Author Archive: Hubert Moolman

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Silver Price Forecast: Is Silver Fast On Its Way To $50?

Silver Price Forecast: Is Silver Fast On Its Way To $50?

There is not just a similarity in how gold and silver trade at the same time period, but also how they trade at similar milestones, despite the fact that those milestones are sometimes reached at different times. This can cause silver or gold to be the leading indicator, depending on the particular milestone. The 1980 peak for both gold and silver is definitely an important milestone. For this 1980 milestone, gold is undoubtedly the leading indicator (since gold has already passed its 1980 high), so it could help us to project what silver might do around this milestone. Market conditions often cause silver to fall behind gold, for quite some […]

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Silver Price Forecast: The Great Silver Chart

Silver Price Forecast: The Great Silver Chart

A reader asked me to update a previous long-term silver chart of mine. Below, is the updated long- term chart for silver. Since the last chart, silver has broken out of the pennant formation (on the short-term chart), and is looking really good. On the chart, I have highlighted two fractals (or patterns), marked 1 to 3, which appear similar. What makes these two fractals so special, is the similarity of the circumstances in which they exist.   There was a significant peak in the Dow (1973 and 2007) between point 1 and 2 of both fractals. Also, point 1 on both fractals represents a significant bottom for silver after the peak of […]

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Silver Update by Hubert Moolman

Silver Update by Hubert Moolman

The silver chart has formed a big pennant like that of the gold chart. What this indicates is that the silver price will likely make a massive move soon. Technically, this move can be up or down. Note that this update is from my premium service originally published on 6 August 2012. Below is a silver chart with the pennant: The technical and fundamental evidence that I have collected, and look at, tells me that the price is likely to go upward out of this pennant formation. On the chart above, you can see that the price has actually broken out (upward) of the pennant. We have to give it […]

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Silver, Gold and The Coming Deflation

Silver, Gold and The Coming Deflation

Historically gold has made its significant gains, relative to other assets (as well as nominally), not during inflation, but during deflation (Note: I am using the terms inflation and deflation very loosely in this case). These significant gold rallies historically occur when value flees instruments such as stocks and certain commodities. Since the 1920s there have been three major gold rallies (1930s, 1970s and the current rally). All three major gold rallies came after a significant top in the Dow and the Dow/Gold ratio (1929, 1966 and 1999). A great portion of the 1930s and 1970s rallies occurred when the Dow was falling significantly. In fact, the biggest rise in […]

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Silver Price Forecast: Silver Could Preserve More Value Than Gold

Silver Price Forecast: Silver Could Preserve More Value Than Gold

The fundamentals for silver and gold are very strong, and with all the massive bailouts, which are increasing debt levels, they are just getting stronger. Until a significant portion of these debts is repaid or defaulted on, it would be foolish to talk about a top in precious metals. The repayment of debt (or default on debt – which is more likely) will result in significantly reduced economic activity. Significantly reduced economic activity will have a negative effect on the stock market, which in this case, will likely result in a huge crash. It is these conditions (a deflating debt bubble) that will drive gold and silver prices significantly higher. […]

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Gold Price Forecast: Premium Gold Update

Gold Price Forecast: Premium Gold Update

Here are a few patterns that might explain the current fall in the gold price, as well as, provide the possible way forward. Below is a graphic (all charts are from fxstreet.com) which compares the current pattern on gold (about July 2011 to current) to a 2007 pattern: On both charts, I have suggested how the patterns might be similar, by marking similar points, from 1 to 6. Based on this comparison, it appears that the gold price is searching for that point 6. The bullish expectation is still very much justified. We would need a turnaround very soon though, to continue the mega bullish expectation. If we do not […]

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Gold/Platinum Ratio And The Coming Depression

Gold/Platinum Ratio And The Coming Depression

During the gold bull market of the 1970s, the Gold/Platinum ratio was in a significant uptrend. It went from about 0.2 to 1.4 over a 12-year period. That is a seven-fold increase. At the start of the current gold bull market (2001), the Gold/Platinum ratio was just a bit higher than 0.4. If the ratio was to emulate its performance during the last gold bull market, it could reach 2.8 (that is gold being 2.8 times the value of platinum). Similar conditions to that of the 70s, which propelled gold and other commodities higher during the 70s, are present now. However, this time, due to the current higher debt levels […]

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Barron’s Gold Mining Index To Double Over The Next Couple Of Years?

