Author Archive: Gary Christenson

I am a retired accountant and business manager who has 30 years of experience studying markets, investing, and trading futures and stocks. I have made and lost money during my investing career, and those successes and losses have taught me about timing markets, risk management, government created inflation, and market crashes. I currently invest for the long term, and I swing trade (in a trade from one to four weeks) stocks and ETFs using both fundamental and technical analysis. I offer opinions and commentary, but not investment advice.

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Gold versus a Debt Sandwich

| November 16, 2015 | Articles: Insights
Gold versus a Debt Sandwich

In one hand we hold gold, which is eternal, beautiful, and valuable everywhere. In the other hand we are stuck with a debt sandwich. That sandwich is a massive slab of debt wedged between an impressive military war machine that spends money like water flowing over Niagara, and a huge welfare system that spends money even more rapidly. Included in the welfare system are Social Security pensions, Disability Income, Medicare, Medicaid, SNAP (food stamps), many more programs, and the salaries, bureaucracy and pensions to support them. You can’t eat gold, but you can’t eat a debt sandwich either. If you choose gold, it is recognized and valued globally and can […]

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The Reverse Goldfinger Effect

The Reverse Goldfinger Effect

In 1964 Sean Connery starred in the movie “Goldfinger” in which the villain, a wealthy Brit named Goldfinger, attempted to revalue his personal gold hoard higher by a factor of 10. His plan was to detonate an atomic bomb inside Fort Knox making the US gold radioactive for hundreds of years. With the Fort Knox gold hoard, the largest in the world at that time, effectively unavailable the global price of gold would increase at least ten times from the 1964 price of approximately $35.00 per ounce. Bond, James Bond, thwarted the dastardly plot and saved the US gold, the US dollar, and the US government. The current 2015 gold […]

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A Half-Century of Gold, War, and Costs

A Half-Century of Gold, War, and Costs

The powers-that-be want confidence in the unbacked paper dollar, not in gold. It should be no surprise that gold went down after its huge rally into 2011 while the dollar, S&P and bonds have gone up since 2011. But all unreal valuations must eventually end. Anyone not in the top 0.1% does not know the timing, but we can be assured that warfare, welfare, debt, spending, and gold prices will rise while stocks and bonds correct.

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Another Day Older and Deeper in Debt

| November 5, 2015 | Category: Economy
Another Day Older and Deeper in Debt

Debt overwhelms most people in debt based fiat currency economies. Credit cards, auto loans, student loans, mortgages, and more … Debt overwhelms most governments in debt based fiat currency economies. They are in debt because governments spend more than their revenues, which is a truly simple concept. However, don’t expect fiscal sanity to return anytime soon.

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Silly Debt, Paper Dies, Gold Thrives

Silly Debt, Paper Dies, Gold Thrives

The answer to “What difference does it make?” is that western economies plus Japan are currently in debt overdose mode which requires exponentially more debt for survival … so the agony of withdrawal occurs now … or later, when it will be even worse. The purchasing power of our debt based fiat currency will be exponentially eroded until the catastrophic “debt withdrawal” occurs. You can: Protect your purchasing power with silver and gold, or Trust that purchasing power will not decrease, in spite of 100 years of history. Paper dies, gold thrives! Paper dies, silver thrives!

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The Discipline of Silver

The Discipline of Silver

Our debt based monetary system requires ever increasing debt, inflation, and expansion. Think about the implications of $400,000 helmets and $85 Billion per month in QE. The continued devaluation of all fiat currencies is a given, based on debt, government spending and central bank policies. Hence silver and gold prices will rise substantially in upcoming years, partially because people want and need it, and mostly because fiat paper currencies are devaluing every day.

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The Circle of Gold

The Circle of Gold

Gold has been money and a store of value for at least 3,000 years. That status SHOULD return after the “paper” era has collapsed. Unbacked paper money, according to history, always collapses due to excessive printing by central bankers and politicians. Imagine that! Global debt is over $200 Trillion and rapidly climbing. Governments must borrow more currency into existence to pay off maturing debt, but total debt inevitably increases. Charles Ponzi used a similar scheme for his wealth transfer process.

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Gold Analogue: Then and Now

| October 22, 2015 | Category: Price
Gold Analogue:  Then and Now

Gold prices can be amazingly volatile, especially when fear increases and a majority of people lose confidence in debt based fiat currencies, central banks, and politicians. If the analogue continues for several more years, we might see gold prices increase by a factor of five to ten into the $5,000 to $10,000 range in five to seven years (double the 3.5 year rally in the 1970s). We should not expect this analogue to predict gold prices, but we should NOT discount the possibility of a similar pattern unfolding.

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Silver Prices Will Rise Considerably Between 2016 And 2020

| October 20, 2015 | Category: Price
Silver Prices Will Rise Considerably Between 2016 And 2020

In the next few weeks the banks may engineer another gold and silver smash, but silver prices will rise considerably in 2016 – 2020. The US and most global stock markets have entered a bear market. Some paper wealth will move from collapsing stock and bond markets into pure wealth – gold and silver, causing prices to rise.

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Dollar Decline Cycle

Dollar Decline Cycle

Expect continued US dollar weakness for several years. Expect stock and bond markets to “regress to the mean” – substantially lower. Expect gold and silver prices to benefit from dollar weakness and US geopolitical difficulties. $5,000 gold will not happen this year but it is quite possible by the election in 2020. Much higher prices are likely if central banks and governments choose to push the US into a hyperinflationary collapse. And finally, buy gold and silver while supplies at these repressed prices (thank you TBTF banks) are still available.

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Green Light For Silver

| October 12, 2015 | Category: Price
Green Light For Silver

Silver looks like it has bottomed and will move substantially higher. This article discusses the short, mid and long term view, and justifies silver going (much) higher from here.

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Why Gold Prices Will Rise

| October 6, 2015 | Category: Price
Why Gold Prices Will Rise

Gold prices will rise because of war, increasing debt to pay for those wars, and the inevitable destruction of purchasing power of fiat currencies. Because insolvent, hopelessly indebted countries owe far more than can ever be repaid in CURRENT dollars, euros, pounds and yen – and therefore central banks will “print” and devalue. Because, regardless of the story promoted by politicians and bankers, it is unlikely that interest rates can be maintained at multi-generational lows for several more decades. Because the inevitable derivative disaster will make the 2008 crisis look like a summer rain compared to the financial hurricane that approaches.

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Global Players at the Financial Poker Table

Global Players at the Financial Poker Table

The Fed and Treasury can “print” trillions of currency units and commercial banks can borrow into existence trillions more, but ultimately gold and silver must be revalued much higher to compensate for the extraordinary printing and devaluation of fiat currencies.

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Gold and Silver, Good and Bad Choices

| September 29, 2015 | Category: Investing
Gold and Silver, Good and Bad Choices

Buying gold in early January 1980 and for much of the next 19 years was probably a bad choice, so do your own research to make good choices. While trading paper currencies for gold is, in my opinion, currently a good exchange, it is not always a good choice.

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