Author Archive: Gary Christenson

I am a retired accountant and business manager who has 30 years of experience studying markets, investing, and trading futures and stocks. I have made and lost money during my investing career, and those successes and losses have taught me about timing markets, risk management, government created inflation, and market crashes. I currently invest for the long term, and I swing trade (in a trade from one to four weeks) stocks and ETFs using both fundamental and technical analysis. I offer opinions and commentary, but not investment advice.

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Silver and Gold: The Triumph of Experience over Hope

Silver and Gold:  The Triumph of Experience over Hope

Rather than face what our experience tells us is real, many of us prefer hope. Perhaps that is because our experiences with debt, promises, fiat currencies, and wars have been disastrous. I submit that experience will triumph over hope, gold and silver will triumph over debt, and clear thinking will triumph over delusions. Experience, not hope! Gold, not debt!

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Desolation Row: the Silver Market

Desolation Row:  the Silver Market

There are numerous reasons to expect that the US stock markets might follow the Chinese markets downward, particularly by the end of the year. A FEW possibilities are: 7 – 8 year cycles, extended valuations, excessive confidence, new wars, Chinese market crash, bond market reversal, interest rate increases, weak internals, Armstrong’s economic confidence cycles, and Shemitah cycles. Silver has been crushed and the S&P has been levitated. Both seem likely to turn soon.

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Gold, Golf, & Silver are Similar

Gold, Golf, & Silver are Similar

Trust that silver prices will be driven, like professional golfers drive a golf ball, much farther and faster than most of us appreciate. Trust that after four plus years of declining prices, silver will eventually reach the target zone of higher prices and recognized value in the next phase of the magnificent games of golf, gold, and silver.

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Gold: Use the Cockroach Strategy

Gold:  Use the Cockroach Strategy

Gold: the monetary metal that central bankers, politicians, and Too-Big-To-Fail bankers publicly hate. The Cockroach Strategy: A cynical but depressingly accurate view of politics that can assist your investment decisions.

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Silver Prices 100 Years

| July 23, 2015 | Category: Price
Silver Prices 100 Years

If (when) we experience a crash in bonds, stocks, or currencies, do you think central banks will do nothing and let them correct naturally, or will they print currencies, like never before, to reflate the bubbles? Yes, they will print and some of those extra dollars, euros, and yen will find their way into the safety of silver and gold, boosting their prices.

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Gold & Silver Money Has Devolved Into Debt and Plastic

Gold & Silver Money Has Devolved Into Debt and Plastic

Years ago gold and silver were money. Physical coins were replaced with gold and silver certificates. Those certificates were replaced with “Notes” or debt of the U.S. government issued by the central bank. Those notes have largely been replaced by more ephemeral digital debts in the form of credit card debt, debit accounts, checking accounts, short term debts (T-bills), longer term debt and derivatives of those debts. The intrinsic value of those notes and debt instruments is minimal – they are accepted because they are accepted, UNTIL THEY AREN’T. When that day arrives, we will wish we still used gold and silver as money.

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Gold, Silver, Equities: Secular Megaphone Patterns

Gold, Silver, Equities:  Secular Megaphone Patterns

Prices for gold, silver, crude oil, other commodities, and equities are exponentially increasing in the long term. Debt and money supply have increased exponentially and have driven prices much higher. Equities benefit for years and then commodity prices benefit for years. Higher gold, silver, and crude oil prices are coming. Lower prices for bonds and equities are coming.

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Missing Gold, Unpayable Debts, Financial Crises, Bail-outs and Bail-Ins …

Missing Gold, Unpayable Debts, Financial Crises, Bail-outs and Bail-Ins …

To Congress and the Administration: Give Bail-UPS and Bail-DOWNS a chance. Clearly bail-outs and bail-ins have been problematic, so let’s progress in a new direction that benefits taxpayers and debtors.

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Gold Stocks: Take the Low Risk Road

Gold Stocks: Take the Low Risk Road

The S&P 500 Index hit an all-time high in May 2015. The XAU index of gold stocks hit a 13 year low this week – July 8. The XAU to S&P ratio shows that gold stocks have been weak for several years and appear ready to reverse higher. Take the low risk road. At this time the S&P looks like a high risk path while the XAU looks like a low risk road.

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Silver Pretty, Silver Ugly

Silver Pretty, Silver Ugly

But the day will come when silver prices can be constrained no longer, or the silver shorts cannot deliver their promised silver, or a major bank will force the silver market far higher. When that day comes, the silver market, like the national debt, will exponentially increase again.

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The Train Wreck Of 2016 In Financial Markets Is Beginning

The Train Wreck Of 2016 In Financial Markets Is Beginning

Between the delusion of “something for nothing,” and the denial of believing that our financial world was fine yesterday so it must be great tomorrow, lies the clarity of realizing the financial well-being of several billion people is currently threatened. It was the same before the Tech-wreck of 2000 and the financial crisis of 2008. As it was in 2000, is now, and ever shall be …

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Gold Up And S&P Down?

Gold Up And S&P Down?

Expect “more of the same” or much higher inflation, perhaps hyperinflation, in our debt based, unbacked, fiat, easily printed, “inflate or die,” Quantitative Easing, digital and paper, divorced from reality, currency world. Expect much higher gold prices.

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It Takes a Village

It Takes a Village

This village was a long, long way away and this story happened before the world developed High Frequency Trading, Derivatives, Quantitative Easing, PhD economists, central banking, paper money, and career politicians to manage the affairs of our nation, so this story may not be relevant to our modern and sophisticated world.

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Silver About To Turn More Volatile … To The Upside

| June 23, 2015 | Category: Price
Silver About To Turn More Volatile … To The Upside

Volatility in silver prices has been low. Periods of low volatility have always been followed by periods of high volatility. The most likely increase in silver volatility is a price spike much higher. There are many financial and political instabilities that could drive silver prices far higher. The next 6 – 9 months should be dangerous and volatile for most asset classes. Silver looks like a far better choice than bonds or equities at this time.

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