Barron’s Gold Mining Index To Double Over The Next Couple Of Years?

Barron’s Gold Mining Index Forecast The behaviour of gold stocks during this gold bull market is really not that different to the gold bull market of the 70s. It was not until almost the end of the bull market (in 1979) that the gold stocks really st…

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Long-term Silver Chart Analysis indicates why Silver is likely to pass $150

Long-term Silver Chart Analysis indicates why Silver is likely to pass $150

Silver Forecast: Long-term Silver Chart Analysis Indicates Why Silver Is Likely To Pass $150 I would like to point out some interesting signals on the long-term chart for silver. Below, is a long term chart for silver: On the chart, I have highlighted …

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Silver Price Forecast: Silver Market Update of 24 February 2012

Silver Price Forecast: Silver Market Update of 24 February 2012

Silver is currently trading at key resistance levels. See below, a six-year silver chart (all charts generated at fxstreet.com): On the chart, I have drawn a significant upward sloping resistance line (red line). Silver has now reached that line, trying to breach it and stay above it. It has also reached the top resistance line of a big flag pattern. If the silver price gets through these resistance lines, and stays above them, then it is likely to continue its rise, but likely in a more accelerated manner. These resistance areas can be very tricky. Price can often react in a violent manner downwards; however, there are no certainties. What […]

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Silver Price Forecast – Analysis of the Long-term Silver Chart

In this video, Hubert Moolman analyzes the very long term silver chart. Based on the chart and historical patterns, he tries to do a forecast for the Silver Price. He explains in very a simple and understandable way. For more of this kind of analysis on silver and gold, you are welcome to subscribe to my free silver and gold newsletter or premium service. I have also recently completed a Long-term Silver Fractal Analysis Report . Hubert Moolman  

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Silver Forecast

Silver Forecast

Silver Forecast: Is Silver Outperforming The Gold Fractal? Below, is an extract of my Silver Premium Update for 25 January 2012: Since my last silver articles (here and here), the silver chart has been following the patterns, I have been tracking, quite nicely. Below is an updated version of the gold vs. silver fractal: I have highlighted the patterns (marked 1 to 10) on gold and silver to illustrate how they are similar. It seems that silver is now just past point 12, and it has broken out at the blue downtrend line. If it follows the gold pattern exactly, it will move along in the channel formed by the two brown […]

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Silver Price forecast and the shift to measuring wealth in Gold Ounces instead of Dollars

Silver Price forecast and the shift to measuring wealth in Gold Ounces instead of Dollars

The debt-based monetary system creates an illusion of wealth. It allows for claims on real goods to significantly exceed the actual amount of real goods. You then have a number of people believing they have wealth, since they have claims (pieces of paper or tokens) showing that they have these real assets, whereas, in reality, if everyone was to claim the real goods, there would not be enough to go around. The high debt levels, in some way, represent the extent to which there are more claims than the actual underlying real assets. During the period of credit extension – that has been for at least 80 years – most […]

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Gold Stocks To Rally Like During The Great Depression And Early 70’s

Gold Stocks To Rally Like During The Great Depression And Early 70’s

Below, is an extract of my Gold Mining Fractal Analysis Report. “He answered and said unto them, When it is evening, ye say, It will be fair weather: for the sky is red. And in the morning, It will be foul weather to day: for the sky is red and lowering.”- Jesus Christ During the Great Depression, at a certain point, gold stocks started a massive rally. While most things were going down in price, gold stocks made significant gains, becoming one of the best performing sectors during that time. It was no coincidence that gold stocks performed as well as they did. Like all goods, gold stocks will thrive […]

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