to weaken Europe, [See article], as a plan to further the New World Order. The globalists created a Problem in the Middle East. This created an […]
All fiats fail, and the only difference this time around is the grossly exaggerated extent to which fiat has managed to survive. It also indicates that once the fiat “dollar” fails, and there are more and more cracks showing up in its ability to maintain its world reserve currency status, the move for physical gold and silver will also be favorably exaggerated to the upside.
Will this potential double bottom hold? After the wide range bar decline, 6 bars ago, the last 5 bars have been overlapping, and the closes are almost clustering, both signs for a possible change in price direction. A rally can be expected, but surrounding circumstances dictate it may not last, as explained next.
As we have noted all year, the currency correction has been relatively weak, and weak corrections auger for higher prices. There is no way to know how much higher the deception of the fiat “dollar” will go. There will inevitably be signs of some form of ending action that declares the down trend to be finished. We have not yet seen any such sign. The sooner price can make a new recent lower low, the greater the probability that the down trend will end. In that regard, everyone who wants to be bullish should cheer on lower prices, for now.
Twelve times a year, we get to present the monthly charts in order to keep a higher time frame perspective. Higher time frames are much harder to turn and change trend, so it pays to always be aware of what a monthly chart is indicating. A fact that all can agree on is that price is at recent lows when compared to the 2011 highs. That indicates the trend is down. It would be impossible to argue otherwise, whether one is an experienced chart reader or has no experience.
With the manipulated markets, the globalist’s central bankers are doing what they can to prop up the failing “dollar.” Within the space of a month, the fiat dropped from 97 to 94 and then rallied back above 97 for no discernible reason, surely not one that made sense. For as long as the chart of the sickly fiat “dollar” can give the appearance of ‘health,’ gold and silver are unlikely to rally. That said, anything is always possible, so gold and silver should be treated independent of this development.
Ironically, we see Obama as a positive influence on gold and silver, for none of this will end well as the increasingly internationally shunned US tries to make the changes it wants to see, when such misdirected efforts backfire and only add fuel to the fire. Gold has had stronger rallies, such as starting from the end of June 2013, to keep a perspective on current market activity and not get overly swayed that a final bottom is in place. What bears closer scrutiny now will be the character of any reactions.
The forces described in this article are the true ones influencing gold and silver, not record coin sales, not record purchases month in and month out for the past few years by China, India, and Russia. Waiting patiently on the sidelines are gold and silver, wanting to have their day, and that day will happen, just not knowing when. Again, while the current rally seems fairly decent on the daily, the more controlling larger weekly time frame is not that impressive. A weekly chart is a stronger guide than a daily. Even the smaller range of last week, relative to the week before, suggests sellers are keeping a check on this market, at least for now.
As we look to the charts, they continue to support suppression prevailing over-supply and demand. The average person uses daily and intra day charts to assess what is going on. This is somewhat akin to “looking at the trees instead of the forest.” The larger time frames are the equivalent of the forest for they depict a truer picture, and smart money references them without regard to the lower time frames used by most everyone else.
The world is fast changing, and while Ufa is not a dominate feature on the world stage, it is an important one of so many, unnoticed by so many American, so unaware. Those unaware are unaware of being unaware. So true.
Markets never change. They are always the means for money powers to distribute their gains to the unsuspecting masses, and like the markets, people never change, always set up for being fleeced. One of the most important markets to watch is FX, foreign currencies, for that is where the demise of the Federal Reserve’s fiat Federal Reserve Note, more commonly accepted as the “dollar,” will play out.
It occurs to us that we are all in the midst of the New World Order going about business as usual, creating Problems, and the bigger the better, then watching reactions of the masses, even governments. The worse possible the problems, the more horrifying the Reactions the better. For waiting in the wings is their planned Solution, all leading toward global takeover under a one world rule, like the UN.
Believe whatever hype you will about gold and silver primed for a major turnaround, and we are in the camp wanting to see higher prices, but we remain pragmatic in putting far greater belief into what the market is saying, via developing market activity, a much more reliable indicator of the character of the trend, and both trends for gold and silver are decidedly down.
Volume increased [effort], the highest volume for the week. Price made a slightly higher probe above the last 10 TDs, but note where it closed: mid-range the bar. On increased volume, the mid-range close tells us sellers were aggressive and overcame the effort of buyers sufficient to push price down from the high of the day. In a down trend, the onus is on buyers to effect change. Buyers are not meeting that burden. It is tough to change a trend. Respect it, at all times, until a change has been confirmed.